Luminous-Torso — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$400

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

12.7%

Resolved

Trades

157

lifetime

Volume

$2.71K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-24

last 05-26 21:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Politics

57% 0% -$167

Other

23% 20% -$128

Crypto

20% 36% -$106

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-26).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	47	$1.0K	25,814	25,814	+0	Yes	-$119	05-25 06:46
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	12	$406	56,978	56,978	+0	No	-$64	05-24 19:20
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	8	$298	3,187	3,187	+0	No	-$8	05-24 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	7	$167	239	239	+0	Down	+$7	05-24 15:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	2	$75	415	415	+0	No	$0	05-24 08:40
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$68	100	100	+0	No	-$4	05-24 08:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	3	$50	50	50	+0	Up	+$10	05-24 15:44
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	5	$45	900	900	+0	No	-$23	05-24 03:30
Will S&P 500 (SPX) open between $7,600 and $7,700 on May 26, 2026?	14	$45	233	233	+0	No	$0	05-24 07:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	3	$44	162	162	+0	Down	+$4	05-24 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	3	$42	178	125	+53	Down	+$3	05-24 15:19
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	2	$42	200	200	+0	open	—	05-24 03:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	4	$40	812	0	+812	Down	-$40	05-24 15:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	4	$40	158	0	+158	Up	-$40	05-24 15:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27?	2	$36	50	50	+0	No	-$6	05-24 22:14
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	2	$32	31	31	+0	Legacy	+$12	05-24 09:46
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner	1	$30	3,000	0	+3,000	EDward Gaming	-$30	05-24 06:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	3	$24	81	81	+0	Down	-$16	05-24 15:59
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$23	400	400	+0	No	$0	05-24 03:30
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	2	$20	19	19	+0	No	$0	05-24 09:48
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	2	$20	14	14	+0	No	$0	05-24 09:48
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	2	$20	15	15	+0	No	$0	05-24 09:48
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	2	$19	50	50	+0	Yes	-$1	05-24 08:40
Will S&P 500 (SPX) open above $7,700 on May 26, 2026?	4	$17	200	200	+0	No	-$7	05-24 07:40
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?	2	$15	15,000	0	+15,000	No	-$15	05-24 03:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$13	37	0	+37	Up	-$13	05-24 16:01
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	2	$8	83	83	+0	No	-$2	05-24 03:33
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	2	$8	33	33	+0	No	-$2	05-24 08:41
Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)	4	$8	92	122	-30	Manchester United FC	-$31	05-24 07:41
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	2	$8	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$2	05-24 03:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 21:22:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x95b1af…
05-26 21:22:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xf42ba0…
05-25 06:46:05	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	3,900	0¢	$8	0x14c507…
05-25 06:44:18	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	3,900	0¢	$16	0x653e2a…
05-24 22:14:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27?	No	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0x0a5974…
05-24 19:20:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	19,900	0¢	$60	0xfaa5a6…
05-24 18:24:21	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	SELL	2,987	5¢	$137	0x2b2023…
05-24 16:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x064c7a…
05-24 16:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x10f35d…
05-24 15:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	81	5¢	$4	0x3b6706…
05-24 15:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x54bc69…
05-24 15:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x17e682…
05-24 15:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	256	4¢	$10	0x0e280f…
05-24 15:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	232	4¢	$10	0xee2685…
05-24 15:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x1c57d2…
05-24 15:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x38a2b4…
05-24 15:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0x250cac…
05-24 15:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0xdea93e…
05-24 15:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x44c364…
05-24 15:38:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x264ad0…
05-24 15:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xeb6e6b…
05-24 15:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xc9789c…
05-24 15:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xc8e2eb…
05-24 15:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	83	50¢	$42	0x3e2484…
05-24 15:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x791fa4…
05-24 15:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xea4940…
05-24 15:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	156	29¢	$45	0x17b729…
05-24 15:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x814536…
05-24 15:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x896619…
05-24 15:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x6029ce…
05-24 15:29:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x46ac13…
05-24 15:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	162	15¢	$24	0x2cdb8a…
05-24 15:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x780a2b…
05-24 15:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xf7cf58…
05-24 15:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xc9af9d…
05-24 15:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	125	18¢	$22	0xf2aeb0…
05-24 15:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xbaa5bc…
05-24 14:30:01	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7,200	0¢	$36	0x29ce68…
05-24 14:23:28	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x809839…
05-24 14:22:25	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	6,827	2¢	$164	0x98dfec…
05-24 10:22:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x92d982…
05-24 09:50:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12,500	0¢	$50	0xbf3c62…
05-24 09:48:51	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	SELL	19	51¢	$10	0x1b4fc1…
05-24 09:48:13	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	Yes	SELL	14	72¢	$10	0x226bf5…
05-24 09:48:04	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	Yes	SELL	15	66¢	$10	0xbd5393…
05-24 09:46:35	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	Legacy	SELL	31	70¢	$22	0x69aff5…
05-24 09:45:14	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	417	5¢	$20	0x3acb64…
05-24 09:45:07	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	772	3¢	$20	0xe3fd45…
05-24 09:28:46	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	935	3¢	$26	0x3b42e8…
05-24 08:52:34	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	1,875	5¢	$90	0x97be9c…
05-24 08:52:23	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	2,963	3¢	$80	0x7e7544…
05-24 08:51:40	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	355	5¢	$17	0x9def8e…
05-24 08:51:24	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	1,540	3¢	$40	0xc292ba…
05-24 08:51:13	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	24	2¢	$1	0xf236ba…
05-24 08:46:09	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	319	5¢	$15	0xa7848e…
05-24 08:46:00	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	594	3¢	$15	0xa0df54…
05-24 08:45:36	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x2dc93b…
05-24 08:45:22	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	Yes	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0xa7e9a0…
05-24 08:45:11	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xee06b0…
05-24 08:42:18	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	Legacy	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x353595…
05-24 08:41:10	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	SELL	33	10¢	$3	0xb185fd…
05-24 08:40:19	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0xcf2276…
05-24 08:40:08	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	32¢	$32	0xbf2a11…
05-24 08:40:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	415	9¢	$37	0x37e964…
05-24 08:39:51	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	32,559	0¢	$98	0x4e3bc4…
05-24 08:39:46	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	9,760	2¢	$186	0x4f230e…
05-24 07:46:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	415	9¢	$37	0x8d46a2…
05-24 07:44:00	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	4,186	2¢	$100	0xce3cb8…
05-24 07:43:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3,861	0¢	$15	0xbd0ac7…
05-24 07:43:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10,459	0¢	$35	0xafda48…
05-24 07:43:23	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	98	2¢	$2	0x9140e4…
05-24 07:41:10	Will S&P 500 (SPX) open between $7,600 and $7,700 on May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	11¢	$3	0xf62e07…
05-24 07:41:03	Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)	Manchester United FC	SELL	122	3¢	$4	0xa3d1be…
05-24 07:40:54	Will S&P 500 (SPX) open above $7,700 on May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$5	0xf91889…
05-24 06:57:44	Will S&P 500 (SPX) open above $7,700 on May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xf01def…
05-24 06:57:35	Will S&P 500 (SPX) open between $7,600 and $7,700 on May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0xf28c39…
05-24 06:50:27	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	476	2¢	$10	0x0ba22f…
05-24 06:40:28	LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Ninjas in Pyjamas	BUY	3,000	1¢	$30	0xbe514e…
05-24 06:34:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11,739	0¢	$54	0xa50b7f…
05-24 06:32:53	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x36dd7a…
05-24 06:30:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x6e0a13…
05-24 06:29:18	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0xdd46ba…
05-24 06:24:22	Will S&P 500 (SPX) open between $7,600 and $7,700 on May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	14¢	$2	0xc3e22c…
05-24 06:23:07	Will S&P 500 (SPX) open between $7,600 and $7,700 on May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xda40dd…
05-24 06:22:11	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$8	0x65cab0…
05-24 06:20:00	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 24?	No	SELL	25	8¢	$2	0x27e2bf…
05-24 06:19:04	Will S&P 500 (SPX) open between $7,600 and $7,700 on May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	191	9¢	$17	0xa4a1ef…
05-24 06:18:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4,500	0¢	$18	0x1aed0d…
05-24 06:16:23	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	5,000	2¢	$100	0xff8091…
05-24 06:14:32	Will S&P 500 (SPX) open between $7,600 and $7,700 on May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x4a94e5…
05-24 06:14:32	Will S&P 500 (SPX) open between $7,600 and $7,700 on May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x45494e…
05-24 05:03:05	Will S&P 500 (SPX) open between $7,600 and $7,700 on May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x4fb86f…
05-24 05:02:42	Will S&P 500 (SPX) open between $7,600 and $7,700 on May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x6f7bdc…
05-24 05:02:30	Will S&P 500 (SPX) open between $7,600 and $7,700 on May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0xa5f359…
05-24 05:02:19	Will S&P 500 (SPX) open between $7,600 and $7,700 on May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0x1238fb…
05-24 05:00:13	Will S&P 500 (SPX) open between $7,600 and $7,700 on May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x0c9b0b…
05-24 04:56:38	Will S&P 500 (SPX) open between $7,600 and $7,700 on May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xf61a99…
05-24 03:39:05	Will S&P 500 (SPX) open above $7,700 on May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	7¢	$2	0x01e1d9…
05-24 03:37:22	Will S&P 500 (SPX) open above $7,700 on May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	7¢	$5	0x4bc578…
05-24 03:36:33	Will S&P 500 (SPX) open between $7,600 and $7,700 on May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0x5dda42…