Realized P&L
+$242
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
5.7%
Resolved
64
Trades
103
lifetime
Volume
$171
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$14
9 positions
First seen
2026-03-24
last 10-29 21:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 34 days
Categories
Crypto
45% 8% +$312
Other
30% 3% -$41
Politics
15% 0% -$19
Sports
6% 0% -$10
Tech
4% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +61 $5 9¢ $6 +$1 08-23 19:09
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +88 $5 6¢ $5 $0 10-22 20:04
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2 $1 40¢ $1 $0 08-23 19:26
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +6 $1 14¢ $1 $0 06-28 19:36
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +14 $1 6¢ $1 $0 10-27 22:12
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? Yes +500 $1 0¢ $0 $0 10-27 22:09
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October? Yes +100 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-22 19:36
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +14 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 09-17 19:01
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in October? Yes +91 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-22 19:33