Ornate-Marksman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$65

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.7%

Resolved

132

Trades

449

lifetime

Volume

$1.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 05-23 09:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

68% 32% +$131

Crypto

32% 35% -$71

Sports

0% 25% +$6

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-23).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	108	$563	10,521	11,785	-1,264	Yes	+$179	04-30 20:52
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by April 30?	6	$44	110	104	+6	No	-$11	04-30 16:49
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30?	17	$35	1,583	1,583	+0	Yes	-$8	04-29 17:30
James Comey arrested by April 29?	12	$33	129	151	-22	Yes	-$13	04-29 17:17
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	12	$33	217	190	+27	Yes	+$2	04-30 12:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	6	$29	24	24	+0	Down	-$1	05-19 11:39
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	18	$29	2,313	2,313	+0	No	-$3	05-19 10:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	8	$25	30	20	+10	Down	-$5	05-19 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	4	$21	13	13	+0	Down	+$1	05-19 11:43
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	5	$18	1,140	713	+428	No	+$8	05-17 19:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	3	$18	20	14	+6	Down	+$2	05-19 11:34
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	13	$16	3,980	3,980	+0	No	-$5	05-19 22:03
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	2	$14	11	11	+0	Yes	+$4	05-09 09:52
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?	6	$12	263	0	+263	No	-$12	04-29 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	4	$12	14	14	+0	Up	$0	05-19 12:08
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	3	$11	9	6	+3	Up	-$1	05-19 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	7	$11	18	7	+11	Down	-$1	05-19 14:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	Up	+$1	05-19 12:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	05-19 11:19
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	4	$10	130	101	+29	No	+$2	05-19 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	$0	05-19 12:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	4	$9	20	20	+0	Up	-$3	05-19 11:48
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in May 2026?	3	$9	231	231	+0	No	+$5	05-15 16:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	6	$8	25	5	+20	Down	-$2	05-19 13:14
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	2	$8	179	179	+0	Yes	-$4	04-30 05:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	3	$8	6	6	+0	Down	+$4	05-19 13:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$8	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	05-19 11:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$7	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	05-19 11:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	5	$7	12	6	+6	Up	-$3	05-19 12:29
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	4	$7	291	0	+291	Yes	-$7	04-29 16:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 09:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xdee5f1…
05-23 08:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x222be6…
05-23 08:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x5e5fbe…
05-23 08:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	12	19¢	$2	0x87c63c…
05-23 08:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa7ef26…
05-23 06:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x31eae9…
05-23 06:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x117b5c…
05-23 06:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x3da431…
05-23 05:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xbe637b…
05-23 05:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xde64dd…
05-23 05:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xb7ec47…
05-23 05:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xdc3716…
05-23 05:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xd7a474…
05-23 05:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x02c5af…
05-23 05:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x0bd76c…
05-23 05:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x67e1bc…
05-23 05:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x96c77e…
05-21 12:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x493c00…
05-21 12:18:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x8e24cd…
05-21 12:08:05	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x5ebdbd…
05-21 08:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x1bdca5…
05-21 08:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x87f4c0…
05-21 08:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x800c33…
05-21 08:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x001272…
05-21 07:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x7b2c1e…
05-21 07:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x66adeb…
05-21 07:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	56¢	$3	0x5cfbc3…
05-21 07:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x5f7f3e…
05-21 07:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x5b1ac2…
05-21 07:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x4abd93…
05-21 07:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xb894c4…
05-21 07:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xcf38b9…
05-21 07:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xe2b776…
05-21 07:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x18d97c…
05-21 07:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x32e2e3…
05-21 05:27:30	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	Yes	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0xbd6189…
05-20 15:49:21	Will Solana reach $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0x825d43…
05-20 14:57:52	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0xc19b2b…
05-20 06:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x9fe1f9…
05-20 06:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0x8668c2…
05-20 06:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x721d3f…
05-20 05:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x63d09f…
05-20 05:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xb5f163…
05-20 05:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xbb5e87…
05-20 05:56:51	Will Solana reach $130 in May?	Yes	SELL	27	1¢	$0	0x9f44e0…
05-19 22:03:32	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	418	0¢	$0	0xcb320b…
05-19 21:49:45	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x161bdc…
05-19 21:45:57	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x5ba30e…
05-19 14:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x632f0e…
05-19 14:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x8eb9aa…
05-19 14:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x2d6602…
05-19 14:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x200bce…
05-19 14:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x93fa44…
05-19 14:06:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x100dff…
05-19 14:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc2ba89…
05-19 14:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0x681af6…
05-19 14:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x961633…
05-19 14:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x85b5e6…
05-19 14:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2cd15a…
05-19 14:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xef6f08…
05-19 14:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x80367e…
05-19 14:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x1ec1f8…
05-19 13:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf2a965…
05-19 13:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xb9b86b…
05-19 13:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x66b825…
05-19 13:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x0742bd…
05-19 13:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xec64c1…
05-19 13:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x6a7b2a…
05-19 13:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x604c25…
05-19 13:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x74ee4b…
05-19 13:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x8220d1…
05-19 13:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb30c71…
05-19 13:29:57	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	420	0¢	$1	0xbcf763…
05-19 13:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xfb626e…
05-19 13:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x932285…
05-19 13:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x3fb48b…
05-19 13:24:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0xd3bad2…
05-19 13:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0ca3a6…
05-19 13:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xa5fc4f…
05-19 13:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x0318ee…
05-19 13:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x883ed9…
05-19 13:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x46c844…
05-19 13:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xfae88b…
05-19 13:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe1e0d8…
05-19 13:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x767e8d…
05-19 13:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x9d1a37…
05-19 13:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x6e4637…
05-19 13:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x7997d8…
05-19 13:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x485b20…
05-19 13:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc7ebfc…
05-19 13:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x5ffa87…
05-19 13:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8c36f3…
05-19 12:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xffc9fd…
05-19 12:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc44ee1…
05-19 12:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x56d65a…
05-19 12:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x5a7f94…
05-19 12:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x0ab0d8…
05-19 12:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xbfa70a…
05-19 12:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x8378a6…
05-19 12:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe8cb99…