Realized P&L (30d)
-$412
Unrealized P&L
-$1.27K
Hit rate
2.1%
Resolved (30d)
3
Trades (30d)
28
3,046 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$2.11K
$831.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$273
Open exposure
$2.71K
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-21 21:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 94 days
Categories
Politics
67% 65% +$19,438
Other
29% 56% -$6,710
Tech
3% 62% -$569
Sports
0% 0% -$3
Crypto
0% 50% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -8,775 -$748 16¢ $-1448 -$700 08-10 08:10
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +1,391 $767 42¢ $591 -$175 10-21 21:41
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +900 $498 44¢ $400 -$98 10-21 21:26
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +200 $124 64¢ $127 +$3 10-21 21:00
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? Yes -3,105 -$49 3¢ $-102 -$53 08-10 08:12
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +100 $41 30¢ $30 -$11 10-21 21:01
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +700 $247 1¢ $7 -$241 10-21 20:11