Murky-Oxford — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$197

Unrealized P&L

+$12

Hit rate

73.8%

Resolved (90d)

139

Trades (90d)

321

1,079 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$47.2K

$165.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

$154

Open exposure

$777

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 11-05 15:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 117 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 82% +$423

Politics

1% 100% +$5

Other

0% 0% -$19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 November 2-8?	No	+491	$483	100¢	$490	+$6	11-05 15:34
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 November 2-8?	No	+185	$181	100¢	$185	+$4	11-05 11:58
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 November 2-8?	No	+102	$100	100¢	$102	+$2	11-05 15:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	23	$7.3K	3,700	3,819	-119	No	-$41	03-01 02:46
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	29	$5.2K	4,146	4,146	+0	Yes	+$8	03-18 00:28
will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	28	$4.0K	2,305	2,305	+0	No	-$16	06-29 23:24
will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	17	$3.9K	1,899	2,112	-213	No	+$35	02-27 11:49
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	15	$3.7K	1,865	1,865	+0	No	+$26	02-01 05:35
will bitcoin reach 105k in january 2026	21	$3.0K	1,715	1,495	+220	No	+$29	01-25 12:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	11	$2.8K	1,576	1,270	+306	No	+$26	05-24 11:07
will bitcoin reach 110k in january 2026	11	$2.3K	1,205	1,205	+0	No	+$44	01-20 05:02
will ethereum dip to 2000 in february 2026	24	$2.1K	1,851	1,431	+420	Yes	+$182	02-05 02:36
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	7	$2.1K	1,083	1,083	+0	No	+$38	03-20 16:47
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	8	$1.9K	1,006	1,006	+0	No	+$23	05-18 14:40
will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	11	$1.9K	1,026	1,026	+0	No	+$18	06-24 20:26
will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	10	$1.9K	1,007	1,007	+0	No	+$6	07-27 16:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	19	$1.8K	1,483	1,154	+329	No	-$31	04-28 16:47
will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	9	$1.8K	909	909	+0	No	+$8	06-27 12:04
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	6	$1.7K	1,040	1,040	+0	No	-$36	07-30 23:39
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 November 2-8?	3	$1.6K	1,077	586	+491	open	—	11-05 15:34
will bitcoin reach 115k in january 2026	5	$1.5K	790	790	+0	No	+$1	01-07 14:48
will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	13	$1.5K	984	984	+0	Yes	-$92	06-14 14:38
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	11	$1.5K	781	781	+0	No	+$36	03-30 05:32
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	4	$1.5K	1,713	800	+913	No	-$59	03-01 02:47
will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	6	$1.5K	803	803	+0	No	+$27	07-29 11:01
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	4	$1.4K	750	750	+0	No	+$3	03-04 09:59
will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	18	$1.3K	1,100	1,100	+0	Yes	+$40	08-16 19:32
will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	4	$1.3K	700	700	+0	No	+$24	06-19 17:03
will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	11	$1.3K	660	660	+0	No	+$10	02-09 13:12
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 20-26?	7	$1.3K	798	551	+247	No	+$25	04-26 02:13
will bitcoin reach 78k february 16 22	3	$1.2K	635	635	+0	No	+$16	02-20 13:50
will bitcoin reach 68k july 13 19 2026	21	$1.2K	626	626	+0	No	+$2	07-19 02:22
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?	12	$1.2K	651	651	+0	No	+$36	08-28 16:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 15:34:39	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	491	100¢	$489	0xe567e2…
11-05 15:33:42	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x04968e…
11-05 15:30:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	421	97¢	$407	0x3dda08…
11-05 15:29:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	92	93¢	$86	0xc351af…
11-05 14:10:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 5?	Yes	SELL	104	95¢	$98	0xee35ca…
11-05 11:58:36	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 November 2-8?	No	BUY	185	98¢	$181	0xac5783…
11-05 11:57:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 5?	No	SELL	182	100¢	$182	0xf39c1e…
11-04 22:45:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 5?	No	BUY	182	99¢	$180	0xe0b5c9…
11-04 22:44:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 5?	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x8001f8…
11-04 22:43:01	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on November 4?	No	SELL	286	97¢	$277	0xc9b7d9…
11-04 22:24:55	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	286	98¢	$280	0xe7dc5a…
11-04 16:02:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	92	98¢	$90	0x3726a5…
11-04 16:02:42	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0x98c438…
11-03 22:01:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	283	99¢	$280	0xeb7def…
11-03 13:35:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	109	97¢	$105	0x65813e…
11-03 11:07:34	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?	Yes	SELL	150	70¢	$105	0xa14085…
11-03 10:49:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	280	99¢	$277	0xc26810…
11-03 10:47:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	312	96¢	$300	0xb438aa…
11-03 10:46:57	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	586	99¢	$579	0xad4f0f…
11-02 23:59:55	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xaeb5e7…
11-02 16:07:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 2?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x0c6b98…
11-02 16:07:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 2?	Yes	SELL	98	99¢	$97	0xd756d1…
11-02 11:12:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	98	97¢	$95	0x29d6c2…
11-02 11:02:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in November?	Yes	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x892add…
11-02 11:02:01	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	586	98¢	$573	0xaca80e…
11-02 11:01:06	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	103	98¢	$101	0xab9e86…
11-01 22:49:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on November 1?	No	BUY	471	99¢	$465	0x1f7645…
11-01 12:15:19	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?	Yes	BUY	150	81¢	$122	0x9d01d5…
11-01 12:03:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in November?	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x6c974e…
11-01 11:57:36	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x5b961c…
11-01 03:44:16	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	65¢	$32	0xf0229b…
11-01 03:10:51	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	63¢	$31	0x3009e9…
11-01 01:20:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x0788b9…
11-01 01:19:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x701ddb…
11-01 01:17:54	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0xebc167…
11-01 01:14:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	402	100¢	$400	0x08ae7e…
11-01 01:13:28	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xa31aba…
10-29 01:07:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	331	98¢	$325	0xccb3c7…
10-29 01:06:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	SELL	243	99¢	$241	0xfda4c5…
10-28 10:41:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	86	98¢	$84	0x09854e…
10-28 10:39:50	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?	No	SELL	86	98¢	$84	0x73e17f…
10-22 15:24:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	BUY	243	93¢	$227	0x333b79…
10-22 11:55:36	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?	No	BUY	86	93¢	$80	0x2d412d…
10-22 11:54:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 22?	Yes	SELL	118	99¢	$118	0x728dc5…
10-22 10:37:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x1c821a…
10-22 10:35:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 22?	Yes	SELL	319	97¢	$309	0x7b6438…
10-21 22:24:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	319	99¢	$316	0x9c1fd9…
10-21 00:23:54	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 October 19-25?	No	SELL	215	99¢	$212	0x0de694…
10-20 15:39:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 October 19-25?	No	SELL	103	99¢	$101	0x4c6631…
10-19 05:36:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	103	98¢	$100	0x0d696f…
10-19 05:33:54	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	70	97¢	$68	0xe2bb4e…
10-19 05:33:41	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	145	97¢	$141	0x8c9d9b…
10-19 00:22:32	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 October 12-18?	No	BUY	311	100¢	$310	0xe7771b…
10-19 00:20:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 12-18?	No	SELL	308	100¢	$307	0x01da1f…
10-15 22:37:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 12-18?	No	BUY	308	98¢	$300	0x9ce3fc…
10-15 22:37:00	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 12-18?	No	SELL	308	99¢	$305	0x3d9d4c…
10-13 02:30:15	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 12-18?	No	BUY	308	96¢	$295	0x2e58f9…
10-13 02:29:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 12-18?	No	SELL	302	98¢	$296	0x8ecdf7…
10-12 06:24:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 12-18?	No	BUY	131	97¢	$127	0x04679b…
10-12 06:20:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 12-18?	No	BUY	171	97¢	$166	0xc1ca7d…
10-09 05:41:38	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	295	98¢	$289	0x615f8d…
10-09 02:48:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	SELL	125	80¢	$100	0x6ceb7c…
10-09 02:30:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	SELL	18	80¢	$14	0x784010…
10-09 02:06:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	SELL	100	80¢	$80	0xbf0d59…
10-09 02:05:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	SELL	14	80¢	$11	0x6beaad…
10-09 01:48:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	SELL	7	80¢	$5	0x588ff6…
10-09 01:43:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x85f78d…
10-09 01:13:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	SELL	6	80¢	$4	0x73a626…
10-09 01:09:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	SELL	30	80¢	$24	0x117d26…
10-09 01:04:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xf2ed7a…
10-09 00:49:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	SELL	9	80¢	$7	0x3c3007…
10-09 00:46:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0x606302…
10-09 00:43:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	SELL	35	80¢	$28	0x915cf6…
10-07 02:01:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	BUY	358	89¢	$319	0x077000…
10-06 10:06:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	321	100¢	$320	0x5cea42…
10-06 01:07:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 on October 5?	No	BUY	320	99¢	$318	0xac8133…
10-06 01:06:31	Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 October 5-11?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x8f5a4f…
10-06 01:06:02	Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 October 5-11?	No	SELL	315	99¢	$312	0xec42e3…
10-05 11:13:59	will bitcoin reach 98k october 5 11 2026	No	BUY	321	98¢	$315	0xd47b9e…
10-04 23:25:56	will bitcoin dip to 83k on october 4 2026	No	BUY	315	99¢	$313	0x115e97…
10-04 23:24:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4?	No	SELL	314	100¢	$313	0x555efb…
10-02 04:52:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	271	98¢	$265	0xee2af1…
10-02 04:49:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 2?	No	SELL	344	78¢	$270	0x260983…
10-01 22:47:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	344	98¢	$338	0x0bfa5d…
10-01 08:50:41	will bitcoin dip to 78k september 28 october 4 2026	No	BUY	42	92¢	$39	0x51c255…
10-01 08:50:21	will bitcoin reach 90k september 28 october 4 2026	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0xe299f4…
10-01 06:18:41	bitcoin above 80k on october 1 2026	Yes	BUY	339	100¢	$337	0x272a73…
09-28 15:09:59	will bitcoin reach 90k september 28 october 4 2026	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0xea94d2…
09-28 14:56:29	will bitcoin reach 90k september 28 october 4 2026	No	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0xd287ca…
09-28 14:55:18	will bitcoin reach 90k in september 2026	No	BUY	203	98¢	$200	0xf44aab…
09-28 14:54:45	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in september 2026 from september 18	No	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0xf87931…
09-28 14:54:02	will bitcoin reach 90k in september 2026	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xc44ac0…
09-28 14:53:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 28?	No	SELL	369	100¢	$368	0xca56e8…
09-28 04:50:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 28?	No	BUY	369	97¢	$358	0x72f3b5…
09-27 22:28:06	will bitcoin dip to 82k september 21 27 2026	No	BUY	359	99¢	$355	0xbabd6d…
09-27 22:27:48	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 September 21-27?	No	SELL	356	100¢	$355	0xb3bce0…
09-26 22:36:42	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 September 21-27?	No	BUY	356	98¢	$351	0xe6b9f5…
09-26 22:35:21	will bitcoin dip to 75k in september 2026 from september 16	No	SELL	260	98¢	$256	0xb83841…
09-26 22:35:09	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?	No	SELL	98	97¢	$95	0x5f17dd…
09-25 16:41:15	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?	No	BUY	98	96¢	$94	0xdaf2b6…