Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$59

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.9%

Resolved

132

Trades

178

lifetime

Volume

$833

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-09

last 07-16 08:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Crypto

31% 49% -$33

Other

30% 61% -$6

Politics

16% 48% -$30

Tech

14% 62% -$5

Sports

9% 62% +$15

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-16).

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 58k june 8 14 2026	10	$49	59	0	+59	No	+$10	06-09 11:54
will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	7	$35	39	0	+39	Yes	+$4	06-09 12:04
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$14	9	9	+0	Yes	+$4	07-16 08:59
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	2	$12	8	8	+0	No	+$2	07-16 08:59
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	07-16 08:58
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	2	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	07-16 08:58
bitcoin up or down on june 22 2026	2	$10	16	0	+16	Up	-$2	06-22 01:40
ethereum up or down on july 6 2026	2	$10	17	0	+17	Up	+$6	07-06 00:55
will usa reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134479	2	$10	9	9	+0	No	-$1	07-04 12:41
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$10	7	7	+0	No	$0	07-16 08:58
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$10	20	0	+20	No	+$10	06-23 00:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	07-04 12:41
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	2	$9	6	6	+0	No	-$1	07-04 12:40
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$8	6	6	+0	No	-$1	07-04 12:40
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	2	$8	10	10	+0	open	—	07-16 08:58
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	2	$8	11	11	+0	No	-$2	07-04 12:40
tyler robinson convicted of homicide	2	$8	8	8	+0	open	—	07-04 12:40
over 35m committed to the laso finance public sale 555 417	2	$7	8	8	+0	No	-$3	07-04 12:40
over 40m committed to the laso finance public sale 638	2	$7	9	9	+0	No	-$3	07-04 12:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 07:55 UTC	2	$6	13	0	+13	Down	-$6	06-09 07:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 06:10 UTC	2	$6	8	0	+8	Up	+$2	06-09 06:11
gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	2	$5	14	14	+0	No	-$5	07-04 12:40
gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	+$1	06-09 11:15
will jared kushner attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204741	2	$5	51	51	+0	No	-$5	07-04 12:39
will argentina reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120771	1	$5	7	0	+7	Yes	+$2	07-04 00:28
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	+$1	06-15 08:04
ethereum up or down on june 10 2026	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	-$5	06-10 09:00
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 12?	1	$5	8	0	+8	Yes	-$5	07-12 04:00
bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 4am et	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	-$5	07-03 08:49
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	1	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	+$1	06-15 06:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 08:59:14	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x9b5598…
07-16 08:59:07	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	SELL	8	98¢	$7	0xe11707…
07-16 08:58:58	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x4dd931…
07-16 08:58:49	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0x771917…
07-16 08:58:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	7	66¢	$5	0xab7c99…
07-16 08:58:37	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0x9f8c90…
07-13 12:32:11	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or below on July 13?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x1c6c71…
07-13 04:11:13	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on July 13?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x397570…
07-12 04:30:44	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 12?	No	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0xf14991…
07-12 04:00:47	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 12?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x4f3240…
07-12 03:39:23	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x78985b…
07-11 13:03:23	Aurora to win 2-0?	Yes	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0xe381e4…
07-11 10:57:35	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 11?	No	BUY	6	73¢	$5	0xc9893e…
07-11 10:46:58	Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0xeebc5d…
07-11 04:14:07	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 11?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x3de21f…
07-10 12:37:37	spx opens up or down on july 10 2026	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xe81a2f…
07-10 12:26:38	Aurora to win 2-0?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x9663b1…
07-10 07:03:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 10?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x017770…
07-09 00:25:44	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 10?	No	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0x82c5bd…
07-09 00:25:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 10?	No	BUY	6	73¢	$5	0x80e354…
07-09 00:25:32	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 10?	No	BUY	8	70¢	$5	0x725f94…
07-09 00:23:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 10?	No	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0xb37c1f…
07-09 00:23:14	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 10?	No	BUY	6	73¢	$5	0x7a498a…
07-08 10:31:01	highest temperature in buenos aires on july 9 2026 19c	No	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0xb35155…
07-08 07:14:08	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x9f2994…
07-06 01:07:59	Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xb98431…
07-06 00:55:25	ethereum up or down on july 6 2026	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x186817…
07-06 00:55:20	will bitcoin reach 64k on july 5	Yes	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x7eed61…
07-06 00:55:16	will bitcoin reach 64k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xa69f90…
07-06 00:31:59	ethereum up or down on july 6 2026	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x4f8fbe…
07-06 00:21:25	Will "Little Brother" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x9acedf…
07-05 06:35:01	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	Yes	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0xf1062f…
07-05 04:40:52	bitcoin up or down on july 5 2026	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xbccec2…
07-05 04:40:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xfe12cf…
07-05 03:22:26	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xbf8c06…
07-05 00:22:26	gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xbedf87…
07-04 12:41:10	will usa reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134479	Yes	SELL	9	49¢	$5	0x85584a…
07-04 12:41:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0xf2e5d6…
07-04 12:40:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0x13bd7d…
07-04 12:40:49	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	6	62¢	$4	0x90cef1…
07-04 12:40:41	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0x21eeaf…
07-04 12:40:34	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	26¢	$3	0xee2868…
07-04 12:40:28	over 35m committed to the laso finance public sale 555 417	Yes	SELL	8	29¢	$2	0x73d840…
07-04 12:40:20	over 40m committed to the laso finance public sale 638	Yes	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0xb3c999…
07-04 12:40:13	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xdd5e84…
07-04 12:40:05	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x26072d…
07-04 12:39:59	will jared kushner attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204741	Yes	SELL	51	0¢	$0	0x0a4b9c…
07-04 12:39:50	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x3cc63f…
07-04 12:39:43	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xe484a5…
07-04 04:04:08	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x004d76…
07-04 00:28:58	Will Cape Verde be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x0b1f71…
07-04 00:28:55	will bitcoin reach 63k on july 3	Yes	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0x15e487…
07-04 00:28:50	will argentina reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120771	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xe37812…
07-04 00:18:11	will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x1595f4…
07-03 08:49:08	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	9	61¢	$5	0x9b98f7…
07-03 04:12:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x8c2128…
07-03 01:42:23	bitcoin up or down on july 3 2026	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x722231…
07-03 01:29:40	will spain reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149737	Yes	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x64c731…
07-03 01:19:05	ethereum above 1700 on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xfe4a5d…
07-02 04:32:29	over 40m committed to the laso finance public sale 638	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xbb3860…
07-02 03:44:22	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	8	56¢	$5	0x737eb9…
07-02 02:14:31	over 35m committed to the laso finance public sale 555 417	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x29fb4a…
07-02 02:01:56	will usa reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134479	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x9acb0a…
07-02 01:38:56	bitcoin up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa92ce1…
07-02 01:26:23	Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xbf67c2…
07-01 14:01:28	will bitcoin reach 60k on july 1	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x929d36…
07-01 09:21:55	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x0b2d80…
07-01 06:29:25	ethereum up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xe38a55…
07-01 02:19:41	will mexico reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120735	Yes	BUY	6	73¢	$5	0x7498d6…
07-01 01:46:11	bitcoin up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x242642…
06-30 08:16:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x2b166c…
06-30 01:50:02	will netherlands reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120755	Yes	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x43b410…
06-30 01:09:44	will netherlands reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134487	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x45a49c…
06-30 00:44:23	bitcoin up or down on june 30 2026	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x619f3a…
06-30 00:31:40	Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?	Yes	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xed46ba…
06-29 11:51:01	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0xa3f6a7…
06-29 11:38:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xc61c6b…
06-29 06:23:32	bitcoin up or down on june 29 2026	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x7768f0…
06-29 05:47:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x827cb6…
06-29 05:01:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xd18f09…
06-28 13:50:49	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xff2abe…
06-28 08:13:52	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0x92cbe2…
06-28 06:52:19	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x2d9cde…
06-28 05:32:31	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x9ce75d…
06-24 05:43:08	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xa2f75d…
06-24 05:07:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x32dbeb…
06-24 02:14:32	fifwc col cdr 2026 06 23 goals luis diaz gte1	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x0830a4…
06-24 01:39:23	bitcoin up or down on june 24 2026	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x30986d…
06-24 00:31:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0xe36805…
06-23 00:14:53	Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x7cbaae…
06-23 00:14:41	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?	No	BUY	578	1¢	$5	0x0714a3…
06-23 00:14:38	Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	No	BUY	8	69¢	$5	0x2012a6…
06-23 00:14:04	will jared kushner attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204741	Yes	BUY	51	10¢	$5	0x32268f…
06-23 00:02:37	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x5646c0…
06-22 02:18:20	Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x7ae3d9…
06-22 01:48:59	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xf7bb36…
06-22 01:40:55	bitcoin up or down on june 22 2026	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x196450…
06-22 01:24:25	New Zealand leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x2dff08…
06-22 00:53:28	bitcoin up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x132339…
06-22 00:34:55	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x969d47…