Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.19K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$43

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-08 21:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

62% 100% +$3

Sports

23% 100% +$1

Politics

7% — —

Tech

5% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?	No	+25	$23	96¢	$24	+$1	06-06 21:01
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	+16	$15	95¢	$15	+$0	05-30 18:13
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	Yes	+100	$2	3¢	$3	+$1	07-08 21:56
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	Yes	-40	$-3	2¢	$-1	+$2	06-01 12:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	19	$320	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	02-03 15:08
will the los angeles rams win super bowl 2026	17	$156	1,200	0	+1,200	open	—	01-02 09:13
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1	$122	123	0	+123	Yes	+$1	04-27 19:35
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	3	$49	50	0	+50	Yes	+$1	04-27 19:32
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	1	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	04-27 19:31
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$44	1,100	0	+1,100	open	—	03-10 15:03
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$43	43	0	+43	open	—	01-02 09:02
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	1	$39	40	0	+40	open	—	06-06 21:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	04-27 19:30
trump out as president by march 31	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	03-05 18:37
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	06-06 21:03
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	1	$26	27	0	+27	open	—	05-30 15:51
x banned in uk by march 31	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	03-05 18:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	3	$24	30	0	+30	open	—	04-27 19:53
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?	1	$23	25	0	+25	open	—	06-06 21:01
us x venezuela military engagement by january 15 2026 392	1	$21	23	0	+23	open	—	01-02 09:02
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	1	$18	21	0	+21	Yes	+$2	02-03 11:08
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	1	$17	18	0	+18	open	—	04-27 19:35
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$17	21	0	+21	open	—	03-05 18:39
will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	1	$16	16	0	+16	open	—	03-05 18:27
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	1	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	05-30 18:13
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 756	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	01-02 09:04
will gta 6 cost 100	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	02-03 11:14
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$12	720	0	+720	open	—	04-27 19:58
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$12	20	0	+20	open	—	01-02 12:38
moltbook shutdown by feb 28	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	02-03 11:14
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$6	51	0	+51	open	—	01-02 09:05
Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?	1	$4	40	0	+40	open	—	02-03 11:10
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	1	$3	0	40	-40	open	—	06-01 12:10
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	1	$2	151	0	+151	open	—	06-06 21:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 21:56:43	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x003208…
06-06 21:03:18	Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?	No	BUY	27	98¢	$27	0xb4764b…
06-06 21:02:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	BUY	151	2¢	$2	0xbce7cf…
06-06 21:01:42	Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?	No	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0xd2e485…
06-06 21:01:16	Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0x65bfd4…
06-06 20:18:40	Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?	Yes	BUY	767	0¢	$2	0x4a003d…
06-01 12:10:42	Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	8¢	$3	0xc969b7…
05-30 18:13:19	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xe60f25…
05-30 15:51:57	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0x6c3c70…
04-27 19:58:26	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	720	2¢	$12	0x341f84…
04-27 19:53:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	18	79¢	$14	0x896ee0…
04-27 19:35:56	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	123	99¢	$122	0xf93754…
04-27 19:35:20	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$17	0x644e52…
04-27 19:35:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x999505…
04-27 19:32:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	7	79¢	$5	0x0cd0f9…
04-27 19:32:06	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$25	0x6f8607…
04-27 19:31:58	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x50fc99…
04-27 19:31:54	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xedaac6…
04-27 19:31:26	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x2f3b80…
04-27 19:30:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x2488c4…
03-10 15:03:09	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	No	BUY	1,100	4¢	$44	0x69f0d4…
03-05 18:40:15	x banned in uk by march 31	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xa3c1f9…
03-05 18:39:31	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	21	80¢	$17	0x1c1afe…
03-05 18:37:01	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	31	98¢	$31	0x40815d…
03-05 18:27:45	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	Yes	BUY	16	95¢	$16	0x8bb4f4…
02-03 15:08:26	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	289	32¢	$92	0xffe37d…
02-03 15:04:30	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x8bb60e…
02-03 14:28:30	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xb427ee…
02-03 14:27:48	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0xf8b283…
02-03 14:02:16	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	29	32¢	$9	0xa2db72…
02-03 13:40:56	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	21	32¢	$7	0x9d8109…
02-03 13:19:06	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	21	32¢	$7	0x99d387…
02-03 13:00:06	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe2c533…
02-03 13:00:04	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	44	32¢	$14	0x7745e8…
02-03 12:50:26	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	59	32¢	$19	0x2504e8…
02-03 12:43:16	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	40	32¢	$13	0xeeac9d…
02-03 12:38:10	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	140	32¢	$45	0xcd8ab7…
02-03 12:30:24	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0xfc820a…
02-03 12:30:10	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xfe3b75…
02-03 12:16:04	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	160	1¢	$1	0xf0d6f9…
02-03 12:09:34	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xef558d…
02-03 12:07:52	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x43dd8b…
02-03 11:57:44	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x838487…
02-03 11:51:32	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	32	32¢	$10	0xb08929…
02-03 11:44:52	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	8	32¢	$2	0x256462…
02-03 11:22:20	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	111	32¢	$36	0xeccf4d…
02-03 11:14:50	moltbook shutdown by feb 28	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x3f6aeb…
02-03 11:14:06	will gta 6 cost 100	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xa4504d…
02-03 11:10:38	Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	40	9¢	$4	0x6f8fc1…
02-03 11:08:56	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	21	88¢	$18	0x69f058…
01-02 12:38:25	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x3d8328…
01-02 09:13:31	will the los angeles rams win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	192	13¢	$25	0xe10c7d…
01-02 09:13:23	will the los angeles rams win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x4a1240…
01-02 09:13:13	will the los angeles rams win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	70	13¢	$9	0xfca35c…
01-02 09:13:09	will the los angeles rams win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	320	13¢	$42	0x1041ca…
01-02 09:10:49	will the los angeles rams win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	24	13¢	$3	0x839809…
01-02 09:10:27	will the los angeles rams win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x582dbd…
01-02 09:10:03	will the los angeles rams win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	47	13¢	$6	0x583c1c…
01-02 09:08:25	will the los angeles rams win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xfc094e…
01-02 09:07:55	will the los angeles rams win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	240	13¢	$31	0xcae70d…
01-02 09:07:53	will the los angeles rams win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	138	13¢	$18	0x6734cb…
01-02 09:07:45	will the los angeles rams win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x4779d9…
01-02 09:07:33	will the los angeles rams win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xcd8edc…
01-02 09:07:25	will the los angeles rams win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	14	13¢	$2	0x372a9a…
01-02 09:05:17	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	51	11¢	$6	0x92573c…
01-02 09:05:03	will the los angeles rams win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	14	13¢	$2	0x67213e…
01-02 09:04:57	will the los angeles rams win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	25	13¢	$3	0x8b0578…
01-02 09:04:15	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 756	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x9db7a4…
01-02 09:03:23	will the los angeles rams win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0x03291f…
01-02 09:02:43	will the los angeles rams win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	55	13¢	$7	0x90220c…
01-02 09:02:27	us x venezuela military engagement by january 15 2026 392	No	BUY	23	93¢	$21	0xe620a9…
01-02 09:02:07	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	43	99¢	$43	0x08d1a1…