Agile-Perpendicular — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$61

Unrealized P&L

-$48

Hit rate

17.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$391

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

$35

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-12 04:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Sports

65% 17% $-94

Other

21% 50% +$33

Politics

14% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	+35	$28	82¢	$29	+$1	05-12 00:09
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	+150	$42	3¢	$4	$-38	05-06 09:29
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?	Yes	+60	$13	3¢	$2	$-11	05-08 06:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)	1	$149	0	180	-180	Thunder	$-31	05-10 02:39
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	1	$42	150	0	+150	open	—	05-06 09:29
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?	1	$35	88	0	+88	No	+$52	05-06 16:10
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)	1	$30	92	0	+92	Timberwolves	$-30	05-11 00:23
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	1	$30	81	0	+81	Timberwolves	$-30	05-11 00:28
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	1	$28	35	0	+35	open	—	05-12 00:09
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	1	$20	56	0	+56	West Ham United FC	$-20	05-10 15:47
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	1	$20	41	0	+41	Thunder	+$21	05-08 00:20
76ers vs. Knicks	1	$15	79	0	+79	Knicks	$-15	05-05 00:59
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?	1	$13	60	0	+60	open	—	05-08 06:13
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)	1	$9	67	0	+67	Lakers	$-9	05-12 04:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 04:44:13	Spread: Thunder (-10.5)	Thunder	BUY	67	13¢	$9	0x07e71a…
05-12 00:09:00	Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	35	81¢	$28	0x7d2f5e…
05-11 00:28:28	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	81	37¢	$30	0x4b9a8d…
05-11 00:23:51	Spread: Spurs (-5.5)	Spurs	BUY	92	33¢	$30	0x16a1ce…
05-10 15:47:28	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x570ea2…
05-10 02:39:54	Spread: Thunder (-8.5)	Thunder	SELL	180	83¢	$149	0xfc1d2c…
05-08 06:13:09	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	21¢	$13	0x421c1a…
05-08 00:20:03	Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Thunder	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x7f78ce…
05-06 16:10:30	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?	No	BUY	88	40¢	$35	0xabff83…
05-06 09:29:26	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	28¢	$42	0x7e5c31…
05-05 00:59:38	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	79	19¢	$15	0xb44b7e…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7	7	$16.4K	258	05-12 04:24
Agitated-Bricklaying 0x84cf…2f63	6	$44.6K	540	05-11 17:44
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	6	$25.4K	104	05-12 04:46
Conscious-Outfielder 0xdb83…1e50	6	$1.40K	33	05-11 02:09
Distant-Traditionalism 0x9495…9a27	5	$17.4K	14	05-12 03:19
Superficial-Micronutrient 0xf02f…1ed8	5	$3.54K	8	05-12 05:21
Helpful-Tectonics 0x2528…b77d	5	$3.51K	16	05-12 03:13
Bumpy-Accessory 0x32cc…68b3	5	$2.20K	22	05-12 04:18