Honest-Particular 0xced653…272dc1
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$457
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
63.8%
Resolved
1,295
Trades
2,517
lifetime
Volume
$36.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$210
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 09-09 06:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 187 days
Categories
Other
50% 49% -$37
Crypto
33% 86% -$68
Politics
9% 18% -$130
Sports
6% 42% -$193
Tech
1% 27% -$29
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +272 $50 18¢ $50 +$0 05-26 07:44
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +22 $6 100¢ $22 +$16 09-04 02:07
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? Yes +22 $15 99¢ $22 +$7 08-25 10:28
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? No +22 $11 91¢ $20 +$9 08-31 11:37
will baidu be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230558 No +22 $17 86¢ $19 +$1 08-17 17:01
will anthropic ipo by november 30 2026 Yes +22 $18 80¢ $18 $0 09-07 09:07
will ishaq dar attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221278 No +22 $15 80¢ $18 +$3 08-18 11:42
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? Yes +22 $18 72¢ $16 -$2 08-31 17:19
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? No +22 $4 28¢ $6 +$2 08-31 17:20
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -6 -$6 97¢ $-6 $0 08-30 10:52
will ishaq dar attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221278 Yes +22 $7 20¢ $4 -$3 08-18 11:41
will anthropic ipo by november 30 2026 No +22 $4 20¢ $4 +$0 09-07 09:08
will baidu be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230558 Yes +22 $5 15¢ $3 -$2 08-17 17:00
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +22 $11 9¢ $2 -$9 08-31 11:39
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? No +22 $10 1¢ $0 -$9 08-24 17:07
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +0 $0 72¢ $0 $0 09-03 10:32
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +22 $16 0¢ $0 -$16 09-04 02:07