Realized P&L
-$118
Unrealized P&L
-$64
Hit rate
13.1%
Resolved
31
Trades
776
lifetime
Volume
$40.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$52
Open exposure
$25.8K
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 14:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Sports
42% 54% -$96
Politics
40% 0% -$1
Other
18% 0% -$21
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +8,691 $8,200 96¢ $8.3K +$104 10-28 17:08
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +3,846 $3,688 96¢ $3.7K +$10 08-31 18:30
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +3,592 $3,442 100¢ $3.6K +$144 08-28 14:06
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +2,255 $2,198 97¢ $2.2K -$1 10-28 14:39
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +1,934 $1,871 96¢ $1.9K -$6 10-27 21:31
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,813 $1,687 95¢ $1.7K +$35 09-09 05:38
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,586 $1,429 91¢ $1.4K +$12 09-09 04:00
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +620 $589 97¢ $600 +$11 09-01 10:30
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +702 $582 78¢ $544 -$39 08-21 09:36
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +8,247 $514 4¢ $367 -$147 10-28 06:35
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +285 $271 95¢ $271 +$0 10-23 02:49
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? No +252 $237 96¢ $242 +$5 08-25 21:39
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +251 $237 96¢ $241 +$4 10-28 11:23
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +702 $122 22¢ $158 +$36 08-19 12:55
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +3,846 $159 4¢ $148 -$11 09-09 04:15
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,586 $158 9¢ $144 -$14 09-07 12:01
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,813 $135 5¢ $91 -$45 09-06 19:19
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,803 $60 4¢ $64 +$4 10-28 04:52
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes +2,327 $58 3¢ $59 +$1 10-27 18:10
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes +620 $31 3¢ $20 -$11 09-04 14:07
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +285 $14 5¢ $14 +$0 10-21 13:30
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Yes +257 $13 4¢ $10 -$3 10-27 09:27
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? Yes +252 $21 4¢ $10 -$11 08-29 10:58
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +3,592 $150 0¢ $5 -$145 08-28 02:20