Will the US national average gas price be less than $4.2700 on October 26?
No won
Total volume
$1,934
Trades
72
Unique wallets
33
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-10-26
First seen
2026-10-25
last 10-26 12:03
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.9¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $1.6K
vs crowd: 1% YES on $2.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 10 | $2 | $1.1K | $1.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $3 | $1.1K | $1.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $12 | $5 | +$7 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $5 | $16 | $12 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 9 | $0 | $1.6K | $1.6K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $8 | $176 | $168 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $1 | $15 | $15 |
| Median | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| Below median | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $4 | $60 | $56 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $3 | $388 | $385 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x5bb3…2c94 | Yes | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 8 | 10-26 12:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xbbb6…4faa | Yes | +900 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 10-25 23:49 |
| Serpentine-Illusion 0xc412…592d | No | +850 | $844 | $844 | 3 | 10-25 23:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x6fa7…907e | No | +604 | $603 | $603 | 1 | 10-26 12:03 |
| Purple-Warlock 0xd064…c4d1 | No | +210 | $210 | $210 | 2 | 10-26 07:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x17dd…944c | No | +176 | $176 | $176 | 2 | 10-26 10:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x4429…fcbd | Yes | +96 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 10-26 00:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xa278…3369 | No | +70 | $68 | $68 | 1 | 10-26 00:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +60 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 10-26 00:39 |
| Grumpy-Invader 0xcdf5…e344 | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 10-26 00:36 |
| Grumpy-Invader 0xcdf5…e344 | Yes | +50 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 10-26 00:39 |
| Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 10-26 07:30 |
| Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | +48 | $47 | $47 | 2 | 10-26 00:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +43 | $42 | $42 | 2 | 10-26 04:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xfad9…f138 | Yes | +40 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-26 04:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +39 | $39 | $39 | 2 | 10-26 11:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x71a3…3fb4 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 10-26 11:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +28 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 10-26 00:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-26 00:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 10-26 00:39 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-26 07:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 10-26 00:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 10-26 00:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x78e5…e48c | No | +20 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 10-25 16:57 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +16 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-25 22:01 |
| Thorough-Faith 0x36a9…c1d3 | No | +16 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 10-25 22:01 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-26 07:30 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-25 21:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x2868…97f8 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-26 00:27 |
| Adventurous-Magnet 0xca0c…b9b6 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-26 04:05 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-25 15:50 |
| Wooden-Titanium 0xfd9e…8605 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-26 05:36 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 12:03:08 | (anonymous) 0x5bb3…2c94 | Yes | BUY | 604 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x9ea33a… |
| 10-26 12:03:08 | (anonymous) 0x6fa7…907e | No | BUY | 604 | 100¢ | $603 | 0x9ea33a… |
| 10-26 11:15:05 | (anonymous) 0x5bb3…2c94 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcb7095… |
| 10-26 11:15:05 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x807b41… |
| 10-26 11:15:05 | (anonymous) 0x5bb3…2c94 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x807b41… |
| 10-26 11:15:05 | (anonymous) 0x5bb3…2c94 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8b25bb… |
| 10-26 11:15:05 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xcb7095… |
| 10-26 11:15:05 | (anonymous) 0x71a3…3fb4 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x8b25bb… |
| 10-26 10:18:30 | (anonymous) 0x5bb3…2c94 | Yes | BUY | 76 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4622bf… |
| 10-26 10:18:30 | (anonymous) 0x17dd…944c | No | BUY | 76 | 100¢ | $76 | 0x4622bf… |
| 10-26 09:54:23 | (anonymous) 0x5bb3…2c94 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0d93d9… |
| 10-26 09:54:23 | (anonymous) 0x17dd…944c | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x0d93d9… |
| 10-26 07:30:02 | (anonymous) 0x5bb3…2c94 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa141f7… |
| 10-26 07:30:02 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa141f7… |
| 10-26 07:30:02 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa141f7… |
| 10-26 07:30:02 | Purple-Warlock 0xd064…c4d1 | No | BUY | 110 | 100¢ | $110 | 0xa141f7… |
| 10-26 07:30:02 | (anonymous) 0x5bb3…2c94 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3178e7… |
| 10-26 07:30:02 | Purple-Warlock 0xd064…c4d1 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x3178e7… |
| 10-26 07:30:02 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa141f7… |
| 10-26 05:36:27 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1d7800… |
| 10-26 05:36:27 | Wooden-Titanium 0xfd9e…8605 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x1d7800… |
| 10-26 04:36:21 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x522255… |
| 10-26 04:36:21 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x522255… |
| 10-26 04:05:42 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xca6436… |
| 10-26 04:05:42 | (anonymous) 0xfad9…f138 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xca6436… |
| 10-26 04:05:42 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 3 | 88¢ | $3 | 0xca6436… |
| 10-26 04:05:42 | (anonymous) 0x52c7…7b7a | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xca6436… |
| 10-26 04:05:42 | Adventurous-Magnet 0xca0c…b9b6 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xca6436… |
| 10-26 02:09:39 | (anonymous) 0x52c7…7b7a | Yes | SELL | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf48abf… |
| 10-26 02:09:39 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf48abf… |
| 10-26 02:09:32 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xaa5f0f… |
| 10-26 02:09:32 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xaa5f0f… |
| 10-26 02:09:32 | (anonymous) 0x52c7…7b7a | Yes | SELL | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xaa5f0f… |
| 10-26 00:39:36 | Grumpy-Invader 0xcdf5…e344 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x64a49a… |
| 10-26 00:39:36 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 47 | 98¢ | $46 | 0x286fe9… |
| 10-26 00:39:36 | (anonymous) 0x4429…fcbd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x64a49a… |
| 10-26 00:39:36 | (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x79a0b5… |
| 10-26 00:39:36 | Grumpy-Invader 0xcdf5…e344 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x286fe9… |
| 10-26 00:39:36 | (anonymous) 0x52c7…7b7a | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x79a0b5… |
| 10-26 00:39:36 | (anonymous) 0xa278…3369 | No | BUY | 70 | 98¢ | $68 | 0x846428… |
| 10-26 00:39:36 | (anonymous) 0x5d10…dca1 | No | SELL | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x846428… |
| 10-26 00:39:36 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 28 | 99¢ | $28 | 0x64a49a… |
| 10-26 00:39:36 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x846428… |
| 10-26 00:39:36 | (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x846428… |
| 10-26 00:39:36 | (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x286fe9… |
| 10-26 00:36:08 | (anonymous) 0x5d10…dca1 | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x821d02… |
| 10-26 00:36:08 | (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | No | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0xdf08c5… |
| 10-26 00:36:08 | (anonymous) 0x4429…fcbd | Yes | BUY | 76 | 4¢ | $3 | 0xdf08c5… |
| 10-26 00:36:08 | (anonymous) 0x52c7…7b7a | Yes | SELL | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xdf08c5… |
| 10-26 00:36:08 | Grumpy-Invader 0xcdf5…e344 | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xdf08c5… |
| 10-26 00:36:08 | (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x821d02… |
| 10-26 00:27:36 | (anonymous) 0x2868…97f8 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x592587… |
| 10-26 00:27:36 | Grumpy-Invader 0xcdf5…e344 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x592587… |
| 10-25 23:49:03 | (anonymous) 0xbbb6…4faa | Yes | BUY | 900 | 1¢ | $7 | 0xa45b83… |
| 10-25 23:49:03 | Serpentine-Illusion 0xc412…592d | No | BUY | 500 | 99¢ | $496 | 0xa45b83… |
| 10-25 23:49:03 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0xa45b83… |
| 10-25 23:49:03 | (anonymous) 0x8373…f0bc | Yes | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa45b83… |
| 10-25 22:01:33 | Thorough-Faith 0x36a9…c1d3 | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x0a39f9… |
| 10-25 22:01:33 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0a39f9… |
| 10-25 21:34:21 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbe4348… |
| 10-25 21:34:21 | (anonymous) 0x8373…f0bc | Yes | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbe4348… |
| 10-25 18:42:33 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x96b77c… |
| 10-25 18:42:33 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x96b77c… |
| 10-25 16:58:02 | (anonymous) 0xcacf…f21d | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe186c4… |
| 10-25 16:58:02 | (anonymous) 0x52c7…7b7a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe186c4… |
| 10-25 16:58:02 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 19 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe186c4… |
| 10-25 16:57:50 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 0 | 53¢ | $0 | 0xba5520… |
| 10-25 16:57:50 | (anonymous) 0x78e5…e48c | No | SELL | 0 | 53¢ | $0 | 0xba5520… |
| 10-25 16:57:48 | (anonymous) 0xcacf…f21d | Yes | BUY | 20 | 23¢ | $5 | 0xbf535a… |
| 10-25 16:57:48 | (anonymous) 0x78e5…e48c | No | BUY | 20 | 77¢ | $15 | 0xbf535a… |
| 10-25 15:50:03 | (anonymous) 0x52c7…7b7a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8878c9… |
| 10-25 15:50:03 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x8878c9… |