Realized P&L
-$6
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
14.3%
Resolved
3
Trades
31
lifetime
Volume
$52
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$20
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-15
last 06-15 19:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
51% 0% $-5
Other
33% 50% $-1
Sports
12%
Tech
4%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -6 $-6 94¢ $-6 $-0 06-15 19:37
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? No -6 $-5 95¢ $-5 $-0 06-15 19:38
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No -3 $-3 99¢ $-3 $-0 06-15 19:37
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -2 $-2 95¢ $-2 $-0 06-15 19:38
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -12 $-1 10¢ $-1 $-0 06-15 19:38
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -1 $-1 99¢ $-1 $-0 06-15 19:38
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -1 $-1 93¢ $-1 +$0 06-15 19:38