Showy-Footnote — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

14.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$52

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 06-15 19:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

51% 0% $-5

Other

33% 50% $-1

Sports

12% — —

Tech

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	1	$6	0	6	-6	open	—	06-15 19:37
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?	1	$5	0	6	-6	open	—	06-15 19:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$5	7	0	+7	Yes	$-5	04-20 09:00
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-21 19:28
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	1	$3	0	3	-3	open	—	06-15 19:37
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	1	$2	0	2	-2	open	—	06-15 19:38
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-25 10:04
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-25 09:42
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	06-15 19:38
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	1	$1	0	12	-12	open	—	06-15 19:38
Iran Nuke before 2027?	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	06-15 19:38
will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	1	$1	8	0	+8	open	—	01-15 13:00
Jiujiang: Giles Hussey vs Jason Jung	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-27 20:03
T20 BIFA Cup: Dragon Xi vs Kokrajhar	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-27 20:04
T20 Series Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka, Women: Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-27 20:03
Jiujiang: Adam Walton vs Jie Cui	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-27 20:03
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	01-15 12:59
76ers vs. Celtics	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-28 17:25
Mauthausen: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Sandro Kopp	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-27 20:04
will the buffalo bills win super bowl 2026	1	$1	7	0	+7	open	—	01-15 13:00
Hawks vs. Knicks	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-28 17:26
will the los angeles rams win super bowl 2026	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	01-15 13:00
SC RASTA Vechta vs. Rostock Seawolves	1	$1	1	0	+1	Rostock Seawolves	$-1	05-08 10:02
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-25 10:01
Will Iga Świątek win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	04-25 09:59
Huzhou: Yufei Ren vs Yidi Yang	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-27 20:04
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-04-27?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-27 20:06
T20 Series Malta vs Gibraltar: Malta vs Gibraltar	1	$1	1	0	+1	Malta	+$0	05-08 10:01
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-27 20:07
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-28 17:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 19:38:25	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xf619b9…
06-15 19:38:18	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0xa4cdf7…
06-15 19:38:12	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8490a5…
06-15 19:38:07	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xa0768e…
06-15 19:38:01	Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0xfdd30a…
06-15 19:37:54	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x26013f…
06-15 19:37:48	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x1d056d…
05-08 10:02:19	SC RASTA Vechta vs. Rostock Seawolves	SC RASTA Vechta	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x776e49…
05-08 10:01:40	T20 Series Malta vs Gibraltar: Malta vs Gibraltar	Malta	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xee3fb5…
04-28 17:26:42	Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste	Aryna Sabalenka	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xcb0de3…
04-28 17:26:08	Hawks vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x4ef113…
04-28 17:25:36	76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x4e8f7f…
04-27 20:07:22	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x943001…
04-27 20:06:20	Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x220ca0…
04-27 20:04:58	T20 BIFA Cup: Dragon Xi vs Kokrajhar	Dragon Xi	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x1f96cf…
04-27 20:04:20	Huzhou: Yufei Ren vs Yidi Yang	Yufei Ren	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xaa1418…
04-27 20:04:10	Mauthausen: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Sandro Kopp	Nikoloz Basilashvili	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x983b02…
04-27 20:03:56	T20 Series Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka, Women: Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka	Sri Lanka	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xbc9054…
04-27 20:03:14	Jiujiang: Adam Walton vs Jie Cui	Adam Walton	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x4f1340…
04-27 20:03:08	Jiujiang: Giles Hussey vs Jason Jung	Giles Hussey	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x6bd927…
04-25 10:04:52	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xe93278…
04-25 10:01:30	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x2b2577…
04-25 09:59:58	Will Iga Świątek win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x3dd39a…
04-25 09:42:58	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xf8ba99…
04-21 19:28:28	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x850aa9…
04-20 09:01:10	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x32e23d…
04-20 09:00:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x51e0f9…
01-15 13:00:32	will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x8a87ba…
01-15 13:00:12	will the buffalo bills win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x6c3367…
01-15 13:00:00	will the los angeles rams win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x1a87b5…
01-15 12:59:42	will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x07cb36…