Realized P&L
-$69
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
40.0%
Resolved
130
Trades
229
lifetime
Volume
$362
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$10
5 positions
First seen
2026-06-21
last 09-30 19:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 42 days
Categories
Crypto
75% 25% -$46
Other
22% 31% -$19
Politics
3% 0% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +2,000 $2 0¢ $5 +$3 09-30 19:00
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +1,000 $1 0¢ $2 +$0 09-26 13:21
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,000 $1 0¢ $2 +$0 09-30 18:47
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes +1,000 $1 0¢ $2 +$0 09-30 18:58
Macron out by December 31, 2026? Yes +23 $1 4¢ $1 $0 09-30 18:38