Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$95

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-26

last 10-16 09:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Other

76% 51% -$2

Politics

19% 40% -$7

Tech

4% 0% -$2

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump say hell 3 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357440	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	07-29 12:41
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in July?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-12 05:22
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-17 17:00
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	1	$2	9	+9	Yes	+$7	09-20 07:10
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	+$6	09-17 07:08
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-05 08:03
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	09-19 06:33
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-19 22:47
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	09-19 14:46
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	09-21 20:14
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	08-19 03:27
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-11 21:22
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-02 07:04
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-01 17:01
will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-01 14:36
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	08-02 23:54
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	08-05 16:04
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-01 22:57
spx up or down on august 11 2026	1	$2	6	+6	Down	+$4	08-11 13:18
will nvda dip to 216 by august 17 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-19 12:51
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-07 21:08
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-04 23:56
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	08-06 00:06
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-08 05:10
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in July?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-01 22:54
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-01 14:10
Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-02 15:53
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-12 13:24
will trump say iran or israel 10 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357439	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	07-29 22:13
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	1	$2	4	+4	cancelled	$0	07-31 18:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 09:58:07	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x81f3d0…
10-15 13:35:43	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xc2d573…
10-14 17:34:16	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 16 2026	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb246b8…
10-08 20:53:41	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x6829fc…
10-08 12:40:56	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x58bdb3…
10-07 16:32:08	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 7?	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xd2528a…
10-03 05:13:36	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xd5e93a…
10-02 07:48:14	spx up or down on october 2 2026	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x608eef…
09-30 23:01:56	spx up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x920185…
09-29 02:59:03	Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x64b846…
09-28 18:58:50	Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in September?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x642e70…
09-27 22:45:14	will ewy dip to 182 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x707a20…
09-27 22:44:47	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x4d2277…
09-27 14:34:08	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x8dd608…
09-27 06:27:32	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x142bd6…
09-26 22:18:18	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x6fe75b…
09-26 13:42:12	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xcff65b…
09-26 05:41:54	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xbe88cf…
09-22 04:14:46	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xdf78b7…
09-21 20:14:39	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x03cad2…
09-20 07:10:42	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x9d62a6…
09-19 22:47:48	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x25c5ad…
09-19 14:46:11	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x6719fb…
09-19 06:33:00	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x7651ba…
09-17 17:00:07	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x600335…
09-17 07:08:04	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xb20588…
09-01 17:01:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x463fba…
08-19 12:51:33	will nvda dip to 216 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xf23585…
08-19 03:27:58	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x61eaa6…
08-12 13:24:07	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xc6b45f…
08-12 05:22:37	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in July?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x620ce2…
08-11 21:22:18	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xcc563c…
08-11 13:18:22	spx up or down on august 11 2026	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xebb40a…
08-08 05:10:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x676c97…
08-07 21:08:57	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x828142…
08-06 00:06:12	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x6d3569…
08-05 16:04:57	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x531cca…
08-05 08:03:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x54e3bc…
08-04 23:56:51	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x0d79d6…
08-02 23:54:00	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xd57de3…
08-02 15:53:09	Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x68f7ea…
08-02 07:04:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x5f2c34…
08-01 22:57:24	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x5def23…
08-01 22:54:27	Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in July?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x3a5c13…
08-01 14:36:11	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xa77b91…
08-01 14:10:17	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x5a4562…
08-01 02:39:27	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x62be88…
07-31 18:38:41	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xcea97f…
07-31 10:33:32	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x017ca2…
07-30 16:29:47	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x29dd7d…
07-29 22:13:15	will trump say iran or israel 10 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357439	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x68de86…
07-29 12:41:59	will trump say hell 3 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357440	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xdeb447…
07-28 21:32:02	will warsh say independence during july press conference 20260720204109033	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x5c9079…
07-28 11:04:29	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x204d0a…
07-28 03:03:39	will trump say save america act during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556651	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x99023b…
07-27 17:29:46	will trump say oil or gas 10 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420353	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$2	0xc46274…
07-27 04:24:28	will trump say save america during michigan remarks 20260724162420366	Yes	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0xc37ec1…
07-26 16:16:09	will trump say grocery or dairy during michigan remarks 20260724162420361	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xbeaf8c…
07-26 04:15:18	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x3df2dc…