Trim-Pipeline — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$38

Unrealized P&L

-$246

Hit rate

73.5%

Resolved

119

Trades

703

lifetime

Volume

$21.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

$149

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-26 18:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 69 days

Categories

Other

66% 39% -$589

Politics

19% 50% +$430

Crypto

9% 33% -$11

Tech

6% 100% +$172

Sports

0% 100% +$35

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes		+2,290	$395	6¢	$149	-$246	10-23 19:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	8	$1.4K	850	850	+0	No	+$85	03-23 12:10
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	2	$1.3K	1,020	1,020	+0	No	+$163	06-12 15:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	2	$1.2K	720	720	+0	No	+$151	05-06 11:57
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	1	$1000	3,030	0	+3,030	No	-$1,000	05-30 15:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	2	$971	1,428	0	+1,428	No	+$457	05-23 13:24
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	6	$776	500	500	+0	No	-$21	03-31 07:54
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$699	493	493	+0	Yes	-$1	03-08 18:22
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	3	$657	521	521	+0	open	—	07-11 19:05
bitcoin above 66k on march 3	2	$656	350	350	+0	Yes	+$40	03-03 16:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	4	$644	870	0	+870	No	+$226	04-24 05:32
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 29 2026 27c	33	$620	500	500	+0	Yes	+$300	03-29 07:30
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	8	$573	458	488	-30	No	+$141	04-08 18:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	2	$570	410	410	+0	Yes	+$78	05-21 09:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	3	$567	400	400	+0	Yes	+$74	04-13 12:13
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	2	$550	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$250	05-30 17:06
highest temperature in chengdu on april 13 2026 23c	8	$524	300	299	+1	No	+$74	04-13 12:05
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	2	$458	350	350	+0	No	+$150	04-22 05:22
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	9	$441	350	350	+0	Yes	+$77	02-28 14:44
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	2	$432	290	290	+0	No	+$32	04-22 05:22
Iran leadership change by April 30?	3	$427	440	440	+0	No	+$22	03-14 07:54
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	4	$423	275	275	+0	No	+$12	04-09 18:39
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	5	$395	2,290	0	+2,290	open	—	10-23 19:08
will ethereum dip to 2600 in january 2026 489	11	$388	230	230	+0	Yes	+$60	01-28 19:56
lol blg fox1 2026 03 16	1	$340	500	0	+500	Bilibili Gaming	+$160	03-16 11:37
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	3	$307	400	400	+0	Yes	+$94	03-02 07:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	4	$298	400	400	+0	No	+$10	04-07 21:36
highest temperature in shanghai on march 22 2026 18c	17	$270	322	322	+0	Yes	-$13	03-22 01:29
highest temperature in chengdu on april 16 2026 26corhigher	10	$253	430	429	+1	No	+$48	04-16 04:02
highest temperature in chengdu on april 12 2026 20c	5	$243	200	198	+2	Yes	+$34	04-12 08:09
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	4	$242	200	200	+0	No	+$30	04-17 12:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 18:26:08	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	SELL	65	36¢	$23	0x156699…
10-26 18:23:44	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	BUY	65	23¢	$15	0x8a8097…
10-23 19:39:39	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	28	21¢	$6	0xf6c54d…
10-23 19:39:39	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	12	21¢	$3	0x7f67e9…
10-23 19:08:23	Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	15¢	$17	0x9f124f…
10-23 18:58:11	Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	15¢	$5	0x70ff0c…
10-23 18:47:26	Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x81b3bd…
10-23 18:46:32	Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0xf981ca…
10-23 18:40:29	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Top Esports	BUY	150	5¢	$8	0x2ffb19…
10-23 18:39:30	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Top Esports	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x469fa0…
10-23 18:38:50	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Top Esports	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xeae836…
10-23 18:36:26	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Top Esports	BUY	80	10¢	$8	0xd7f2d3…
10-23 18:22:06	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Top Esports	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x7b74b6…
10-23 17:40:39	Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,090	17¢	$365	0x5a4a42…
07-14 18:29:25	Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x6eb169…
07-14 18:29:02	Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xcaf95e…
07-14 18:28:44	Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x113f9b…
07-13 18:56:58	Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Spain?	Yes	BUY	220	2¢	$5	0x8b6c67…
07-13 18:55:47	Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain?	Yes	BUY	530	1¢	$6	0x69d391…
07-11 19:06:10	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	250	6¢	$15	0xbb55a3…
07-11 19:05:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	521	70¢	$365	0x49e9fe…
07-07 13:02:41	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	250	8¢	$20	0x4f1224…
07-01 21:11:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xa29703…
07-01 19:03:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	517	56¢	$289	0x8e8f67…
06-26 17:51:50	Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	480	18¢	$86	0xb86d54…
06-25 20:18:59	Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	100	25¢	$25	0x6b9d7c…
06-25 14:44:46	Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x431f55…
06-23 21:58:37	Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	143	90¢	$129	0xc2c488…
06-23 20:56:10	Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	143	28¢	$40	0xa6944e…
06-21 20:24:22	Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	40	35¢	$14	0xd66735…
06-21 19:28:04	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x531c04…
06-21 19:25:55	Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	40	23¢	$9	0xb3b6b4…
06-17 21:04:28	Exact Score: Uzbekistan 0 - 3 Colombia?	Yes	BUY	110	11¢	$12	0xa78ba6…
06-17 20:01:02	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	206	17¢	$35	0x97e041…
06-16 16:13:41	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0x0b25bd…
06-13 11:12:13	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 spread away 1pt5	Switzerland	BUY	250	60¢	$150	0x3f89db…
06-12 21:08:10	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 corners total 10pt5	Over	BUY	168	30¢	$50	0x2bccbe…
06-12 20:19:48	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x7d2457…
06-12 20:07:36	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	SELL	530	0¢	$1	0x6e6f45…
06-12 19:52:54	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	BUY	330	3¢	$10	0xd1684e…
06-12 19:48:55	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	SELL	125	44¢	$55	0xc6ecd6…
06-12 19:36:07	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	SELL	189	15¢	$28	0xdb326f…
06-12 19:36:01	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	SELL	11	15¢	$2	0x8973b2…
06-12 19:09:13	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	BUY	400	3¢	$12	0xc3b468…
06-12 16:47:31	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0xc56159…
06-12 15:46:57	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	SELL	1,020	71¢	$724	0xa77093…
06-11 21:10:52	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	37	53¢	$20	0x9fe80b…
06-11 21:09:45	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	153	53¢	$81	0xceb9c6…
06-11 20:46:57	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0xfa3cb3…
06-11 20:46:42	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x48c0b6…
06-11 19:37:24	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0x046fb1…
06-11 18:31:13	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x2058ff…
06-08 07:16:25	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	1,020	55¢	$561	0xf4bae7…
06-03 13:55:19	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	18	29¢	$5	0x8dd591…
06-03 13:10:21	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0x9b82df…
06-03 10:07:09	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	185	29¢	$54	0x1d7273…
06-03 09:59:48	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	147	29¢	$43	0x8d0ef6…
05-30 17:06:53	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	SELL	1,000	15¢	$150	0xfda7ae…
05-30 15:37:55	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	3,030	33¢	$1,000	0x6eed7e…
05-30 12:49:50	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	40¢	$400	0xb9fafc…
05-23 13:24:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	408	78¢	$318	0x1b6973…
05-21 12:02:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	0	28¢	$0	0x64ffc7…
05-21 09:36:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	SELL	410	79¢	$324	0x44ff91…
05-21 08:17:05	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	9	28¢	$2	0x37168f…
05-21 08:16:49	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$2	0x7c41c6…
05-21 08:12:30	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0xdaa66d…
05-21 08:09:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x632a37…
05-21 08:06:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xfa40dc…
05-21 08:06:36	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xb04917…
05-21 08:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	39	28¢	$11	0xd17062…
05-16 19:20:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	BUY	410	60¢	$246	0x6239bb…
05-12 22:02:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	1,020	64¢	$653	0xd4a2ea…
05-11 17:20:49	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x3f2452…
05-11 16:47:07	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	628	2¢	$10	0x80cce3…
05-06 15:34:20	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	47	16¢	$8	0x9c873e…
05-06 15:34:05	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0xd83e78…
05-06 15:19:35	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x88c1f2…
05-06 15:13:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x8e870f…
05-06 15:10:36	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x86b66e…
05-06 15:09:28	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xa853af…
05-06 14:46:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0xd105b4…
05-06 14:22:41	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x348d14…
05-06 14:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0xb75259…
05-06 14:14:04	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe9ed86…
05-06 14:13:48	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x70b4ed…
05-06 14:13:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	45	16¢	$7	0x7029d4…
05-06 11:57:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	720	91¢	$655	0x92257a…
05-05 18:44:20	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 6?	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x43c0a2…
05-05 18:38:08	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 6?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x595c0f…
05-05 16:09:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 6?	Yes	SELL	9	17¢	$2	0xe75ca6…
05-05 15:27:02	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 6?	Yes	SELL	30	17¢	$5	0x4aa1f5…
05-05 15:24:30	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 6?	Yes	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0xc15a09…
05-05 05:34:18	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	8	19¢	$2	0x59d59e…
05-05 05:33:08	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	12	19¢	$2	0xf6eb69…
05-05 04:42:48	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	23	19¢	$4	0x59a9f4…
05-05 04:23:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x7c7ee7…
05-05 04:21:06	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 5?	Yes	SELL	70	17¢	$12	0x9cd0c6…
05-04 20:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x6cdfbe…
05-04 20:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0x54a5c0…
05-04 20:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x4b2fbe…