Leading-Chocolate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.13K

Unrealized P&L

+$84

Hit rate

66.4%

Resolved

442

Trades

973

lifetime

Volume

$33.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

$595

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 10-09 13:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 85 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 55% -$977

Other

6% 42% -$451

Sports

4% 0% -$709

Politics

0% 100% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 83 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-2,278	-$389	18¢	$-399	-$9	09-22 14:11
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-1,619	-$168	8¢	$-121	+$46	06-15 18:17
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-1,364	-$123	6¢	$-75	+$48	06-15 13:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	54	$4.9K	10,143	12,421	-2,278	open	—	09-22 14:11
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	18	$1.4K	2,291	2,291	+0	open	—	09-05 13:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 13:35 UTC	4	$810	614	614	+0	Up	+$190	09-24 13:38
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	14	$757	1,778	275	+1,503	No	-$529	07-19 14:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$713	488	488	+0	Up	+$213	09-18 15:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 13:45 UTC	2	$614	498	498	+0	Down	+$114	09-24 13:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	3	$519	406	364	+42	Down	+$99	09-22 18:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 13:25 UTC	2	$506	505	505	+0	Down	-$6	09-24 13:16
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	5	$444	746	746	+0	No	-$96	02-23 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	4	$404	306	306	+0	Up	+$64	09-22 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	6	$392	485	485	+0	Down	+$16	09-23 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	2	$355	241	241	+0	Up	+$99	09-23 16:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 13:10 UTC	2	$328	260	260	+0	Up	+$88	09-24 13:13
will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	4	$318	1,683	1,683	+0	No	-$216	02-22 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	3	$314	322	206	+116	Down	+$4	09-23 18:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$310	251	251	+0	Down	+$54	09-23 15:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 13:30 UTC	1	$300	588	0	+588	Up	-$300	09-24 13:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$294	213	213	+0	Up	+$77	09-22 13:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$293	257	257	+0	Down	+$37	09-23 16:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 15:10 UTC	3	$283	234	195	+39	Up	+$43	09-21 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	4	$277	417	417	+0	Down	+$67	09-23 19:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 14:25 UTC	3	$264	227	200	+27	Up	+$44	09-21 14:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 15:50 UTC	3	$257	220	220	+0	Down	+$37	08-28 15:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 14:50 UTC	1	$250	490	0	+490	Down	-$250	09-24 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	4	$249	220	220	+0	Up	+$29	09-22 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	3	$241	217	177	+40	Down	+$21	09-22 17:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 13:40 UTC	3	$236	534	261	+273	Down	-$80	09-24 13:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 13:45 UTC	2	$229	172	172	+0	Up	+$29	09-21 13:45
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$229	286	286	+0	open	—	09-16 20:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$225	256	256	+0	Down	-$31	09-23 15:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-09 13:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x7cc96c…
10-09 13:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0xda8968…
10-09 13:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0e53a7…
10-09 13:24:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 13:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xe3e86f…
10-09 13:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x86c419…
10-05 13:28:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x50cd8a…
10-05 13:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	33	77¢	$25	0xf1fb23…
10-02 15:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	74	61¢	$45	0x9f93ea…
10-02 15:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	87	52¢	$45	0x063f26…
10-02 15:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	43	32¢	$14	0xd626b8…
10-02 15:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x8d713d…
10-02 14:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x6726cf…
10-02 13:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	45	74¢	$33	0x72dba7…
10-02 13:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	45	52¢	$23	0x4bd99a…
10-02 13:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	51	48¢	$24	0xeaa34f…
10-02 13:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xdfbe84…
10-02 13:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	33	81¢	$26	0xd6d8b8…
10-02 13:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	33	52¢	$17	0x345493…
10-02 12:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x9f3a3c…
10-02 12:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x2a8733…
10-02 12:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	45	51¢	$23	0x129abb…
10-02 12:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	49	58¢	$28	0x8d948e…
10-02 12:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xe42706…
10-02 12:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	40	88¢	$35	0x7700cf…
10-02 12:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x93abe7…
10-02 12:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x1863de…
10-01 14:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	36	78¢	$28	0xe4ec8e…
10-01 14:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	36	50¢	$18	0x6cc015…
10-01 14:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	83	24¢	$20	0xde0132…
10-01 14:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xc1f3a7…
10-01 14:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	50	75¢	$38	0xe29745…
10-01 14:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x9b3243…
10-01 14:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x883e9b…
10-01 14:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	49	89¢	$44	0x9f7c90…
10-01 13:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x16baad…
09-24 21:51:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xf6c8bc…
09-24 21:51:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 21:50 UTC	Down	SELL	14	40¢	$6	0xd5adc0…
09-24 21:50:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x87b06f…
09-24 21:47:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xf659cb…
09-24 21:46:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 21:45 UTC	Down	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x282e07…
09-24 21:42:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3d49ad…
09-24 21:42:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 21:40 UTC	Up	SELL	14	90¢	$13	0xa6ac39…
09-24 21:38:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0xbd746b…
09-24 21:37:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 21:35 UTC	Down	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0x2be3d3…
09-24 21:33:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x92ada7…
09-24 21:31:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 21:30 UTC	Down	SELL	11	20¢	$2	0x96a76a…
09-24 21:28:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xda3d65…
09-24 21:28:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 21:25 UTC	Down	SELL	8	33¢	$3	0x3b376b…
09-24 21:25:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xe3ce7a…
09-24 21:24:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 21:20 UTC	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0x36eed5…
09-24 21:24:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xebd0dc…
09-24 18:17:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x89fa71…
09-24 18:16:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 18:15 UTC	Down	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x6d034c…
09-24 18:11:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x623e55…
09-24 18:11:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 18:10 UTC	Up	SELL	15	76¢	$11	0x91604b…
09-24 18:09:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 18:10 UTC	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xae56b9…
09-24 14:48:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 14:50 UTC	Up	BUY	490	51¢	$250	0x033f9d…
09-24 14:46:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x13b6e5…
09-24 14:40:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	193	61¢	$118	0xef1956…
09-24 14:35:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0xc0d3b2…
09-24 14:27:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	135	48¢	$65	0xf1a6fb…
09-24 14:25:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x6ef52f…
09-24 14:23:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 14:20 UTC	Down	SELL	95	87¢	$83	0x6e4559…
09-24 14:19:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 14:20 UTC	Down	BUY	95	53¢	$50	0x98d47f…
09-24 13:50:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 13:50 UTC	Up	SELL	36	56¢	$20	0x302551…
09-24 13:50:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x2628e9…
09-24 13:47:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	498	73¢	$364	0xb63805…
09-24 13:43:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	498	50¢	$250	0x747526…
09-24 13:41:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	273	11¢	$30	0xdbc964…
09-24 13:40:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 13:40 UTC	Up	SELL	261	30¢	$78	0xc80c03…
09-24 13:38:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	261	49¢	$128	0xaacbc9…
09-24 13:38:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 13:35 UTC	Up	SELL	24	73¢	$17	0x5b2326…
09-24 13:38:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x906210…
09-24 13:37:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 13:35 UTC	Down	SELL	590	82¢	$482	0x0a2a31…
09-24 13:34:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	590	51¢	$300	0x8cd77d…
09-24 13:23:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 13:20 UTC	Down	SELL	38	97¢	$37	0x6821e4…
09-24 13:21:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	588	51¢	$300	0xc8ff78…
09-24 13:19:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 13:20 UTC	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x4fd5c5…
09-24 13:16:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 13:25 UTC	Down	SELL	505	49¢	$250	0xa96d52…
09-24 13:15:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x9563be…
09-24 13:13:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 13:10 UTC	Up	SELL	260	80¢	$208	0x86f373…
09-24 13:10:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	260	46¢	$120	0x7fb2ec…
09-24 13:07:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	505	51¢	$256	0x420caa…
09-24 13:06:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x314dfa…
09-23 19:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	216	51¢	$110	0xd2d3a1…
09-23 19:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	90	10¢	$9	0xa5f8e7…
09-23 19:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	177	51¢	$90	0xf7043d…
09-23 19:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0xf32b1e…
09-23 19:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x38a357…
09-23 19:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	250	26¢	$65	0xb00ec1…
09-23 19:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	250	24¢	$60	0x28869d…
09-23 19:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	167	64¢	$107	0x1629c0…
09-23 19:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	167	27¢	$45	0xd2bc6a…
09-23 18:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0xdd6704…
09-23 18:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	206	77¢	$159	0x90e21c…
09-23 18:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	206	51¢	$105	0x0b764a…
09-23 18:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0xa5c1ae…
09-23 18:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	16	77¢	$12	0xd76e6c…
09-23 18:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x4f5363…
09-23 18:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	120	86¢	$103	0x36bca5…