Celebrated-Caffeine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$903

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

50.6%

Resolved

4,330

Trades

7,263

lifetime

Volume

$24.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 10-27 14:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 227 days

Categories

Other

47% 39% -$602

Sports

44% 47% -$152

Crypto

10% 47% -$149

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	—	+8	$4	48¢	$4	+$0	10-27 07:34
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?	Yes		-24	-$2	5¢	$-1	+$1	09-04 17:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
mex pac tol 2026 03 22 pac	21	$392	820	768	+52	No	-$23	03-22 20:03
mls por vwh 2026 03 07 vwh	3	$266	568	568	+0	Yes	-$16	03-08 04:16
nhl cal nj 2026 03 12 spread home 1pt5	12	$126	117	96	+21	Flames	+$7	03-12 21:30
nhl wsh phi 2026 03 11	8	$98	104	80	+23	Flyers	-$13	03-11 15:45
nhl mon ott 2026 03 11	8	$94	133	103	+30	Canadiens	+$16	03-11 15:45
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Color - Map 1 Winner	31	$88	166	166	+0	Color	-$76	09-13 17:22
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on August 2?	14	$68	35	35	+0	No	+$2	08-02 18:27
ufc sam1 pie 2026 03 14	5	$60	70	35	+35	Piera Rodriguez	+$14	03-14 03:39
highest temperature in seattle on april 11 2026 53forbelow	10	$49	116	85	+30	No	-$8	04-12 00:36
nhl sea tb 2026 03 26 spread home 1pt5	4	$47	32	32	-0	Kraken	+$17	03-27 02:21
nhl edm stl 2026 03 13 total 6pt5	8	$44	50	24	+26	Under	+$20	03-14 02:18
nba nyk ind 2026 03 13 spread away 13pt5	5	$43	51	21	+31	Pacers	+$22	03-14 01:59
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5	6	$41	46	46	+0	Yes	+$0	05-27 01:16
nhl edm stl 2026 03 13	3	$40	44	22	+21	Blues	-$14	03-12 21:52
nhl lak nyi 2026 03 13	3	$40	61	30	+30	Kings	+$17	03-12 21:52
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?	4	$40	58	58	+0	open	—	10-26 23:03
dota2 glyph xctn 2026 06 04	5	$39	39	39	+0	GLYPH	-$8	06-04 13:37
nba lal mia 2026 03 19 spread home 3pt5	3	$38	61	30	+31	Lakers	+$17	03-19 20:58
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on August 2?	9	$38	25	20	+5	No	+$2	08-02 15:53
nhl mon ott 2026 03 11 total 6pt5	2	$37	51	25	+25	Under	+$13	03-11 15:45
nhl wsh phi 2026 03 11 spread away 1pt5	2	$37	78	39	+39	Flyers	-$13	03-11 15:45
nhl buf chi 2026 04 13 spread away 1pt5	3	$35	42	21	+21	Sabres	-$12	04-13 22:40
elc wre swa 2026 03 13 swa	6	$35	27	17	+10	No	+$6	03-13 21:42
nhl dal tor 2026 04 13 spread away 1pt5	3	$34	39	19	+20	Maple Leafs	+$8	04-13 22:40
elc por der 2026 03 16 btts	3	$33	55	9	+46	No	-$21	03-16 20:19
nhl wpg bos 2026 03 19	3	$33	50	25	+25	Bruins	-$12	03-19 20:58
nhl lak nyi 2026 03 13 spread home 1pt5	5	$33	35	10	+25	Kings	+$11	03-14 00:40
mlb nym chc 2026 04 18 spread away 1pt5	6	$32	27	22	+5	Chicago Cubs	+$3	04-18 20:36
nhl mon ott 2026 03 11 spread home 1pt5	2	$32	35	17	+17	Canadiens	+$6	03-11 15:45
nba orl mia 2026 03 14 spread home 3pt5	8	$32	44	11	+33	Magic	+$20	03-15 02:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 14:28:54	Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic - Map 1 Winner	Astralis	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x9955cf…
10-27 12:15:50	Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xbf4c61…
10-27 07:37:17	Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x6284a4…
10-27 07:37:17	Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	0	27¢	$0	0x1b1054…
10-27 07:34:47	mlb mil tb 2026 10 27 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	9	28¢	$2	0x43183c…
10-27 07:34:35	mlb mil tb 2026 10 27 spread away 4pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xd6dbed…
10-27 07:34:21	mlb mil tb 2026 10 27 spread home 2pt5	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0x3ae254…
10-27 07:34:15	mlb mil tb 2026 10 27 spread home 4pt5	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x4a5021…
10-27 07:34:15	mlb mil tb 2026 10 27 spread home 4pt5	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0x0a4e99…
10-27 07:34:11	mlb mil tb 2026 10 27 spread home 3pt5	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	13	13¢	$2	0xa0a495…
10-27 07:34:05	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0xb3313e…
10-27 01:43:29	Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5	Under	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x4dce0f…
10-26 23:03:06	Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?	Yes	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x7ad18d…
10-26 23:02:12	Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	Yes	SELL	17	49¢	$8	0x8a4414…
10-26 23:01:48	Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?	Yes	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x226082…
10-26 12:33:59	Meta (META) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xe537c2…
10-26 12:06:27	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on October 26?	Down	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0xe13455…
10-26 12:06:17	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xe13af1…
10-26 04:01:54	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on October 26?	No	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x749208…
10-25 17:27:08	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0xce2dd2…
10-25 17:00:20	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x27b9f3…
10-25 16:12:11	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0xeb7017…
10-25 14:07:56	Counter-Strike: BORRACHEIROS vs RED Canids Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 7 Playoffs	RED Canids Academy	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x2a2d4a…
10-25 14:00:35	Counter-Strike: BORRACHEIROS vs RED Canids Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 7 Playoffs	RED Canids Academy	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x32a00c…
10-25 13:07:14	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z - Map 1 Winner	MOUZ	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x26514c…
10-25 02:29:14	Rockets vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5	Under	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x84b120…
10-25 00:20:27	Pelicans vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5	Under	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xda5f30…
10-25 00:20:21	Rockets vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5	Under	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x58b709…
10-24 23:55:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x088303…
10-24 15:05:47	UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)	Grant Dawson	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x4d5f84…
10-24 13:11:35	Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs Isurus (BO3) - CCT South America Series 7 Playoffs	RED Canids Academy	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x844c70…
10-24 01:34:06	Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5	Under	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xaccdd6…
10-24 01:34:00	Grizzlies vs. Warriors: O/U 237.5	Under	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x99b61d…
10-23 04:50:08	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C or higher on October 23?	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x115f6c…
10-23 04:36:09	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C or higher on October 23?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x3de7f7…
10-22 10:37:32	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 22?	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x0a4ad5…
10-22 08:42:30	Meta (META) Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x1b0bfc…
10-22 08:25:15	Valorant: KeepBest Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT Threshold China Week 1	Wolves Esports	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x250f5e…
10-22 01:07:42	Bucks vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5	Under	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0xb48cee…
10-21 22:23:17	Bucks vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5	Under	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x9fc66f…
10-21 22:23:11	Timberwolves vs. Heat: O/U 240.5	Under	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x419b71…
10-21 22:23:06	Pacers vs. Pelicans: O/U 238.5	Under	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x951cea…
10-21 22:23:00	Spread: Magic (-2.5)	Magic	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xb5b02a…
10-21 06:53:57	Valorant: Unsettled Resentment vs Octagonal Disposition Gaming (BO3) - VCT Threshold China Week 1	Unsettled Resentment	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x2d2cba…
10-20 20:23:41	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21?	No	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x25d3c6…
10-20 15:44:06	Counter-Strike: Lavked vs ex-6666 - Map 1 Winner	Lavked	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x84b57e…
10-19 16:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20?	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xfece0a…
10-17 04:21:53	bitcoin up or down on october 18 2026	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x44f671…
10-17 03:23:56	ECA Women's European Cup T20: Romania Women vs Sweden Women - Team Top Batter Draw	Yes	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x9dc08b…
10-16 09:18:00	nflx up or down on october 16 2026	Up	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0x92145f…
10-16 08:15:55	msft up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0xe2c3e0…
10-16 08:07:18	nflx up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x3647e7…
10-16 08:07:12	ewy up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xf09795…
10-16 06:23:30	ECA Women's European Cup T20: Bulgaria Women vs Austria Women - Team Top Batter Draw	Yes	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0xd235af…
10-16 05:41:28	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0xcab5e7…
10-16 05:37:58	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x5c55b6…
10-15 01:51:14	crint omn can 2026 10 15	Canada	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x559451…
10-15 00:17:40	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 15?	Yes	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0x2784b3…
10-15 00:17:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 15?	No	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0xcb69bb…
10-14 21:14:21	bitcoin above 82k on october 15 2026	No	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x4f4a18…
10-14 20:11:00	solana above 105 on october 15 2026	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xd8af9e…
10-14 17:41:42	ethereum above 2400 on october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x7b771c…
10-14 13:00:35	West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies - Who wins the toss?	West Indies	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0xc6f470…
10-14 12:06:45	ethereum above 2500 on october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x2c929d…
10-14 12:06:39	bitcoin above 84k on october 15 2026	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xadb47e…
10-14 04:13:16	Will the price of Solana be above $110 on October 15?	No	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x29d278…
10-14 04:13:10	Will the price of Solana be above $105 on October 15?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x4c9fee…
10-14 04:13:01	Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on October 14?	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xb7c2ce…
10-14 04:12:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 14?	No	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x7508e0…
10-13 20:14:36	Will the price of Solana be above $105 on October 14?	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x1560e9…
10-13 20:13:42	Will the price of Solana be above $110 on October 14?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x00379a…
10-13 20:13:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 14?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x7f54a9…
10-09 16:38:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 10?	Yes	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0x281b3c…
10-09 16:30:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 10?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x5907d4…
10-09 16:26:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x2104d7…
10-09 16:23:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 11?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x2be001…
10-09 16:19:00	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Spirit	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0xc4d2f1…
10-09 16:16:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 12?	No	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x33b394…
10-09 16:10:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 14?	Yes	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0x7cd8a6…
10-09 16:10:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 13?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x864059…
10-09 16:09:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 11?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xe402fb…
10-09 10:59:06	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner	MOUZ	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xcb3897…
10-08 20:37:17	Will Saracens win?	No	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x02ffd6…
10-08 17:04:56	Will Saracens win?	No	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xdf67ff…
10-08 16:35:24	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on October 8?	Up	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0xb3fd5c…
10-08 14:19:14	Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	Aurora	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0xf06f49…
10-08 13:38:29	Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 1 Winner	Aurora	SELL	6	29¢	$2	0x0e7a80…
10-08 12:25:03	Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	Team Vitality	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0xc8d335…
10-08 09:40:27	Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	100 Thieves	SELL	6	41¢	$2	0x8e0593…
10-08 09:09:56	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0x2f52b0…
10-08 09:09:53	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x229a76…
10-08 07:08:14	Will Micron (MU) finish week of October 5 above $1,080?	Yes	SELL	11	33¢	$4	0x2c0efb…
10-08 07:07:49	Will Micron (MU) finish week of October 5 above $1,080?	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xa420c2…
10-08 07:07:49	Will Micron (MU) finish week of October 5 above $1,080?	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x9e69ae…
10-08 07:06:02	Will Micron (MU) finish week of October 5 above $1,090?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x37d332…
10-08 04:58:25	Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of October 5 above $194?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xcc0ada…
10-08 04:24:53	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on October 8?	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x283e12…
10-08 03:41:23	Will Micron (MU) finish week of October 5 above $1,090?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xbf0f50…
10-08 02:08:10	Counter-Strike: Villainous vs FarmVille (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffs	FarmVille	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0x71f484…
10-08 01:49:46	Will Meta (META) finish week of October 5 above $720?	No	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x9280f6…