(anonymous) 0xcda6cc…089770 Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$54
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
47.4%
Resolved
58
Trades
199
lifetime
Volume
$1.30K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$82
15 positions
First seen
2026-10-19
last 11-14 15:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Other
56% 27% -$60
Politics
38% 48% +$23
Crypto
3% 17% -$17
Tech
2% 100% +$0
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +102 $36 35¢ $36 $0 11-12 11:59
Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in November 2026? No +9 $5 74¢ $7 +$2 11-13 07:39
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +30 $4 18¢ $5 +$1 11-13 07:17
Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by November 30, 2026? Yes +8 $5 68¢ $5 +$0 11-13 07:29
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on November 30? Yes +13 $5 36¢ $5 $0 11-13 08:45
Patriots vs. Lions Lions +8 $5 57¢ $5 $0 11-13 06:37
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +42 $8 9¢ $4 -$4 11-13 08:37
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? Yes +7 $4 53¢ $4 $0 11-14 09:19
Will Trump leave China on November 19? No +69 $5 6¢ $4 -$1 11-13 09:59
Will Jensen Huang publicly testify before Congress by December 31, 2026? No +10 $4 38¢ $4 $0 11-14 05:44
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? Yes +90 $5 2¢ $2 -$3 10-20 08:56
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +21 $2 8¢ $2 $0 11-13 16:36
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +11 $2 12¢ $1 $0 11-14 08:18
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by November 30, 2026? Yes +7 $3 2¢ $0 -$3 11-09 05:52
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? No +0 -$1 3¢ $0 +$1 10-23 07:29