Beloved-Timber — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$86

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

99.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$12.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$226

Open exposure

$11

1 position

First seen

2026-01-26

last 08-12 02:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 100% +$85

Other

2% 83% +$0

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No		+11	$11	98¢	$11	+$0	08-12 02:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	21	$11.6K	5,850	5,850	+0	No	+$85	05-20 04:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	05-20 04:06
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 May 11-17?	1	$55	55	0	+55	No	+$0	05-13 05:35
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	07-12 06:03
trump out as president by march 31	2	$37	19	19	+0	No	+$0	03-16 07:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 2?	1	$34	34	0	+34	Yes	+$0	05-02 00:55
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	06-28 03:08
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	06-28 03:08
will ethereum reach 3200 in february 2026	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	02-25 08:36
will xrp reach 2 in august 2026	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	08-12 02:34
AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	03-16 07:32
Xi Jinping out by June 30?	1	$20	0	21	-21	No	$0	05-02 16:58
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 2?	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	05-02 00:58
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-12 06:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 13?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-13 05:34
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	07-16 03:12
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 1?	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	05-02 00:58
will bitcoin dip to 65k in january 2026	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	01-26 08:49
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	06-28 03:09
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	05-20 04:07
Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	07-16 03:10
will solana reach 170 in january 2026	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	01-26 08:50
will solana reach 150 in march 2026	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	03-16 07:27
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on last trading day of July?	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	07-16 03:11
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	01-26 08:52
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	08-12 02:35
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	08-12 02:34
will ethereum dip to 1800 in january 2026 971	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	01-26 08:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 02:35:42	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xd5c7f2…
08-12 02:34:12	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xaf69f5…
08-12 02:34:01	will xrp reach 2 in august 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x268e37…
07-16 03:12:08	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xb9ad08…
07-16 03:11:50	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on last trading day of July?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x4a7e6e…
07-16 03:10:56	Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe66b1b…
07-12 06:04:20	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1ae685…
07-12 06:03:59	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x0294d3…
06-28 03:09:49	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0dca13…
06-28 03:09:28	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x931627…
06-28 03:09:13	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xdf5c37…
06-28 03:08:40	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x56975c…
06-28 03:08:23	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x9ee663…
05-20 04:08:41	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xb87c04…
05-20 04:07:55	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x561012…
05-20 04:07:45	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe0e4a4…
05-20 04:06:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x22267e…
05-20 04:06:36	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	2,963	99¢	$2,948	0x3f0546…
05-19 14:45:24	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x911c3c…
05-19 13:38:45	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	1,729	100¢	$1,722	0x9f31bb…
05-19 13:24:31	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0xb9b761…
05-19 13:22:20	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	116	100¢	$115	0x079218…
05-19 13:19:55	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	123	100¢	$123	0xcd8202…
05-19 13:19:55	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	123	100¢	$122	0x4df88b…
05-19 10:30:31	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	163	100¢	$163	0xa7687a…
05-19 10:24:46	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x4970ce…
05-19 10:24:39	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x85f11d…
05-19 10:17:37	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x56870a…
05-19 10:15:45	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x760bdc…
05-19 10:14:56	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2a4c3c…
05-19 09:22:52	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	74	100¢	$74	0x75d556…
05-19 09:22:42	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xeaea32…
05-19 08:52:36	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x5d7eb7…
05-19 08:10:03	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x4e360c…
05-19 08:05:42	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0x851fc7…
05-19 08:05:33	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	152	100¢	$151	0x51cb0e…
05-13 05:35:08	Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x785f18…
05-13 05:34:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb76632…
05-13 05:34:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0xa7b219…
05-02 16:58:26	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$20	0xcb6a31…
05-02 07:31:34	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	5,018	98¢	$4,923	0x9759bb…
05-02 07:21:12	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	832	98¢	$816	0x2f843f…
05-02 00:58:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc7b8aa…
05-02 00:58:26	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xdaa559…
05-02 00:55:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x1325f0…
03-16 07:32:49	AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xcc006a…
03-16 07:27:21	will solana reach 150 in march 2026	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x265d98…
03-16 07:25:27	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x13a208…
02-25 08:37:40	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	19	98¢	$18	0xbe7149…
02-25 08:36:30	will ethereum reach 3200 in february 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x149544…
01-26 08:52:01	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x1f9d15…
01-26 08:51:21	will ethereum dip to 1800 in january 2026 971	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x62e9c2…
01-26 08:50:51	will solana reach 170 in january 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa40bac…
01-26 08:49:41	will bitcoin dip to 65k in january 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x25a2cc…