Complex-Assembly — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$110

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

12,960

lifetime

Volume

$2.96M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$228

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 05-24 14:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

66% 100% +$108

Other

27% — —

Sports

7% — —

Crypto

1% 100% +$2

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 1460 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	765	$839.3K	1,569,575	49,144	+1,520,431	open	—	04-24 21:38
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	1,421	$199.9K	399,991	1	+399,990	open	—	04-25 12:28
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	148	$196.0K	118,752	112,817	+5,935	open	—	04-28 14:12
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	443	$170.1K	121,761	119,523	+2,238	open	—	03-31 22:08
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	17	$166.4K	99,338	78,102	+21,236	open	—	05-21 22:10
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	13	$164.2K	82,473	82,473	+0	open	—	05-15 20:40
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	568	$135.1K	133,202	92,902	+40,300	open	—	04-22 04:28
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	391	$111.0K	137,254	136,381	+874	open	—	04-03 21:29
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	2,563	$110.6K	379,089	161,405	+217,683	open	—	04-24 00:46
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	51	$77.0K	44,173	44,173	+0	open	—	04-30 07:25
nba det orl 2026 04 06	9	$69.4K	57,966	57,288	+678	open	—	04-06 14:18
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	97	$64.0K	72,453	72,453	+0	open	—	04-07 21:29
nhl tb buf 2026 04 06	4	$62.9K	60,481	60,481	+0	open	—	04-06 12:28
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	6	$60.7K	30,400	30,400	+0	open	—	05-11 23:15
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	84	$31.3K	30,145	30,145	+0	No	+$77	05-04 15:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$30.3K	30,348	0	+30,348	Yes	+$30	05-09 12:37
cbb uconn mich 2026 04 06 spread home 6pt5	111	$27.0K	25,984	25,984	+0	open	—	04-06 19:08
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?	44	$24.6K	20,199	20,199	+0	open	—	04-29 23:57
Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	39	$24.5K	16,088	16,088	+0	open	—	04-29 21:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	50	$24.1K	16,719	16,704	+15	open	—	04-06 17:15
nhl edm utah 2026 04 07	53	$22.5K	21,542	21,542	+0	open	—	04-07 16:38
Over $2M committed to the Printr public sale?	9	$20.9K	10,452	10,452	+0	open	—	04-28 22:18
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	23	$19.6K	11,714	11,714	+0	open	—	04-30 01:22
cbb ala mich 2026 03 27	12	$19.4K	12,021	11,989	+32	open	—	03-27 18:39
cbb tenn mich 2026 03 29 total 146pt5	38	$18.9K	19,180	19,193	-13	open	—	03-29 14:04
Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?	36	$17.1K	21,487	4,122	+17,365	open	—	04-30 01:07
cbb pur arz 2026 03 28 spread home 5pt5	17	$16.1K	16,000	16,000	+0	open	—	03-28 16:14
Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?	24	$16.0K	13,053	13,053	+0	open	—	04-29 23:57
will the us invade iran by march 31	22	$14.4K	17,290	17,290	+0	open	—	03-30 19:38
Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?	35	$13.3K	6,781	6,840	-59	open	—	04-30 07:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 14:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xedd17d…
05-24 14:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x804179…
05-24 14:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x333e2b…
05-24 14:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xf5c3cd…
05-24 14:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x85fb5f…
05-24 14:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x378af3…
05-24 14:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xc0bfec…
05-24 14:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	30	85¢	$25	0x5e0fc8…
05-24 14:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x4fca7c…
05-24 01:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x133227…
05-24 01:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x57472a…
05-24 01:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xda020d…
05-24 01:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x488246…
05-21 22:10:15	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	43,027	100¢	$42,984	0x03d3aa…
05-21 16:19:54	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	43,027	100¢	$42,984	0xbe6fcb…
05-21 11:06:46	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	5,000	0¢	$5	0xffa8e9…
05-18 20:44:41	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	4,634	2¢	$93	0xc5cd66…
05-18 20:34:57	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x21d948…
05-18 20:32:00	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	148	2¢	$3	0x3b8a36…
05-18 20:29:43	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0xfbb9e8…
05-18 20:29:26	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	115	2¢	$2	0x20775d…
05-15 20:40:44	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	4,066	98¢	$3,989	0x5b17e5…
05-15 19:05:14	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	1,037	99¢	$1,028	0x5f665d…
05-15 19:01:51	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x328ddf…
05-15 18:46:27	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	80	99¢	$79	0x07a37d…
05-15 18:46:25	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x754aa8…
05-15 18:46:24	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	41,344	99¢	$40,972	0x777bc6…
05-15 18:45:43	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	16,853	99¢	$16,701	0x2049cb…
05-15 18:29:57	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	No	SELL	2,373	11¢	$261	0xe924ef…
05-15 18:29:55	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	No	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x12d1f8…
05-15 18:29:39	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	No	SELL	17	11¢	$2	0xbecc07…
05-15 18:25:01	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	No	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0xb85e9d…
05-15 18:24:14	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	No	BUY	300	10¢	$30	0x2b9264…
05-15 18:24:10	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x956511…
05-15 18:23:58	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	No	BUY	400	10¢	$40	0xe327c1…
05-15 18:23:49	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	No	BUY	41	10¢	$4	0x7ff4e4…
05-15 18:23:47	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	No	BUY	33	10¢	$3	0x267945…
05-15 18:23:25	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	No	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0xa6831e…
05-15 18:23:21	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	No	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x7bcc6a…
05-15 18:23:14	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	No	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x1b6be0…
05-15 18:20:16	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	112	100¢	$112	0xcf6f52…
05-15 18:18:57	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	18,377	100¢	$18,303	0xabc521…
05-15 18:11:57	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	118	100¢	$117	0xbd9ce0…
05-15 18:11:15	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xdd9ef5…
05-15 18:10:26	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x92f4fe…
05-15 18:09:00	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	12,190	100¢	$12,154	0xcef046…
05-15 17:32:55	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	18,611	100¢	$18,555	0x5cf555…
05-15 17:31:42	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x01e14d…
05-15 17:31:23	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2b7a8a…
05-15 17:31:09	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	350	100¢	$349	0xa66664…
05-15 17:28:59	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	20,781	100¢	$20,719	0x4432eb…
05-15 17:23:35	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10,618	0¢	$21	0x64fd28…
05-15 17:23:13	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	5,911	100¢	$5,899	0x4db9c3…
05-15 17:22:52	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd0ab64…
05-15 17:22:41	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	17,438	100¢	$17,403	0x15b462…
05-15 17:21:56	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	857	100¢	$856	0x880a51…
05-15 17:21:28	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	240	100¢	$240	0x0f3261…
05-15 17:20:35	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	4,814	100¢	$4,804	0xeaa4f4…
05-15 17:20:18	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	30,140	100¢	$30,080	0x979dfa…
05-15 17:19:32	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x93b394…
05-15 17:19:30	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	52,205	100¢	$52,100	0x565427…
05-11 23:15:44	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	SELL	30,400	100¢	$30,339	0x0a56b5…
05-11 21:14:40	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe2dafb…
05-11 21:14:37	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3a0214…
05-11 21:14:35	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7c4f10…
05-11 21:14:33	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x878668…
05-11 21:14:30	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	30,000	100¢	$29,940	0x4eacab…
05-09 12:37:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30,348	100¢	$30,317	0xdcb728…
05-04 15:26:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	1,935	70¢	$1,355	0x922ea0…
05-04 15:22:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	254	67¢	$170	0x985c9a…
05-04 15:21:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	122	66¢	$81	0x919708…
05-04 15:21:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	59	68¢	$40	0xca3714…
05-04 15:21:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	2,008	70¢	$1,406	0x83edcf…
05-04 15:19:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	1	73¢	$0	0x680ba3…
05-04 15:18:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	2,552	73¢	$1,863	0x98e8c4…
05-04 15:17:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	222	73¢	$162	0xe03105…
05-04 15:17:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0xee7cf0…
05-04 15:17:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	9	73¢	$6	0x2ff551…
05-04 15:17:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	11	73¢	$8	0x217391…
05-04 15:17:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	1,200	73¢	$876	0xb8b3d3…
05-04 15:17:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	2,974	73¢	$2,171	0x180737…
05-04 15:16:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	1,100	73¢	$803	0xd9e10d…
05-04 15:16:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0xbac5ec…
05-04 15:16:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	8,079	72¢	$5,817	0xfcc0ba…
05-04 15:15:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	1,675	75¢	$1,256	0xcc41b8…
05-04 15:15:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	757	75¢	$568	0x67f162…
05-04 15:14:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	1,544	75¢	$1,158	0x3d0e4e…
05-04 15:14:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	4,000	75¢	$3,000	0xf7fd83…
05-04 15:14:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	400	75¢	$300	0xe9992e…
05-04 15:14:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x95dc8a…
05-04 15:14:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	80	75¢	$60	0x94e618…
05-04 15:14:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xfb2b00…
05-04 15:14:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	197	75¢	$148	0xbfef5c…
05-04 15:14:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	13	75¢	$10	0x01af1d…
05-04 15:10:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x702aab…
05-04 15:10:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	4,000	71¢	$2,840	0x49597c…
05-04 15:10:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xee7198…
05-04 15:10:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	8	71¢	$5	0xcf4b39…
05-04 15:10:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	23	71¢	$16	0x0218b6…
05-04 15:10:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	249	71¢	$177	0x91e599…