Realized P&L
-$152
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
35.5%
Resolved
175
Trades
230
lifetime
Volume
$628
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$66
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-03 20:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 50 days
Categories
Politics
49% 11% -$42
Other
40% 7% -$78
Sports
9% 7% -$26
Crypto
1% 0% -$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,000 $2 1¢ $14 +$12 09-06 22:39
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +3,000 $6 0¢ $8 +$2 10-06 22:53
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +161 $5 3¢ $5 $0 11-03 19:59
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +32 $5 12¢ $4 -$1 11-03 20:04
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -91 -$5 4¢ $-4 +$1 11-03 19:58
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +703 $1 1¢ $4 +$3 09-06 22:40
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +17 $2 20¢ $3 +$1 09-06 22:56
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +667 $2 0¢ $3 +$1 09-06 22:38
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +51 $3 4¢ $2 -$1 06-15 17:31
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +111 $1 2¢ $2 +$1 06-28 21:34
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -118 -$2 2¢ $-2 $0 11-03 20:01
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +500 $2 0¢ $2 $0 09-06 22:38
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,000 $2 0¢ $2 $0 09-06 22:39
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +500 $2 0¢ $2 $0 09-06 22:38
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,000 $2 0¢ $2 $0 09-06 22:40
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +1,392 $4 0¢ $1 -$3 09-21 21:55
Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026? Yes +27 $3 4¢ $1 -$2 09-12 12:18
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +80 $2 1¢ $1 -$1 09-06 22:56
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -32 -$1 3¢ $-1 $0 11-03 20:01
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? No +17 $2 5¢ $1 -$1 11-03 20:13
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +200 $1 0¢ $1 $0 09-06 22:38
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +333 $2 0¢ $1 -$1 09-06 22:38
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? No +20 $2 4¢ $1 -$1 11-03 20:12
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +56 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 09-06 22:56
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +129 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 09-21 21:55
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +111 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 09-06 22:57