Punctual-Nuke — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$39

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

16.4%

Resolved

Trades

432

lifetime

Volume

$6.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 07-15 09:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 50% +$10

Other

22% 0% $-5

Politics

8% 0% $-44

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 116 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	3	$281	181	181	+0	open	—	05-26 14:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	3	$270	147	147	+0	open	—	05-26 14:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	3	$242	190	159	+32	open	—	05-26 01:06
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 spread home 1pt5	2	$149	226	226	+0	open	—	07-02 22:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	2	$134	100	98	+2	open	—	04-07 23:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	2	$125	157	0	+157	open	—	05-26 02:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	4	$125	93	93	+0	open	—	05-26 00:44
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?	4	$116	144	144	+0	open	—	04-14 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	5	$116	71	71	+0	open	—	05-26 13:18
fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 btts	1	$100	108	0	+108	open	—	07-02 02:04
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	2	$98	117	117	+0	open	—	05-22 21:43
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	1	$92	199	0	+199	open	—	07-15 09:09
btc updown 5m 1776067200	2	$84	104	0	+104	open	—	04-13 08:04
btc updown 5m 1776068700	1	$84	107	0	+107	open	—	04-13 08:28
Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$80	54	53	+1	open	—	04-25 19:31
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?	2	$78	46	46	+0	open	—	04-21 12:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	6	$73	70	70	+0	open	—	05-26 05:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	3	$71	44	44	+0	open	—	05-21 07:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	4	$68	42	42	+0	open	—	05-26 13:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	4	$68	66	66	+0	open	—	05-26 08:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	2	$65	82	80	+1	open	—	04-20 06:30
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	2	$64	125	125	+0	open	—	04-21 20:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	3	$58	55	38	+17	open	—	05-26 03:19
fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	3	$57	96	8	+88	open	—	06-30 03:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	2	$54	31	31	+0	open	—	05-26 13:28
btc updown 5m 1775616000	1	$54	78	0	+78	open	—	04-08 02:41
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	1	$52	127	0	+127	open	—	07-11 22:40
btc updown 5m 1773963300	3	$51	35	34	+1	open	—	03-19 23:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$50	74	0	+74	open	—	05-26 00:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	2	$50	62	0	+62	open	—	05-26 00:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-15 09:09:31	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	199	46¢	$92	0x23a8c0…
07-11 22:40:17	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	127	41¢	$52	0xad2036…
07-09 07:20:05	lol blg hle1 2026 07 09	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0x6b844e…
07-02 22:40:14	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 spread home 1pt5	Portugal	SELL	226	33¢	$75	0x1ce8b2…
07-02 22:39:31	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 spread home 1pt5	Portugal	BUY	226	33¢	$75	0x429aa5…
07-02 02:04:07	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 btts	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x1726ef…
07-01 16:53:11	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 btts first half	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x0f7171…
07-01 16:31:50	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 btts first half	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xa66dd5…
06-30 03:55:02	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	Morocco	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x52e123…
06-30 03:02:10	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	Netherlands	BUY	88	51¢	$45	0x07531b…
06-30 02:57:13	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xa88b8b…
06-29 06:01:49	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 goals vinicius junior gte1	Yes	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0x430060…
06-24 23:52:10	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 total 5pt5	Under	SELL	17	13¢	$2	0x37132f…
06-24 23:49:40	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xd053ea…
06-23 05:56:01	Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	19	9¢	$2	0xe9df2c…
06-22 21:43:29	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 first half total 1pt5	Over	SELL	43	23¢	$10	0xa5de9a…
06-22 21:29:35	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x471e96…
06-22 09:52:17	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 btts	No	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x362ad7…
06-22 07:59:01	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x3ae09c…
06-22 07:58:04	Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	19	11¢	$2	0xd68167…
06-22 07:37:55	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x13d9c2…
06-17 21:26:07	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x01dae1…
06-17 13:40:40	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x8bcade…
06-17 01:35:58	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 btts	No	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0xa49268…
06-17 01:35:26	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xf87d73…
06-15 01:33:57	ufc der jos52 2026 06 14	Derrick Lewis	BUY	33	21¢	$7	0x68d6c4…
06-13 22:17:43	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	SELL	9	64¢	$6	0x61d9db…
06-11 08:34:00	cs2 prv 9z 2026 06 11	PARIVISION	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x990f4e…
06-10 18:36:13	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	16¢	$4	0x740e29…
06-04 05:17:36	btc updown 5m 1780550100	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x3b9fdb…
06-04 05:11:33	btc updown 5m 1780549800	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x06b001…
06-04 04:37:25	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xc0e6ab…
05-29 22:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x411099…
05-26 14:36:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	181	86¢	$156	0xa53743…
05-26 14:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x79e7d6…
05-26 14:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x5b8e91…
05-26 14:34:28	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	SELL	54	0¢	$0	0xa84b4f…
05-26 14:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	147	99¢	$145	0x226ce9…
05-26 14:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xc45891…
05-26 14:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xb7bcb4…
05-26 13:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	31	95¢	$29	0x94129f…
05-26 13:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0x912767…
05-26 13:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	27	97¢	$26	0x26c48d…
05-26 13:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x3c3fd9…
05-26 13:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	15	82¢	$12	0xd422e1…
05-26 13:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x60a1f6…
05-26 13:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	71	92¢	$66	0x95b5b5…
05-26 13:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x73a54e…
05-26 13:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xe84375…
05-26 13:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xc6479b…
05-26 13:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x93fef4…
05-26 13:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	21	39¢	$8	0xaad621…
05-26 13:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x524b5a…
05-26 13:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	19	70¢	$13	0xe4fca1…
05-26 13:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x9e89f5…
05-26 13:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x596bd0…
05-26 10:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	29	86¢	$25	0x0a6c48…
05-26 10:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x7c45d0…
05-26 10:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xb3ca21…
05-26 10:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x7d523f…
05-26 09:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xc43254…
05-26 09:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	15	44¢	$6	0xb5a9c8…
05-26 09:06:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x5f0a22…
05-26 09:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x7f27f8…
05-26 08:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	9	83¢	$8	0x6aac62…
05-26 08:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xd678e3…
05-26 08:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	19	85¢	$16	0x4c5508…
05-26 08:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x4de53e…
05-26 08:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x8e9bf2…
05-26 08:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xc5d96e…
05-26 08:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xf948ae…
05-26 08:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x395d96…
05-26 08:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	13	66¢	$9	0x47a924…
05-26 08:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x8e020f…
05-26 08:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	13	85¢	$11	0x2da2e4…
05-26 08:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x86555d…
05-26 08:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	14	40¢	$6	0x002134…
05-26 08:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xd12ca2…
05-26 08:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x8a3dd7…
05-26 08:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xe6e9bf…
05-26 08:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xf11cf8…
05-26 08:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	17	47¢	$8	0xca41b9…
05-26 08:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xb5ffd9…
05-26 08:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	49	67¢	$33	0xa0c409…
05-26 08:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x9472e4…
05-26 07:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x6fd2b1…
05-26 05:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x3e5355…
05-26 05:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x816513…
05-26 05:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	12	46¢	$5	0x4b2c23…
05-26 05:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xc809be…
05-26 05:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	54	58¢	$32	0xc645dd…
05-26 05:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0xdf4893…
05-26 05:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x3226f7…
05-26 05:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	SELL	25	27¢	$7	0xa6613a…
05-26 05:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x445f69…
05-26 05:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0x88000c…
05-26 05:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0xb23a2a…
05-26 05:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	12	19¢	$2	0x8dcd43…
05-26 05:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xc193d5…
05-26 05:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x2d7a5e…