Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.48K

Unrealized P&L

-$6.29K

Hit rate

24.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$400.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$4.08K

Open exposure

$111.4K

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-18 14:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

61% 38% +$17,149

Politics

31% 50% -$702

Sports

5% 0% -$11,263

Tech

3% 50% -$3,703

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	-72,084	-$64,849	94¢	$-68120	-$3,270	08-04 07:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+30,000	$21,300	82¢	$24.7K	+$3,450	07-24 06:51
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?	No	+20,000	$15,569	70¢	$14.0K	-$1,569	10-18 14:02
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+9,134	$6,953	42¢	$3.9K	-$3,071	10-18 14:03
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+3,645	$1,153	16¢	$601	-$552	09-15 01:13
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	+2,218	$1,300	1¢	$18	-$1,282	08-04 07:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	17	$109.4K	24,778	96,862	-72,084	open	—	08-04 07:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	2	$46.7K	26,111	26,111	+0	No	-$261	07-29 06:28
iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674	5	$39.1K	36,291	16,291	+20,000	open	—	10-18 14:02
Iran leadership change by December 31?	2	$38.2K	24,222	24,222	+0	open	—	07-30 01:21
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	6	$33.8K	35,102	25,968	+9,134	open	—	10-18 14:03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$21.3K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	07-24 06:51
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	1	$21.2K	35,873	0	+35,873	Spain	+$14,708	07-17 05:18
putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	4	$20.2K	11,859	11,859	+0	open	—	08-09 11:52
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	5	$20.0K	12,576	12,576	+0	No	-$692	04-11 14:35
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$10.0K	5,555	5,555	+0	No	-$111	01-14 04:44
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$8.8K	27,452	0	+27,452	No	-$8,812	07-09 12:40
will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2026	4	$5.6K	3,113	3,113	+0	open	—	09-09 00:45
will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt0 and 5pt5	6	$4.6K	3,726	3,726	+0	Yes	+$2,837	04-16 03:03
will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	6	$4.1K	13,592	0	+13,592	Yes	-$4,092	07-24 06:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$2.8K	2,577	2,577	+0	No	-$117	04-09 02:10
will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 4pt5 and 5pt0	3	$2.5K	1,886	1,886	+0	No	+$1,256	04-16 03:04
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	1	$2.3K	4,255	0	+4,255	No	-$2,340	07-15 02:23
will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2027	3	$1.6K	5,377	0	+5,377	open	—	07-20 00:30
will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 14 starship	2	$1.5K	966	966	+0	No	+$390	09-16 02:19
will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	1	$1.3K	1,637	0	+1,637	No	+$288	01-08 10:18
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	1	$1.3K	2,218	0	+2,218	open	—	08-04 07:33
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	4	$1.2K	3,645	0	+3,645	open	—	09-15 01:13
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	1	$990	6,742	0	+6,742	No	-$990	06-18 11:42
will the spacex starship launch from florida by december 31 2026 20260617154758584	1	$560	996	0	+996	open	—	07-28 02:46
will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt5 and 6pt0	14	$542	13,001	0	+13,001	No	-$542	04-11 10:50
houthis enter aden by september 30 2026	2	$304	1,212	1,212	+0	No	-$40	09-11 11:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 14:03:03	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9,134	35¢	$3,170	0xfc8474…
10-18 14:02:12	Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	4,291	74¢	$3,185	0x17fd2a…
09-28 05:44:50	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12,441	47¢	$5,814	0xd5303e…
09-28 05:44:50	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13,527	56¢	$7,603	0x052ad1…
09-16 02:19:13	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?	No	SELL	966	96¢	$930	0xc724d6…
09-15 01:13:58	Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,018	35¢	$360	0x08f4ed…
09-13 11:50:22	Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,444	34¢	$493	0xed8251…
09-12 14:50:42	Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	679	29¢	$200	0x2da004…
09-11 11:41:18	houthis enter aden by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	504	20¢	$100	0x5667b7…
09-11 11:40:34	houthis enter aden by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1,212	11¢	$132	0x06db59…
09-11 11:39:42	houthis enter aden by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1,212	14¢	$172	0xc255f2…
09-09 00:46:16	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17,560	57¢	$10,000	0x60a1b6…
09-09 00:45:12	Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,640	96¢	$2,543	0x178971…
09-09 00:44:13	Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	12,000	72¢	$8,596	0x680a5b…
08-09 11:55:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	6,184	84¢	$5,200	0xb609ee…
08-09 11:52:43	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	No	SELL	6,000	87¢	$5,220	0x10374f…
08-05 00:49:11	iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674	No	BUY	5,698	78¢	$4,450	0x11f593…
08-05 00:13:56	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	No	SELL	5,300	85¢	$4,505	0x514639…
08-04 07:40:38	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 14 starship	No	BUY	966	56¢	$540	0xf80017…
08-04 07:39:38	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	No	SELL	559	85¢	$475	0x492ccd…
08-04 07:33:50	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	2,218	59¢	$1,300	0xecfab5…
08-04 07:32:06	will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2026	No	SELL	474	90¢	$427	0x3a144c…
08-04 07:31:24	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	1,000	92¢	$920	0x4005b1…
07-30 01:21:41	iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674	No	BUY	24,768	76¢	$18,900	0x224bfb…
07-30 01:21:02	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	24,222	78¢	$18,910	0xfa2e4a…
07-29 06:32:27	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	24,222	80¢	$19,300	0x4ee5fb…
07-29 06:31:30	Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	5,825	69¢	$4,000	0x21c550…
07-29 06:28:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	SELL	26,111	89¢	$23,239	0xd1ebeb…
07-29 06:03:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	26,111	90¢	$23,500	0x10b913…
07-29 06:03:24	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,224	90¢	$2,000	0x29afe1…
07-29 06:01:32	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	28,400	90¢	$25,560	0x347a22…
07-28 02:46:33	will the spacex starship launch from florida by december 31 2026 20260617154758584	No	BUY	996	56¢	$560	0xef712b…
07-28 02:44:51	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	600	91¢	$546	0x83898e…
07-24 06:51:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	15,070	71¢	$10,700	0x774f59…
07-24 06:51:00	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	11,978	89¢	$10,660	0x2bb00a…
07-24 06:33:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	14,930	71¢	$10,600	0x6d7710…
07-24 06:32:27	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	12,000	89¢	$10,680	0xa302cf…
07-24 06:27:49	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	No	BUY	2,242	34¢	$760	0x6c2605…
07-24 06:27:07	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	400	89¢	$356	0xa00428…
07-24 06:25:58	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	400	89¢	$356	0xc71b45…
07-20 00:32:49	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	24,778	90¢	$22,300	0x63e7df…
07-20 00:31:30	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	No	BUY	11,859	84¢	$10,000	0xdd5501…
07-20 00:30:43	will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2027	No	BUY	2,618	38¢	$1,000	0x96d66f…
07-20 00:29:18	will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1,812	87¢	$1,586	0xa1f587…
07-20 00:27:15	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	No	BUY	4,170	24¢	$999	0xd997f9…
07-17 05:18:25	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	35,873	59¢	$21,165	0x1d28d3…
07-17 05:16:43	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	23,985	90¢	$21,673	0x2ebb85…
07-15 02:23:16	Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	4,255	55¢	$2,340	0x06f90b…
07-15 02:22:23	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	No	BUY	3,685	33¢	$1,200	0x34fef8…
07-15 02:21:31	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	4,000	90¢	$3,600	0x15c99c…
07-13 09:02:14	will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1,301	81¢	$1,050	0xa123a5…
07-13 09:00:53	will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2027	No	BUY	1,071	28¢	$300	0x82e124…
07-13 08:59:37	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	1,499	91¢	$1,368	0x919f27…
07-13 01:50:34	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	No	BUY	1,742	32¢	$555	0xed0e6b…
07-11 10:26:47	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	No	BUY	1,470	34¢	$500	0x40f7cc…
07-11 10:23:14	will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2027	No	BUY	1,689	19¢	$318	0x16a331…
07-11 10:21:38	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	1,500	92¢	$1,380	0x23cfba…
07-11 05:18:17	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	No	BUY	282	28¢	$78	0x72b832…
07-09 12:40:40	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	27,452	32¢	$8,812	0x7b5db6…
07-09 12:37:13	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	4,950	90¢	$4,464	0x93b9b8…
07-09 12:37:13	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	2,085	91¢	$1,897	0x606b90…
07-09 12:37:13	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	2,563	91¢	$2,332	0x307d63…
07-09 12:37:13	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	402	91¢	$366	0x111565…
06-18 11:42:20	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	6,742	15¢	$990	0x51832b…
06-18 11:38:17	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	1,100	90¢	$990	0x1208c8…
04-16 03:04:14	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 4pt5 and 5pt0	No	SELL	1,886	100¢	$1,877	0x04d040…
04-16 03:03:32	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt0 and 5pt5	Yes	SELL	3,726	100¢	$3,718	0x915fae…
04-11 14:35:27	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	10,551	76¢	$7,976	0x7e2374…
04-11 10:50:09	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt5 and 6pt0	Yes	BUY	1,055	3¢	$32	0xe31ab5…
04-10 09:09:53	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt5 and 6pt0	Yes	BUY	1,044	3¢	$30	0xa555c9…
04-09 06:16:37	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	245	82¢	$201	0x0fccf1…
04-09 02:11:35	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1,617	83¢	$1,342	0xa7a73d…
04-09 02:10:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	2,577	52¢	$1,342	0x1d219f…
04-09 02:00:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	2,577	57¢	$1,460	0xc7139c…
04-09 01:59:55	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1,780	82¢	$1,460	0xe8f22a…
04-09 01:23:07	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	10,959	82¢	$8,986	0xba5549…
04-09 01:09:33	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt5 and 6pt0	Yes	BUY	658	3¢	$20	0x1bb4a3…
04-07 00:31:19	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt5 and 6pt0	Yes	BUY	539	7¢	$35	0x9cdcce…
04-06 07:05:21	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt5 and 6pt0	Yes	BUY	372	6¢	$24	0x6e9c00…
04-06 00:49:25	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt5 and 6pt0	Yes	BUY	811	5¢	$42	0x7e21e3…
04-03 06:18:23	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt5 and 6pt0	Yes	BUY	1,547	2¢	$30	0xe9dc74…
04-03 00:41:45	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt5 and 6pt0	Yes	BUY	3,089	2¢	$50	0x605b5d…
03-30 23:33:17	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 4pt5 and 5pt0	No	BUY	1,486	34¢	$500	0x13395d…
03-30 14:19:33	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 4pt5 and 5pt0	No	BUY	400	30¢	$121	0x94f8d2…
03-30 02:08:02	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt5 and 6pt0	Yes	BUY	562	9¢	$50	0x0cc94f…
03-30 01:44:20	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt5 and 6pt0	Yes	BUY	738	7¢	$50	0x274a6d…
03-30 01:01:52	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt5 and 6pt0	Yes	BUY	683	6¢	$40	0xfa0abe…
03-26 00:35:09	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt5 and 6pt0	Yes	BUY	592	10¢	$59	0xf71b8d…
03-25 05:30:51	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt0 and 5pt5	Yes	BUY	590	37¢	$217	0xa1a5ed…
03-25 05:25:05	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt5 and 6pt0	Yes	BUY	708	10¢	$70	0x73d18d…
03-25 00:50:41	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt0 and 5pt5	Yes	BUY	1,130	35¢	$394	0xa58685…
03-24 06:29:35	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt0 and 5pt5	Yes	BUY	150	33¢	$50	0x54f33f…
03-17 08:54:35	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt0 and 5pt5	Yes	BUY	666	15¢	$100	0x5d8453…
03-17 08:44:59	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt5 and 6pt0	Yes	BUY	601	2¢	$10	0x9c0d7e…
03-17 08:44:05	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt0 and 5pt5	Yes	BUY	1,189	10¢	$120	0x5f111e…
01-14 04:44:40	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	5,555	89¢	$4,944	0xda97c0…
01-09 01:43:08	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	5,555	91¢	$5,055	0x9da571…
01-08 10:18:19	will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	No	BUY	1,637	82¢	$1,350	0x859723…