Quizzical-Ford — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$445

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

54.9%

Resolved

258

Trades

351

lifetime

Volume

$3.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$12

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 11-02 17:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 99 days

Categories

Other

87% 36% -$396

Sports

5% 60% -$3

Crypto

5% 67% -$43

Politics

3% 33% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-03?	Yes		+35	$13	34¢	$12	-$1	11-02 17:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$152	105	105	+0	No	+$18	05-01 09:25
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-04-26?	2	$128	68	68	+0	Yes	+$6	04-26 10:41
epl ars liv 2026 01 08 ars	6	$117	139	76	+63	No	-$39	01-08 19:13
epl new eve 2026 02 28 eve	3	$112	130	130	+0	Yes	+$3	02-28 15:39
highest temperature in shanghai on march 27 2026 17c	3	$104	101	75	+26	No	-$66	03-27 04:49
highest temperature in taipei on march 24 2026 24c	5	$101	65	61	+4	Yes	-$1	03-24 06:45
highest temperature in shanghai on march 25 2026 16c	5	$97	106	53	+52	Yes	+$7	03-25 05:28
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$80	92	0	+92	No	+$12	05-06 19:49
epl mun mac 2026 01 17 mac	5	$63	130	0	+130	No	-$63	01-17 12:23
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	1	$60	61	0	+61	Yes	+$1	04-24 04:31
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-05-09?	1	$50	78	0	+78	No	-$50	05-09 12:20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?	1	$50	67	0	+67	No	+$17	05-04 14:52
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?	1	$50	56	0	+56	Yes	+$6	05-18 17:24
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-05-01?	1	$50	54	0	+54	Yes	+$4	05-01 12:50
highest temperature in chongqing on march 26 2026 22c	4	$50	35	35	+0	No	+$1	03-26 06:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	3	$49	65	65	+0	Yes	-$40	06-15 02:43
epl bur mac 2026 04 22 mac	1	$48	60	0	+60	Yes	+$12	04-19 17:08
fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 btts	2	$47	38	38	+0	Yes	-$13	06-12 20:38
epl che mac 2026 04 12 mac	1	$45	88	0	+88	Yes	-$45	04-12 13:32
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC end in a draw?	1	$45	48	0	+48	Yes	+$3	05-09 13:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	1	$43	81	0	+81	No	+$38	05-25 12:17
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	2	$41	86	43	+43	No	-$26	05-30 17:10
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	3	$40	48	48	+0	open	—	06-14 12:08
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	2	$39	47	0	+47	No	-$31	07-07 17:41
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-05-24?	2	$31	47	23	+23	No	+$14	05-24 12:41
efa oxf1 sun 2026 02 15 oxf1	3	$30	17	17	+0	No	+$2	02-15 14:41
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-05-20?	1	$30	49	0	+49	No	+$19	05-20 11:49
highest temperature in shanghai on march 26 2026 16c	1	$30	43	0	+43	Yes	+$13	03-26 03:59
epl not ars 2026 01 17 ars	1	$27	43	0	+43	No	-$27	01-17 17:26
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-15?	2	$26	15	15	+0	Yes	+$3	10-15 18:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 17:25:34	Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	35	36¢	$13	0x3a0809…
10-31 15:22:55	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xd6fb8c…
10-26 17:53:12	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	18	71¢	$13	0x7b6645…
10-26 17:52:33	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	12	29¢	$3	0x9468ce…
10-26 17:16:03	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x2839e1…
10-25 16:39:56	Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xc980fb…
10-25 14:30:15	Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x4c7015…
10-24 16:31:30	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	15	57¢	$8	0x7afe99…
10-24 16:13:17	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xdd2432…
10-22 18:51:32	Will Lincoln Red Imps FC win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1003a0…
10-22 18:46:23	Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xbf799a…
10-22 18:33:30	Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	SELL	19	2¢	$0	0xd8ea5c…
10-22 18:22:17	Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xbb71ec…
10-21 16:13:14	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	11	40¢	$5	0x03ed29…
10-19 16:54:53	Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xcca3cf…
10-18 12:24:21	Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xa0c999…
10-17 17:50:53	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x1d85d4…
10-15 18:51:25	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-15?	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x184532…
10-15 18:50:16	Will FC Twente win on 2026-10-15?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xadd1f5…
10-15 18:49:50	Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-10-15?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x13c871…
10-15 18:49:31	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-10-15?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xedb689…
10-15 18:48:41	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x09684b…
10-15 18:47:44	Will K. Sint-Truidense VV win on 2026-10-15?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x587f09…
10-15 14:37:23	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0xb3b9b2…
10-14 09:07:10	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x52ed1a…
10-14 09:05:16	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe7aadd…
10-14 09:04:22	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x066e52…
10-14 05:47:52	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0x179b46…
10-13 18:31:01	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x47e67d…
09-19 19:04:38	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	Sevilla FC	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xecee4a…
07-07 19:07:07	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Colombia	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0x89826d…
07-07 17:41:59	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	39	87¢	$34	0xbd6219…
07-07 17:37:05	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x46f139…
07-07 17:27:11	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xde2620…
07-06 20:17:53	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xe9f449…
07-06 09:44:55	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	United States	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xb49824…
07-05 14:36:38	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	England	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x558a03…
07-05 11:28:40	chi sgr zhe 2026 07 05 spread home 1pt5	Shanghai Shenhua FC	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xe5c4cf…
07-05 11:28:34	Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x8922af…
07-04 22:36:26	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0xb93920…
07-04 22:36:14	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 spread away 1pt5	France	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0xe4f645…
07-04 22:26:49	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 spread away 1pt5	France	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x986e75…
07-04 22:26:31	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x67cb71…
07-04 17:15:20	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x58c9d6…
07-03 04:05:56	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 btts	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x457a52…
07-02 22:33:38	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	24	57¢	$14	0xa96c8b…
07-02 20:20:53	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x10b1a1…
07-02 12:25:08	Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	No	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x3a4538…
07-01 18:57:47	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 spread home 1pt5	United States	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x7ddb28…
07-01 18:02:55	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x92c3de…
07-01 17:38:43	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	39	8¢	$3	0x2a6197…
07-01 17:26:19	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	England	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x4fbea5…
06-30 19:07:47	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xc36dc1…
06-30 19:02:16	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x3d531f…
06-30 17:27:01	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	Côte d'Ivoire	BUY	13	42¢	$6	0xd06245…
06-30 03:22:59	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	49	10¢	$5	0x7a9396…
06-29 20:09:07	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x7a9698…
06-29 20:07:32	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb03dd1…
06-29 17:59:11	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	No	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xf6cc83…
06-28 16:28:58	Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xe38789…
06-28 11:03:26	Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-06-28?	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x3ac203…
06-28 10:02:11	chi qin zhe 2026 06 28 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x553df2…
06-27 18:04:07	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xf3b79f…
06-26 18:55:41	Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-06-27?	No	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x929f47…
06-25 18:59:38	Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x5ecd75…
06-25 18:59:10	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x9f8834…
06-25 18:57:58	fifwc kor civ 2026 06 25 spread away 2pt5	Côte d'Ivoire	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xb163fc…
06-24 17:49:26	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	21	39¢	$8	0x9cfe04…
06-22 19:52:37	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5f042e…
06-22 17:53:40	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 goals lionel messi gte2	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xebda2c…
06-22 17:01:35	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x067047…
06-22 05:32:31	Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x243ab9…
06-22 05:31:25	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	No	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x4fe6ce…
06-21 18:31:50	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x806b4b…
06-21 04:25:17	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x4f510c…
06-20 19:37:25	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x2cc691…
06-20 19:37:20	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 spread home 1pt5	Germany	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xdf180d…
06-20 16:51:32	Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Sweden?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x1b8385…
06-20 16:51:25	Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 0 Sweden?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x441fb8…
06-20 16:51:22	Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 0 Sweden?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x759222…
06-20 15:47:23	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	79	13¢	$10	0x03aadd…
06-17 05:43:10	Exact Score: Austria 1 - 1 Jordan?	Yes	SELL	18	0¢	$0	0xee1550…
06-17 04:03:23	Exact Score: Austria 1 - 1 Jordan?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x360133…
06-17 04:03:17	Exact Score: Austria 1 - 0 Jordan?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x75f4c6…
06-17 04:03:05	Exact Score: Austria 0 - 0 Jordan?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x192c5c…
06-17 01:26:01	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 spread home 1pt5	Algeria	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x67e267…
06-16 16:06:58	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x60fb11…
06-15 18:17:16	Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$13	0x1f4586…
06-15 17:50:40	Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x7a2528…
06-15 17:49:48	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 assists lamine yamal gte1	Yes	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0xe9900c…
06-15 17:41:03	Lamine Yamal: 1+ assists	No	SELL	13	78¢	$10	0xb48896…
06-15 17:37:15	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 goals lamine yamal gte1	No	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0xe20dfc…
06-15 17:36:12	Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals	No	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xa2672e…
06-15 17:34:00	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 goals lamine yamal gte1	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x872804…
06-15 16:18:21	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 2pt5	Spain	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x23cc44…
06-15 02:43:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	65	7¢	$5	0x702010…
06-14 17:01:48	Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Curaçao?	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x12d463…
06-14 12:09:04	cs2 mouz fut 2026 06 14 game1	MOUZ	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xd89140…
06-14 12:08:34	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	36	41¢	$15	0xaf7991…
06-14 11:18:07	Kai Havertz: 1+ goals	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x8d91b7…