Murky-Oxford — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$480

Unrealized P&L

-$13

Hit rate

74.8%

Resolved

323

Trades

1,142

lifetime

Volume

$177.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$155

Open exposure

$384

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 11-15 14:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 123 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 82% +$494

Politics

1% 100% +$5

Other

0% 0% -$19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 November 9-15?	No		+200	$197	100¢	$200	+$3	11-14 02:51
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+303	$200	60¢	$183	-$17	11-14 22:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	23	$7.3K	3,700	3,819	-119	No	-$41	03-01 02:46
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	29	$5.2K	4,146	4,146	+0	Yes	+$8	03-18 00:28
will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	28	$4.0K	2,305	2,305	+0	No	-$16	06-29 23:24
will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	17	$3.9K	1,899	2,112	-213	No	+$35	02-27 11:49
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	15	$3.7K	1,865	1,865	+0	No	+$26	02-01 05:35
will bitcoin reach 105k in january 2026	21	$3.0K	1,715	1,495	+220	No	+$29	01-25 12:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	11	$2.8K	1,576	1,270	+306	No	+$26	05-24 11:07
will bitcoin reach 110k in january 2026	11	$2.3K	1,205	1,205	+0	No	+$44	01-20 05:02
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 November 2-8?	4	$2.1K	1,077	1,077	+0	No	+$7	11-08 21:58
will ethereum dip to 2000 in february 2026	24	$2.1K	1,851	1,431	+420	Yes	+$182	02-05 02:36
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	7	$2.1K	1,083	1,083	+0	No	+$38	03-20 16:47
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	8	$1.9K	1,006	1,006	+0	No	+$23	05-18 14:40
will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	11	$1.9K	1,026	1,026	+0	No	+$18	06-24 20:26
will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	10	$1.9K	1,007	1,007	+0	No	+$6	07-27 16:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	19	$1.8K	1,483	1,154	+329	No	-$31	04-28 16:47
will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	9	$1.8K	909	909	+0	No	+$8	06-27 12:04
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	6	$1.7K	1,040	1,040	+0	No	-$36	07-30 23:39
will bitcoin reach 115k in january 2026	5	$1.5K	790	790	+0	No	+$1	01-07 14:48
will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	13	$1.5K	984	984	+0	Yes	-$92	06-14 14:38
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	11	$1.5K	781	781	+0	No	+$36	03-30 05:32
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	4	$1.5K	1,713	800	+913	No	-$59	03-01 02:47
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in November?	8	$1.5K	864	864	+0	open	—	11-15 14:50
will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	6	$1.5K	803	803	+0	No	+$27	07-29 11:01
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	4	$1.4K	750	750	+0	No	+$3	03-04 09:59
will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	18	$1.3K	1,100	1,100	+0	Yes	+$40	08-16 19:32
will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	4	$1.3K	700	700	+0	No	+$24	06-19 17:03
will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	11	$1.3K	660	660	+0	No	+$10	02-09 13:12
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 20-26?	7	$1.3K	798	551	+247	No	+$25	04-26 02:13
will bitcoin reach 78k february 16 22	3	$1.2K	635	635	+0	No	+$16	02-20 13:50
will bitcoin reach 68k july 13 19 2026	21	$1.2K	626	626	+0	No	+$2	07-19 02:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-15 14:50:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in November?	No	SELL	374	84¢	$313	0x6499a0…
11-15 13:06:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in November?	No	BUY	374	86¢	$322	0x76b978…
11-14 22:43:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	303	66¢	$200	0x61ba9c…
11-14 22:41:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in November?	No	SELL	490	78¢	$382	0x535065…
11-14 22:38:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 November 9-15?	No	SELL	56	76¢	$43	0x00a10f…
11-14 04:08:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 November 9-15?	No	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0xb49a93…
11-14 03:39:26	Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in November?	Yes	SELL	100	56¢	$56	0x62c0de…
11-14 03:39:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?	Yes	BUY	112	74¢	$83	0x5e2f6e…
11-14 03:36:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on November 13?	No	SELL	87	98¢	$85	0x419b7a…
11-14 02:51:32	Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 November 9-15?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0x672ccd…
11-14 02:50:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 November 9-15?	No	SELL	206	96¢	$198	0x144198…
11-14 02:49:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on November 13?	No	BUY	87	99¢	$86	0x3000d2…
11-14 02:49:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 November 9-15?	No	SELL	94	91¢	$86	0x56862e…
11-14 02:21:43	Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in November?	Yes	BUY	45	70¢	$31	0xc3a2f7…
11-14 00:35:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in November?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x849f66…
11-14 00:34:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in November?	No	BUY	435	94¢	$408	0xf05d03…
11-13 23:52:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in November?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x393154…
11-13 23:49:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in November?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x34ad23…
11-13 23:44:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in November?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x30c367…
11-13 23:25:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 November 9-15?	No	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0xa2678f…
11-13 23:23:21	Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in November?	Yes	BUY	55	70¢	$38	0x0a0b2b…
11-13 14:28:58	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 November 9-15?	No	SELL	512	100¢	$511	0x3ce3f8…
11-13 13:27:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 14?	No	SELL	222	100¢	$222	0x601401…
11-13 11:50:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 November 9-15?	No	BUY	94	95¢	$90	0xdacfaf…
11-13 11:49:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 14?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0xe53e6a…
11-13 02:36:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 14?	No	BUY	312	99¢	$310	0xa2c3f2…
11-13 02:35:09	Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on November 12?	No	SELL	308	100¢	$308	0x8e5433…
11-12 22:36:45	Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on November 12?	No	BUY	308	99¢	$305	0x969d7f…
11-12 13:17:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	308	99¢	$305	0x17a275…
11-12 13:17:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 12?	No	SELL	305	100¢	$305	0x20068b…
11-12 08:09:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 12?	No	BUY	305	99¢	$303	0x6fc37f…
11-11 22:40:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on November 11?	No	BUY	302	99¢	$300	0xf0512b…
11-11 11:05:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	302	99¢	$300	0xa01795…
11-10 22:39:09	Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on November 10?	No	BUY	299	99¢	$295	0x1b631a…
11-10 15:05:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 10?	No	SELL	52	94¢	$48	0x0d1c93…
11-10 14:18:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 10?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x37cef3…
11-10 14:17:03	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 November 9-15?	No	BUY	512	98¢	$500	0x9d83a2…
11-10 14:15:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 11?	Yes	SELL	315	97¢	$306	0xb068a6…
11-10 13:51:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 10?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x87141b…
11-10 13:51:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 November 9-15?	No	SELL	302	96¢	$289	0xcdeaa7…
11-10 10:49:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x876e5f…
11-10 10:48:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x10a2e3…
11-10 10:48:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	200	96¢	$193	0x0d71c6…
11-10 10:42:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 10?	No	SELL	301	100¢	$301	0xb66011…
11-10 07:46:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 10?	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0xcdcd02…
11-10 07:45:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 10?	Yes	SELL	91	98¢	$89	0x8884be…
11-10 07:45:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 10?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x05f368…
11-10 07:45:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 10?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xfb83c7…
11-10 07:45:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 10?	No	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0x6423e4…
11-10 07:45:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 10?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xcec363…
11-10 07:45:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 10?	Yes	SELL	53	98¢	$52	0x1e369b…
11-10 07:45:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 10?	Yes	SELL	46	98¢	$45	0x2e3a0f…
11-10 02:55:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 November 9-15?	No	BUY	96	97¢	$93	0x0ea287…
11-10 02:54:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on November 9?	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xb6a861…
11-10 01:52:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 10?	Yes	BUY	205	97¢	$200	0xe05fbe…
11-10 01:50:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on November 9?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xe7b1e9…
11-10 01:50:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 November 9-15?	No	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0xf33310…
11-08 22:39:15	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	192	97¢	$187	0xc74892…
11-08 22:36:03	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 November 2-8?	No	SELL	185	100¢	$185	0xcfc974…
11-08 22:03:00	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	603	98¢	$590	0x925ec5…
11-08 21:58:48	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	491	100¢	$490	0xec997d…
11-08 21:57:15	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0xd3a104…
11-05 15:34:39	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	491	100¢	$489	0xe567e2…
11-05 15:33:42	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x04968e…
11-05 15:30:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	421	97¢	$407	0x3dda08…
11-05 15:29:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	92	93¢	$86	0xc351af…
11-05 14:10:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 5?	Yes	SELL	104	95¢	$98	0xee35ca…
11-05 11:58:36	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 November 2-8?	No	BUY	185	98¢	$181	0xac5783…
11-05 11:57:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 5?	No	SELL	182	100¢	$182	0xf39c1e…
11-04 22:45:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 5?	No	BUY	182	99¢	$180	0xe0b5c9…
11-04 22:44:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 5?	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x8001f8…
11-04 22:43:01	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on November 4?	No	SELL	286	97¢	$277	0xc9b7d9…
11-04 22:24:55	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	286	98¢	$280	0xe7dc5a…
11-04 16:02:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	92	98¢	$90	0x3726a5…
11-04 16:02:42	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0x98c438…
11-03 22:01:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	283	99¢	$280	0xeb7def…
11-03 13:35:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	109	97¢	$105	0x65813e…
11-03 11:07:34	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?	Yes	SELL	150	70¢	$105	0xa14085…
11-03 10:49:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	280	99¢	$277	0xc26810…
11-03 10:47:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	312	96¢	$300	0xb438aa…
11-03 10:46:57	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	586	99¢	$579	0xad4f0f…
11-02 23:59:55	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xaeb5e7…
11-02 16:07:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 2?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x0c6b98…
11-02 16:07:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 2?	Yes	SELL	98	99¢	$97	0xd756d1…
11-02 11:12:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	98	97¢	$95	0x29d6c2…
11-02 11:02:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in November?	Yes	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x892add…
11-02 11:02:01	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	586	98¢	$573	0xaca80e…
11-02 11:01:06	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	103	98¢	$101	0xab9e86…
11-01 22:49:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on November 1?	No	BUY	471	99¢	$465	0x1f7645…
11-01 12:15:19	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?	Yes	BUY	150	81¢	$122	0x9d01d5…
11-01 12:03:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in November?	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x6c974e…
11-01 11:57:36	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x5b961c…
11-01 03:44:16	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	65¢	$32	0xf0229b…
11-01 03:10:51	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	63¢	$31	0x3009e9…
11-01 01:20:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x0788b9…
11-01 01:19:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x701ddb…
11-01 01:17:54	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0xebc167…
11-01 01:14:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	402	100¢	$400	0x08ae7e…
11-01 01:13:28	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xa31aba…
10-29 01:07:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	331	98¢	$325	0xccb3c7…