Decimal-Salmon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$42

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.76K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$156

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 10-06 07:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Other

69% 92% -$43

Crypto

29% 100% +$1

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$801	405	405	+0	open	—	07-11 01:03
ethereum above 2300 on june 10 2026	3	$440	221	221	+0	No	+$0	06-08 08:54
elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 190 214	1	$400	401	0	+401	No	+$1	04-06 11:18
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 740plus	1	$400	400	0	+400	No	+$0	02-03 03:23
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 140 159	1	$355	356	0	+356	No	+$1	03-11 07:05
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 580plus	1	$330	330	0	+330	No	+$0	03-16 11:59
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	1	$273	273	0	+273	No	+$0	05-11 06:48
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	1	$265	265	0	+265	No	+$0	06-15 13:07
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 460 479	1	$235	236	0	+236	No	+$1	01-19 13:31
elon musk of tweets january 12 january 14 190 214	1	$230	230	0	+230	No	+$0	01-14 14:05
will bitcoin reach 110k in january 2026	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	01-28 13:04
bitcoin above 88k on january 14	1	$200	200	0	+200	Yes	+$0	01-14 14:12
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 480 499	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	01-28 12:56
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$164	164	0	+164	No	+$0	04-17 07:07
Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates in May?	1	$150	151	0	+151	No	+$1	05-23 05:53
Will Khamenei post 60+ posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$135	135	0	+135	No	+$0	04-24 06:34
Will BNB reach $900 in April?	1	$122	123	0	+123	No	+$1	04-17 07:06
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	1	$118	118	0	+118	No	+$0	08-10 10:34
khamenei of tweets april 10 april 17 2026 20 24	1	$105	105	0	+105	No	+$0	04-17 07:05
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 480 499	1	$100	102	0	+102	No	+$2	01-19 13:30
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	1	$89	90	0	+90	No	+$1	05-23 05:52
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$80	80	0	+80	Yes	+$0	05-11 06:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	1	$77	78	0	+78	No	+$1	05-11 06:47
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 0 39	1	$75	75	0	+75	No	+$0	03-13 08:12
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	2	$69	62	62	+0	Yes	-$54	09-26 13:01
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 120 139	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	02-09 11:14
Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	10-06 07:42
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 0 39	1	$25	26	0	+26	No	+$1	03-16 11:56
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	07-05 14:56
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	09-18 10:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-06 07:42:27	Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x8423f9…
09-26 13:01:45	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	62	12¢	$8	0x970800…
09-18 10:34:16	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf0e17d…
09-09 12:02:33	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0xb6dbc2…
08-10 10:35:16	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7334da…
08-10 10:34:37	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x41bc76…
07-11 01:03:05	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	405	99¢	$401	0x1de1f8…
07-05 14:57:34	Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7a1bcf…
07-05 14:56:40	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6387de…
07-05 14:54:17	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	405	99¢	$400	0x8ff620…
06-15 13:07:52	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	265	100¢	$265	0xe292a4…
06-08 08:54:13	ethereum above 2300 on june 10 2026	No	SELL	118	100¢	$118	0xa02e15…
06-08 08:42:40	ethereum above 2300 on june 10 2026	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0xbf48e4…
06-07 15:30:28	ethereum above 2300 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	221	100¢	$220	0xcbd994…
05-23 05:53:37	Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates in May?	No	BUY	151	100¢	$150	0x06c11f…
05-23 05:52:46	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	90	98¢	$89	0xe2ab27…
05-11 06:48:11	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	273	100¢	$273	0xe7b354…
05-11 06:47:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	78	99¢	$77	0xfc4008…
05-11 06:45:58	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x810117…
04-24 06:34:18	Will Khamenei post 60+ posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x9dc845…
04-17 07:07:40	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	164	100¢	$164	0xe4c7e0…
04-17 07:06:48	Will BNB reach $900 in April?	No	BUY	123	99¢	$122	0x8d79d9…
04-17 07:05:54	khamenei of tweets april 10 april 17 2026 20 24	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xfd8aae…
04-06 11:18:13	elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 190 214	No	BUY	401	100¢	$400	0x0a916e…
03-16 11:59:19	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 580plus	No	BUY	330	100¢	$330	0x9b167b…
03-16 11:56:49	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 0 39	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x8387c8…
03-13 08:12:31	elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 0 39	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x2ac835…
03-11 07:05:55	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 140 159	No	BUY	356	100¢	$355	0x22e86b…
02-09 11:14:37	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 120 139	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2575e4…
02-03 03:23:28	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 740plus	No	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x9c814c…
01-28 13:04:57	will bitcoin reach 110k in january 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x81e0fb…
01-28 12:56:35	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 480 499	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xa819b0…
01-28 12:55:47	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xe73aae…
01-19 13:31:28	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 460 479	No	BUY	236	100¢	$235	0xa658d7…
01-19 13:30:56	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 480 499	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xd013b9…
01-14 14:12:46	bitcoin above 88k on january 14	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x87fa47…
01-14 14:05:06	elon musk of tweets january 12 january 14 190 214	No	BUY	230	100¢	$230	0x8d0ba3…