Warlike-Statistic — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$61

Unrealized P&L

+$19

Hit rate

74.1%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

196 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$2.68K

$5.09K lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

$50

1 position

First seen

2026-03-17

last 11-09 23:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 51% +$30

Other

15% 29% -$96

Politics

4% 0% -$62

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	—	+62	$31	80¢	$50	+$19	11-10 00:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	4	$242	347	347	+0	No	-$72	07-07 17:48
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 first half total 1pt5	2	$215	137	137	+0	Under	+$59	07-07 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	3	$197	141	89	+53	Down	-$21	05-21 02:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	4	$195	112	112	+0	Down	-$5	11-09 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	2	$190	260	260	+0	Up	-$32	05-21 02:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$175	90	90	+0	Up	+$1	11-09 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	2	$174	264	0	+264	Down	-$55	05-21 02:46
Solana Up or Down - November 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$159	80	80	+0	Down	+$1	11-09 20:01
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	10	$156	27,497	22,982	+4,515	No	-$57	05-21 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$151	90	90	+0	Down	+$1	11-09 21:36
Solana Up or Down - November 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$121	64	64	+0	Up	+$5	11-10 00:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	2	$115	194	194	+0	Up	-$99	11-09 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	2	$114	224	0	+224	Down	-$114	05-21 02:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	4	$107	80	80	+0	Up	+$5	11-09 22:08
Solana Up or Down - November 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	4	$107	65	65	+0	Up	+$7	11-09 21:19
Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$106	58	58	+0	Up	+$6	11-09 23:18
Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$104	55	55	+0	Up	+$4	11-09 21:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$103	207	0	+207	Up	+$103	11-09 22:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	2	$100	93	93	+0	Down	+$7	11-09 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	2	$100	51	50	+0	Down	+$0	11-09 20:32
Orleans: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg	6	$100	117	117	+0	Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg	$0	11-09 22:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$98	92	92	+0	Down	+$2	11-09 23:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$95	93	93	+0	Up	-$5	11-09 23:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	2	$89	60	60	+0	Down	+$27	11-10 00:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	2	$89	59	59	+0	Down	+$28	11-10 00:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	1	$85	177	0	+177	Up	+$92	05-21 02:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	2	$85	76	76	+0	Up	+$9	05-21 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$83	60	60	+0	Down	+$33	11-09 22:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$82	65	65	+0	Down	-$18	11-09 23:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	6	$80	63	63	+0	Down	+$4	05-21 03:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 00:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	62	50¢	$31	0x84b98a…
11-10 00:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	60	98¢	$58	0x525213…
11-10 00:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	60	52¢	$31	0x739178…
11-10 00:08:58	Solana Up or Down - November 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	64	99¢	$63	0xaeb850…
11-10 00:08:12	Solana Up or Down - November 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	64	91¢	$58	0xa3ce68…
11-10 00:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	59	99¢	$58	0xe8b635…
11-10 00:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x8129fc…
11-09 23:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	65	49¢	$32	0x0a9182…
11-09 23:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x8b9957…
11-09 23:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	92	54¢	$50	0x601482…
11-09 23:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	92	52¢	$48	0x0702a8…
11-09 23:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	93	58¢	$54	0xfa65b8…
11-09 23:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	93	50¢	$46	0x3867d8…
11-09 23:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	93	49¢	$45	0x62d94e…
11-09 23:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x082672…
11-09 23:18:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	58	96¢	$56	0x8011f1…
11-09 23:17:54	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0xcda91d…
11-09 22:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	90	98¢	$88	0xb97843…
11-09 22:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	90	97¢	$87	0x5d1d9b…
11-09 22:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	207	50¢	$103	0xe6df41…
11-09 22:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0x99adb0…
11-09 22:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	194	4¢	$8	0x3d885d…
11-09 22:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	194	55¢	$107	0x430eae…
11-09 22:19:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	62	19¢	$12	0xc00b54…
11-09 22:19:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	62	64¢	$40	0x944077…
11-09 22:18:46	Orleans: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg	Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg	SELL	38	27¢	$10	0x54551e…
11-09 22:11:48	Orleans: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg	Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x1eb9dd…
11-09 22:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0xd21006…
11-09 22:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xea7bb5…
11-09 22:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	71	78¢	$56	0xf7d7e0…
11-09 22:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0xa285b1…
11-09 22:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	60	97¢	$58	0x02e2b3…
11-09 22:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x61dbdd…
11-09 21:53:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	55	99¢	$54	0x8c636f…
11-09 21:52:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x5d684d…
11-09 21:51:34	Orleans: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg	Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg	SELL	34	39¢	$13	0x0ef47a…
11-09 21:49:54	Orleans: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg	Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x1adbda…
11-09 21:48:34	Orleans: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	SELL	45	58¢	$26	0x569f14…
11-09 21:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	28	53¢	$15	0x9cc968…
11-09 21:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x8a554b…
11-09 21:41:09	Orleans: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0x4cf3ae…
11-09 21:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	90	84¢	$76	0xcc6336…
11-09 21:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	90	83¢	$75	0xbbae37…
11-09 21:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	116	64¢	$74	0xbd931f…
11-09 21:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	77	99¢	$76	0x7ab042…
11-09 21:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	77	98¢	$75	0x3bc82a…
11-09 21:24:07	WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova	Aryna Sabalenka	SELL	59	80¢	$47	0x141b7c…
11-09 21:23:52	Solana Up or Down - November 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x3b07a6…
11-09 21:23:12	Solana Up or Down - November 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x3064fb…
11-09 21:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	36	55¢	$20	0xaf89b3…
11-09 21:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x111d29…
11-09 21:19:31	Solana Up or Down - November 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	34	89¢	$30	0x658508…
11-09 21:19:16	Solana Up or Down - November 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0xaffd39…
11-09 21:18:49	Solana Up or Down - November 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	30	86¢	$26	0x0e7197…
11-09 21:18:27	Solana Up or Down - November 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xf770ad…
11-09 20:39:04	WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova	Aryna Sabalenka	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x2568b0…
11-09 20:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xfaa372…
11-09 20:31:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x8f5fcd…
11-09 20:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	110	62¢	$69	0xf3d7c8…
11-09 20:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	36	16¢	$6	0xfb21cf…
11-09 20:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x04d422…
11-09 20:06:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x2d58a4…
11-09 20:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0xff847d…
11-09 20:01:22	Solana Up or Down - November 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x9706de…
11-09 19:59:49	Solana Up or Down - November 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x67c341…
07-09 21:20:49	Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	158	26¢	$41	0xb83cc7…
07-09 18:11:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 18:10 UTC	Down	SELL	29	31¢	$9	0x6aacef…
07-09 18:10:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 18:10 UTC	Down	BUY	29	58¢	$17	0x63966a…
07-07 17:56:59	Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Egypt?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x2a3d3d…
07-07 17:48:52	Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x1726f4…
07-07 17:48:11	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	SELL	240	5¢	$12	0x93ba31…
07-07 17:23:17	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	240	53¢	$127	0x7e8e05…
07-07 17:22:53	Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Egypt?	Yes	SELL	76	3¢	$3	0xaf1158…
07-07 17:22:49	Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Egypt?	Yes	SELL	132	1¢	$1	0x75ee40…
07-07 17:22:37	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	SELL	107	68¢	$73	0xb4f88c…
07-07 17:17:29	Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	76	20¢	$15	0x91c7e9…
07-07 17:11:17	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	107	28¢	$30	0xa334d0…
07-07 17:02:31	Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	132	28¢	$37	0xe2c1ee…
07-07 16:58:14	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 first half total 1pt5	Under	SELL	137	100¢	$137	0x169da4…
07-07 16:35:46	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 first half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	137	57¢	$78	0xcec583…
05-21 17:39:18	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	4,515	0¢	$9	0x8d114b…
05-21 09:48:33	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	9,695	0¢	$10	0x3e4b40…
05-21 04:27:58	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	9,695	0¢	$19	0xf037c1…
05-21 04:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0x64be65…
05-21 04:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	54	42¢	$23	0x1426e5…
05-21 04:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xacea2d…
05-21 04:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x345d93…
05-21 04:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x8e8728…
05-21 04:11:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xc871ee…
05-21 04:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xe37f8e…
05-21 04:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xb8676d…
05-21 04:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x79a900…
05-21 04:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x4cb568…
05-21 04:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x7c3614…
05-21 04:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xb5f145…
05-21 04:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x69b6cb…
05-21 04:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x4bda30…
05-21 04:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0xd6c6a9…
05-21 04:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0xade594…
05-21 04:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x1db2a8…