Flat-Hydrocarb — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

178

lifetime

Volume

$16.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$95

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 07-27 05:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

39% 0% $-1

Sports

36% 0% $-2

Politics

15% — —

Crypto

10% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	8	$1.1K	568	568	+0	open	—	04-24 19:23
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	8	$1.1K	557	557	+0	open	—	03-11 08:27
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	6	$1.0K	530	530	+0	No	$-1	03-24 19:11
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	6	$1.0K	526	526	+0	open	—	03-21 06:16
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$696	357	357	+0	No	$-0	03-10 20:21
Netanyahu out by April 30?	5	$452	235	235	+0	open	—	03-31 06:48
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$430	227	227	+0	open	—	04-08 10:21
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$356	183	183	+0	No	$-1	03-17 03:01
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$347	179	179	+0	open	—	03-04 12:50
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	5	$347	183	183	+0	open	—	03-20 23:57
will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	2	$345	176	176	+0	open	—	03-13 11:27
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$343	177	177	+0	open	—	03-17 23:46
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	2	$343	183	183	+0	open	—	03-07 02:48
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	5	$343	180	180	+0	open	—	03-15 11:10
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$342	182	182	+0	Yes	$-0	03-07 22:23
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	3	$342	174	174	+0	open	—	03-04 05:19
will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	2	$340	174	174	+0	open	—	03-19 21:09
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	3	$338	175	175	+0	open	—	03-26 18:25
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$337	173	173	+0	open	—	03-07 11:07
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$336	184	184	-0	open	—	03-20 18:06
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	2	$335	181	181	+0	open	—	03-07 07:04
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$333	174	174	+0	open	—	03-15 02:35
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$332	174	174	+0	open	—	03-23 10:47
will akshay bhatia win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$332	171	171	+0	open	—	03-17 14:48
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$326	166	166	+0	open	—	03-29 04:24
will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	4	$325	167	167	+0	open	—	03-20 07:56
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$320	167	167	+0	No	$-1	03-29 23:48
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	2	$318	166	166	+0	open	—	03-25 20:31
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$316	163	163	+0	open	—	03-27 11:47
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	2	$291	155	155	+0	open	—	04-27 02:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-27 05:30:09	Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$6	0x732d78…
07-26 22:28:34	Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$6	0xbaf018…
07-26 14:21:30	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0x0a884a…
07-26 10:19:06	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x00054b…
07-24 01:44:06	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x5e548f…
07-23 21:40:01	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x0e8647…
06-21 23:35:05	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of june	No	BUY	49	97¢	$48	0x80b55e…
06-21 01:25:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	55	97¢	$53	0x2eb072…
06-20 20:21:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	55	97¢	$53	0x4f63ee…
06-20 12:07:20	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	68	96¢	$66	0x8864e6…
06-20 07:05:34	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x02ce00…
06-20 07:01:58	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xb7f1b4…
06-20 06:25:59	will canada reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149713	No	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x3c2b6e…
06-20 02:50:07	will canada reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149713	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x5af913…
06-20 02:24:43	will canada reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149713	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x94829e…
06-20 01:46:25	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	73	96¢	$70	0xda622f…
06-19 18:37:23	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	73	92¢	$67	0xebc145…
06-18 12:57:11	will uruguay reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149738	No	SELL	69	90¢	$62	0x80a92e…
06-18 07:54:47	will uruguay reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149738	No	BUY	69	93¢	$64	0x5b1812…
06-17 14:16:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	66	90¢	$60	0xe9be55…
06-17 10:08:32	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	66	91¢	$60	0x9c4c74…
06-17 09:37:25	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	39	96¢	$37	0xc7984f…
06-17 04:30:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	39	95¢	$37	0x8ea491…
06-16 05:28:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	61	97¢	$59	0xcc43ae…
06-16 01:25:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0xbb1d88…
06-16 00:51:34	will uruguay reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149738	No	SELL	62	86¢	$53	0x6daca1…
06-15 20:47:30	will uruguay reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149738	No	BUY	62	93¢	$58	0xbec99a…
06-15 11:37:40	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	66	96¢	$63	0xa5439d…
06-13 10:59:57	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	48	90¢	$43	0x6ceeb1…
06-11 20:59:31	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	Yes	SELL	48	92¢	$44	0x6e441d…
06-11 14:55:15	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	Yes	BUY	48	93¢	$44	0xbdcbeb…
06-11 02:00:13	Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xfea281…
06-10 19:57:12	Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x37e108…
06-09 08:22:19	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	45	98¢	$44	0xbb65b3…
06-07 12:21:39	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0xa61c63…
06-05 22:35:45	will ecuador reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149726	No	SELL	14	93¢	$13	0xa55222…
06-05 16:30:06	will ecuador reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149726	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x7866be…
06-05 10:16:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	48	97¢	$47	0x7effd3…
06-05 04:10:45	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0x59fa68…
06-04 16:24:19	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	62	92¢	$57	0x72353a…
06-04 09:16:54	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	62	94¢	$58	0x9dcef8…
06-04 08:41:51	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	26	93¢	$24	0x904099…
06-04 04:33:52	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$24	0xbb128e…
05-23 07:14:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	43	96¢	$41	0x4527aa…
05-23 02:09:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	43	96¢	$41	0xbbec34…
05-23 01:34:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	43	98¢	$42	0xe6c051…
05-22 21:29:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0xe4033d…
05-22 20:51:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	44	97¢	$42	0xe06d9d…
05-22 14:49:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	44	97¢	$42	0x2767f5…
05-22 14:09:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	59	92¢	$54	0xf703d6…
05-22 06:04:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	59	94¢	$55	0x7d735a…
05-21 17:19:19	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	53	93¢	$49	0x475fa8…
05-21 11:16:03	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	53	93¢	$49	0x86ed47…
05-21 03:58:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	54	93¢	$50	0xa6e6e8…
05-20 21:54:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	54	94¢	$51	0xc49c16…
05-19 14:46:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	62	96¢	$60	0x634fb8…
05-19 08:39:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	62	96¢	$60	0x3ca59b…
05-19 08:07:20	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0x2b2a18…
05-19 03:59:35	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x18d123…
04-27 02:54:42	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	155	92¢	$142	0x85d599…
04-25 01:49:28	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	155	96¢	$150	0xc6a468…
04-24 19:23:12	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	162	95¢	$154	0x83efdd…
04-24 11:14:38	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	162	95¢	$154	0xef7cbe…
04-19 09:40:58	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	48	96¢	$45	0x9f461b…
04-19 04:05:02	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0xbe693e…
04-16 06:33:58	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	61	96¢	$58	0x9a68f8…
04-16 00:59:38	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	61	96¢	$58	0xe201bf…
04-12 14:13:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	SELL	55	98¢	$54	0x2bf980…
04-12 06:00:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	BUY	55	97¢	$53	0x70e957…
04-11 20:58:47	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	49	95¢	$47	0x8ba0f0…
04-11 16:56:33	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	49	95¢	$47	0x8ab91d…
04-11 01:16:01	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	57	97¢	$56	0x01b229…
04-10 18:13:21	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	57	98¢	$56	0xc2fbd0…
04-08 18:56:37	will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	53	98¢	$52	0xd0a34a…
04-08 14:40:01	will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0x6423f8…
04-08 10:21:57	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	54	94¢	$50	0xae5c2d…
04-08 03:57:49	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	54	94¢	$51	0x861132…
03-31 14:34:55	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0xcfc05a…
03-31 07:21:59	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x173c27…
03-31 06:48:55	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	56	98¢	$54	0x72e622…
03-30 23:04:29	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	56	98¢	$54	0xe18955…
03-29 23:48:38	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	167	95¢	$160	0x1b2f02…
03-29 17:25:10	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	167	96¢	$161	0x93dcef…
03-29 04:24:28	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	166	98¢	$163	0x760bb5…
03-28 20:38:40	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	166	98¢	$163	0xbe2386…
03-27 11:47:15	Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	163	97¢	$158	0x661213…
03-27 04:41:31	Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	163	97¢	$158	0xd01b7c…
03-26 18:25:47	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	SELL	175	96¢	$169	0x0f7715…
03-26 09:52:03	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	BUY	126	97¢	$122	0x38bd37…
03-26 09:38:13	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	BUY	49	97¢	$47	0x33ab6b…
03-25 20:31:07	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	SELL	166	96¢	$159	0xdb21fd…
03-25 16:00:45	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	166	96¢	$159	0xbde1a1…
03-24 19:11:49	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	176	97¢	$170	0xef57db…
03-24 15:00:37	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	176	97¢	$170	0xdd5eaf…
03-23 10:47:59	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	174	95¢	$166	0xfb3eec…
03-23 05:20:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	174	96¢	$167	0x825eb3…
03-23 04:48:33	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	179	96¢	$172	0xb89f59…
03-22 23:31:41	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	94	96¢	$90	0x7a0728…
03-22 23:30:17	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	85	96¢	$81	0x12054b…
03-22 22:35:05	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	173	95¢	$164	0xce8e7a…