Weird-Monopoly — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.23K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.2%

Resolved

Trades

267

lifetime

Volume

$87.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$327

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 06-17 14:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Politics

62% 44% +$14,413

Crypto

27% 75% $-1,635

Other

11% 0% $-9,548

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	10	$11.1K	22,500	22,500	+0	Yes	+$550	02-19 10:45
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$11.0K	8,400	8,400	+0	Yes	+$894	03-03 15:00
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	34	$7.8K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$809	03-03 14:59
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	14	$7.2K	26,200	0	+26,200	No	$-7,209	02-28 11:47
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	1	$6.6K	24,513	0	+24,513	Yes	+$17,895	02-24 13:37
will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on february 12	34	$5.8K	4,230	2,150	+2,080	Yes	$-1,878	02-12 15:19
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$4.0K	6,000	0	+6,000	Yes	+$1,952	05-15 15:08
iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	5	$4.0K	2,500	2,500	+0	Yes	+$488	02-28 19:41
bitcoin above 70k on february 7	6	$2.7K	1,536	1,536	+0	No	$-44	02-07 07:57
ethereum above 2300 on february 6	2	$2.7K	1,396	1,396	+0	No	+$65	02-06 08:33
will the price of ethereum be less than 2400 on february 2	6	$2.3K	1,275	1,275	+0	Yes	+$45	02-02 16:28
will qatar strike iran by march 31	6	$2.1K	3,019	0	+3,019	No	$-2,115	03-03 16:32
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	7	$2.1K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	$-2,087	03-03 16:41
will the price of bitcoin be less than 64000 on february 11	13	$1.7K	1,800	0	+1,800	No	+$88	02-11 10:51
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	1	$1.5K	5,932	0	+5,932	No	$-1,500	01-29 12:28
bitcoin above 68k on february 9	9	$1.4K	1,588	0	+1,588	Yes	+$144	02-09 08:25
bitcoin above 68k on february 8	3	$1.4K	1,389	0	+1,389	Yes	+$25	02-08 12:11
will uae strike iran by march 31	4	$1.3K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	$-1,260	03-03 16:45
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	38	$1.3K	6,300	6,300	+0	No	+$252	02-19 09:11
will the price of bitcoin be less than 80000 on february 4	1	$1.2K	1,200	0	+1,200	Yes	+$21	02-04 09:43
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	1	$1.1K	8,400	0	+8,400	No	$-1,092	04-26 08:52
ethereum above 2100 on february 10	2	$1.0K	1,100	0	+1,100	No	+$88	02-10 10:26
will the price of bitcoin be less than 76000 on february 5	2	$994	581	581	+0	Yes	+$128	02-05 07:40
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	4	$728	3,328	0	+3,328	No	$-728	03-03 14:52
bitcoin above 66k on february 10	4	$646	680	0	+680	Yes	+$34	02-10 08:37
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 3pt5	1	$500	1,429	0	+1,429	Cabo Verde	$-500	06-15 11:57
fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 2pt5	1	$500	1,667	0	+1,667	DR Congo	$-500	06-17 14:06
bitcoin above 72k on february 7	1	$443	459	0	+459	No	+$16	02-07 07:24
ethereum above 2200 on february 6	1	$434	459	0	+459	No	+$25	02-05 15:37
bitcoin above 62k on february 28	16	$320	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	$-320	02-28 12:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 14:06:23	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 2pt5	Portugal	BUY	1,667	30¢	$500	0x21b74a…
06-15 11:57:27	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 3pt5	Spain	BUY	1,429	35¢	$500	0x0d1e0a…
05-20 17:17:21	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2,180	3¢	$59	0x99279e…
05-20 14:38:18	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,134	3¢	$31	0x92b22d…
05-18 09:35:27	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xf5767b…
05-18 09:35:27	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x532f3c…
05-18 09:35:13	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0xdf0805…
05-18 09:35:12	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x26ead3…
05-18 09:35:01	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	Yes	BUY	16	3¢	$0	0x93c46f…
05-18 09:34:58	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x4c06dd…
05-18 09:20:10	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0xa2353a…
05-18 09:20:10	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	Yes	BUY	23	3¢	$1	0x047dee…
05-18 09:19:56	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	Yes	BUY	41	3¢	$1	0x94c8c7…
05-18 09:19:55	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0xbdef98…
05-18 09:19:51	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0xbc0edb…
05-18 09:19:48	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xc1d856…
05-18 08:56:56	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	Yes	BUY	18	3¢	$0	0x470149…
05-18 08:56:56	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x21831a…
05-18 08:56:45	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x001afb…
05-18 08:56:43	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	Yes	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0x4966dd…
05-18 08:55:49	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	Yes	BUY	17	3¢	$0	0x06b2bf…
05-18 08:55:47	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	Yes	BUY	16	3¢	$0	0xe3e7ff…
05-18 06:48:01	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xc173d8…
05-15 15:08:42	Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,000	67¢	$2,010	0xa4d00a…
05-14 10:48:13	Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,000	68¢	$2,038	0x8e55a4…
04-26 08:55:06	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	Yes	BUY	7,350	2¢	$147	0x5873aa…
04-26 08:52:18	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8,400	13¢	$1,092	0xec14f6…
03-03 16:45:21	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,124	63¢	$708	0x49ce1b…
03-03 16:41:53	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	216	70¢	$151	0xaf2c65…
03-03 16:41:51	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0x737479…
03-03 16:41:35	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xff8ab3…
03-03 16:41:31	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$2	0xc039c8…
03-03 16:41:25	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	333	70¢	$233	0x7be6eb…
03-03 16:41:13	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	400	70¢	$280	0x95fc5c…
03-03 16:41:09	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x06f027…
03-03 16:40:47	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	864	63¢	$544	0x9d2024…
03-03 16:40:47	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x794d2b…
03-03 16:40:23	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,986	69¢	$1,377	0xa2e338…
03-03 16:32:39	will qatar strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xa581a2…
03-03 16:32:39	will qatar strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	547	67¢	$367	0x48451c…
03-03 16:32:21	will qatar strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	34	67¢	$23	0xe40641…
03-03 16:32:19	will qatar strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	91	67¢	$61	0x2789b9…
03-03 16:32:17	will qatar strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,021	65¢	$660	0x8353b4…
03-03 15:02:29	will qatar strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,319	76¢	$1,000	0xa8414e…
03-03 15:00:11	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	8,400	71¢	$5,934	0x979c54…
03-03 14:59:29	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	SELL	5,000	86¢	$4,309	0x2aa0c5…
03-03 14:52:55	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	BUY	3,161	22¢	$700	0x71fd8e…
03-03 14:51:39	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0xa742d1…
03-03 14:51:27	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	BUY	72	17¢	$12	0x633db8…
03-03 14:51:25	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	BUY	65	17¢	$11	0x81c50c…
03-02 20:21:55	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	8,400	60¢	$5,040	0x595223…
03-02 16:09:25	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	480	70¢	$336	0xf643d5…
03-02 16:07:27	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x768547…
03-02 16:07:19	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x11e167…
03-02 16:07:07	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x47433c…
03-02 15:54:45	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xf9c5b0…
03-02 15:54:39	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	18	70¢	$13	0x191718…
03-02 15:52:11	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xb101ca…
03-02 15:51:39	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0x281227…
03-02 15:51:37	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0xc877a0…
03-02 15:45:01	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xc78f2e…
03-02 15:45:01	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x190c8c…
03-02 15:42:27	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x6329e0…
03-02 15:42:23	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	12	70¢	$8	0x1b16d6…
03-02 15:41:21	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	9	70¢	$7	0x5d6d1b…
03-02 15:37:47	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	316	70¢	$221	0x50d5b7…
03-02 15:34:17	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x6d1b98…
03-02 15:30:51	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0x36438e…
03-02 15:28:33	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x9c4f2c…
03-02 15:28:27	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xe7181a…
03-02 15:28:01	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xb7a917…
03-02 15:27:49	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	23	70¢	$16	0xc5b954…
03-02 15:23:23	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x504444…
03-02 15:19:21	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	22	70¢	$15	0xf5ee4f…
03-02 15:14:29	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	95	70¢	$66	0x43ae14…
03-02 15:11:39	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xc3fa50…
03-02 15:11:23	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	56	70¢	$39	0xf4e0e1…
03-02 15:11:17	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$9	0x129c3d…
03-02 15:11:11	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x4b0cd5…
03-02 13:36:51	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	3,588	70¢	$2,512	0x401e1c…
03-02 13:30:35	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	33	70¢	$23	0xda804c…
03-02 13:30:25	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x6c7ec3…
03-02 13:30:13	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	33	70¢	$23	0x4dfd55…
03-02 13:22:19	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	174	70¢	$122	0xc1974e…
02-28 19:41:43	iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	Yes	SELL	2,500	89¢	$2,231	0xdfc6c6…
02-28 12:44:39	bitcoin above 62k on february 28	No	BUY	48	6¢	$3	0x3aca96…
02-28 12:43:37	bitcoin above 62k on february 28	No	BUY	4,400	6¢	$282	0xa7cef8…
02-28 12:43:05	bitcoin above 62k on february 28	No	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0x556e9c…
02-28 12:42:57	bitcoin above 62k on february 28	No	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xbb452b…
02-28 12:40:21	bitcoin above 62k on february 28	No	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x3cf938…
02-28 12:39:33	bitcoin above 62k on february 28	No	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0x0263d5…
02-28 12:38:47	bitcoin above 62k on february 28	No	BUY	24	6¢	$2	0xc6fadf…
02-28 12:37:31	bitcoin above 62k on february 28	No	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0x6b9697…
02-28 12:37:07	bitcoin above 62k on february 28	No	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x5dc3b8…
02-28 12:34:59	bitcoin above 62k on february 28	No	BUY	51	6¢	$3	0xeef6c0…
02-28 12:32:43	bitcoin above 62k on february 28	No	BUY	32	6¢	$2	0x55f6ca…
02-28 12:31:31	bitcoin above 62k on february 28	No	BUY	209	6¢	$13	0xf24566…
02-28 12:29:37	bitcoin above 62k on february 28	No	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0x416dbc…
02-28 12:28:39	bitcoin above 62k on february 28	No	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x27b786…
02-28 12:28:19	bitcoin above 62k on february 28	No	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x2128ab…