Thirsty-Monasticism — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$53

Open exposure

$25

1 position

First seen

2026-02-27

last 06-02 05:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

48% 100% +$0

Politics

26% 100% +$0

Other

23% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026?	No		+27	$25	90¢	$25	$-0	06-02 05:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	4	$228	200	200	+0	open	—	05-18 04:24
will trump visit china by march 31	2	$200	102	102	+0	open	—	03-22 09:28
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$199	113	113	+0	open	—	03-25 14:39
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on June 6?	1	$173	174	0	+174	open	—	06-02 05:42
will xrp reach 1pt5 on april 7	1	$124	124	0	+124	open	—	04-07 14:15
ethereum above 1700 on april 13	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	04-12 09:31
ethereum above 1500 on march 14	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	03-13 15:32
solana above 130 on april 18	1	$98	98	0	+98	open	—	04-16 18:25
will ethereum reach 2650 on april 19	1	$95	95	0	+95	open	—	04-19 15:58
solana above 30 on april 11	1	$94	94	0	+94	open	—	04-09 16:25
will solana reach 95 on april 6	1	$88	88	0	+88	open	—	04-06 13:49
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	1	$88	88	0	+88	No	+$0	05-05 14:22
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	1	$87	87	0	+87	open	—	03-29 06:39
will the price of xrp be between 1pt70 1pt80 on april 24	1	$83	83	0	+83	open	—	04-23 12:22
highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 13corbelow	1	$81	81	0	+81	open	—	04-04 14:02
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	1	$80	80	0	+80	open	—	04-26 15:47
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	2	$76	38	38	+0	open	—	03-01 16:20
Will the price of Solana be above $30 on May 8?	1	$75	75	0	+75	Yes	+$0	05-06 14:10
will ethereum reach 2800 in february 2026	1	$67	67	0	+67	open	—	02-27 07:02
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on May 11?	1	$55	55	0	+55	No	+$0	05-09 12:23
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	1	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	04-29 06:49
xrp above 1pt8 on march 14	1	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	03-13 15:37
Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026?	1	$25	27	0	+27	open	—	06-02 05:38
Will gas hit (Low) $3.00 by April 30?	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-29 06:51
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	1	$15	18	0	+18	open	—	04-21 10:56
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	04-26 15:49
highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 21c	1	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	04-04 14:02
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	1	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	04-13 15:49
highest temperature in shanghai on april 19 2026 17corbelow	1	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	04-18 11:54
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 28°C or below on April 26?	1	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	04-25 07:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 05:42:34	Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on June 6?	No	BUY	174	100¢	$173	0x60536e…
06-02 05:38:02	Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026?	No	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xab0f9f…
05-18 04:24:32	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	No	SELL	200	74¢	$148	0xb4a96d…
05-18 01:30:48	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	146	40¢	$59	0x7699ef…
05-17 08:21:16	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x22a034…
05-17 08:21:09	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	53	40¢	$21	0x005ea4…
05-09 12:23:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on May 11?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xf8bc06…
05-06 14:10:48	Will the price of Solana be above $30 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x612840…
05-05 14:22:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x7c48e5…
05-05 14:20:46	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x628b29…
04-29 06:51:10	Will gas hit (Low) $3.00 by April 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x069db7…
04-29 06:49:42	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x3ea867…
04-26 15:49:10	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5144e4…
04-26 15:47:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xd36768…
04-25 07:08:44	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 28°C or below on April 26?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xe8f6eb…
04-23 12:22:28	will the price of xrp be between 1pt70 1pt80 on april 24	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0xe24ba1…
04-21 10:56:26	Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0xd15403…
04-19 15:58:32	will ethereum reach 2650 on april 19	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x63c61f…
04-18 11:54:32	highest temperature in shanghai on april 19 2026 17corbelow	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd59cf6…
04-16 18:25:48	solana above 130 on april 18	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x74aa3b…
04-13 15:49:55	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x7252bf…
04-12 09:31:17	ethereum above 1700 on april 13	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x23683d…
04-09 16:25:39	solana above 30 on april 11	Yes	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x63743d…
04-09 16:23:25	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x88321a…
04-09 16:22:53	highest temperature in wuhan on april 11 2026 30corhigher	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x33773e…
04-09 16:21:55	highest temperature in beijing on april 11 2026 34corhigher	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf518ec…
04-07 14:15:13	will xrp reach 1pt5 on april 7	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x994c20…
04-06 13:49:43	will solana reach 95 on april 6	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x3aad3e…
04-04 14:02:55	highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 13corbelow	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x3fc505…
04-04 14:02:37	highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 21c	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x5f82c1…
04-04 14:02:13	highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 20c	No	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xb860f4…
03-29 06:39:26	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x500110…
03-25 15:05:45	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	No	BUY	13	89¢	$12	0xd62cd7…
03-25 14:39:01	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	113	88¢	$99	0xd55334…
03-23 06:42:25	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	113	89¢	$100	0xae62ab…
03-22 09:28:39	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	102	99¢	$100	0x83021a…
03-18 09:52:37	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x715861…
03-13 15:37:17	xrp above 1pt8 on march 14	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x5cd1b4…
03-13 15:32:43	ethereum above 1500 on march 14	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xeed06c…
03-13 15:31:59	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x960063…
03-01 16:44:47	bitcoin above 68k on march 1	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xbc567a…
03-01 16:20:41	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0xeab57a…
02-27 07:02:59	will ethereum reach 2800 in february 2026	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xd856cd…
02-27 07:01:50	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4a7c87…
02-27 07:00:28	nflx above 80 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xe8af73…
02-27 06:59:08	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xcfe4ff…
02-27 06:58:30	nvda above 230 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x38b405…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	21	$170.6K	2,968	05-19 09:21
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	19	$8.38K	1,969	05-03 23:57
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	18	$62.1K	4,728	05-04 07:56
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	17	$935	113	06-03 06:20
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	16	$4.80M	5,262	05-16 12:15
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	16	$56.6K	202	05-20 22:24
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	16	$43.6K	3,447	05-22 22:32
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	16	$2.63K	427	05-20 11:45