Angry-Loss — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

-$20

Hit rate

78.8%

Resolved

Trades

567

lifetime

Volume

$10.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-19 23:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

59% 60% $-22

Politics

28% 71% +$18

Crypto

6% — —

Tech

4% — —

Sports

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes		+42	$20	1¢	$0	$-20	05-31 10:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	7	$209	264	20	+244	open	—	07-08 11:01
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	3	$200	228	0	+228	open	—	06-02 07:22
any of the stolen kitkats recovered by april 5	3	$170	92	92	+0	open	—	04-04 14:28
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	5	$162	90	90	+0	open	—	05-13 04:54
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	5	$160	172	105	+68	open	—	05-30 15:16
Iran leadership change by April 30?	1	$160	170	0	+170	open	—	04-16 11:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	3	$150	185	0	+185	open	—	05-16 11:27
will starmer say thank 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event	10	$130	100	99	+1	open	—	04-22 09:50
Iran leadership change by May 31?	1	$105	115	0	+115	open	—	05-05 17:36
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	4	$102	122	0	+122	open	—	01-11 08:20
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	2	$100	121	0	+121	open	—	03-10 09:23
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?	1	$100	112	0	+112	open	—	05-31 07:29
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$100	118	0	+118	open	—	02-17 16:36
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$100	64	64	+0	open	—	01-07 06:33
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$95	66	66	+0	open	—	03-27 17:21
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	2	$94	60	60	+0	open	—	04-16 11:04
will all of trumps greenland tariffs go into effect by feb 1	2	$88	48	48	+0	open	—	01-26 08:43
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$86	105	0	+105	No	+$19	05-07 21:29
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	2	$84	48	48	+0	open	—	05-07 07:16
lol g2 mkoi 2026 02 27	3	$80	100	0	+100	open	—	02-23 17:10
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	3	$80	100	0	+100	open	—	05-21 09:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	1	$80	91	0	+91	open	—	05-18 08:34
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	1	$80	91	0	+91	open	—	03-12 10:18
lol blg jdg 2026 03 21	2	$80	98	0	+98	open	—	03-21 08:53
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	3	$70	42	42	+0	open	—	02-23 09:20
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	1	$70	81	0	+81	open	—	06-30 11:33
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$70	77	0	+77	open	—	03-31 17:45
will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	1	$70	81	0	+81	open	—	07-13 08:34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	1	$70	82	0	+82	open	—	05-30 07:48
will keir starmer say christmas during the next prime ministers questions 464	12	$67	52	69	-17	open	—	01-07 11:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 23:02:37	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x8158a3…
07-19 22:47:33	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	14	16¢	$2	0x8f9ed6…
07-19 22:47:33	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x7d3be6…
07-19 22:47:33	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x0f8336…
07-19 10:11:52	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	58	69¢	$40	0xfb7958…
07-18 20:49:58	greek snap election scheduled in 2026 20260618181513020	No	BUY	101	50¢	$50	0x7d1303…
07-17 18:35:31	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0xce79f5…
07-14 20:07:07	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 penalty shootout	No	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x727709…
07-14 14:42:05	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x435cfd…
07-13 08:34:20	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	BUY	81	86¢	$70	0x237cb5…
07-13 08:24:31	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x4a1937…
07-11 22:14:49	lol blg hle1 2026 07 12 total games 3pt5	Over	BUY	43	75¢	$32	0x8c3711…
07-11 20:32:47	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x23a144…
07-10 15:26:55	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x622074…
07-09 18:38:53	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xd7f94f…
07-09 09:14:17	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x2db996…
07-08 16:26:08	will trump say nuclear during press conference 20260707192103051	Yes	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0x2fe10c…
07-08 16:26:05	will trump say nuclear during press conference 20260707192103051	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xe28a8e…
07-08 16:26:01	will trump say nuclear during press conference 20260707192103051	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$2	0x34fef3…
07-08 16:25:56	will trump say nuclear during press conference 20260707192103051	Yes	BUY	18	70¢	$12	0x967e50…
07-08 16:25:32	will trump say nuclear during press conference 20260707192103051	Yes	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0x0d70ee…
07-08 11:01:26	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xb70e41…
07-08 11:01:22	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0xcce5cf…
07-08 11:01:13	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x09b642…
07-08 11:00:55	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x34336b…
07-08 10:59:08	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x5fce68…
07-08 10:58:59	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x7d1fc0…
06-30 11:33:01	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	81	87¢	$70	0xb2f9f6…
06-20 20:44:16	will starmer say social media during the next pmq	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x3bafda…
06-20 20:41:07	will starmer say ban during the next pmq	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xb4ca42…
06-20 10:09:20	will starmer say thank 5 times during the next pmq 20260610160650631	Yes	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x91f78d…
06-20 09:20:10	will starmer say thank 5 times during the next pmq 20260610160650631	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xa179ac…
06-20 08:07:35	will starmer say thank 5 times during the next pmq 20260610160650631	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xdadb28…
06-19 17:07:19	will starmer say mrpt speaker 20 times during the next pmq 20260610160650629	Yes	BUY	40	80¢	$32	0x9ea1f1…
06-14 08:55:18	cs2 g2 lgc 2026 06 14	G2	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x6cc22a…
06-12 09:43:43	cs2 navi lgc 2026 06 12	Natus Vincere	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x7ff327…
06-10 13:51:43	bkgr1 pan2 oly 2026 06 10	Panathinaikos	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x6546e5…
06-09 15:18:42	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0xe9a4eb…
06-03 16:16:28	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?	No	BUY	51	78¢	$40	0x8b7521…
06-03 16:06:15	Olympiacos B.C. vs. Panathinaikos	Olympiacos B.C.	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xde7d05…
06-03 16:05:36	Olympiacos B.C. vs. Panathinaikos	Olympiacos B.C.	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0x737163…
06-02 07:22:24	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xb79d15…
06-01 10:40:06	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	BUY	47	86¢	$40	0x01a4ac…
06-01 10:39:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x236cee…
05-31 17:56:11	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?	No	BUY	65	84¢	$55	0xc72b8e…
05-31 10:36:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x32832e…
05-31 07:29:59	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x3735f8…
05-30 18:31:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	66	88¢	$58	0x67c333…
05-30 15:16:48	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0x4d3647…
05-30 07:48:38	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	BUY	82	85¢	$70	0x0d7601…
05-29 11:10:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	33	27¢	$9	0x601c86…
05-29 04:16:32	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Dplus KIA	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0x2e257d…
05-28 17:58:14	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	BUY	71	85¢	$60	0x3265c8…
05-28 07:51:03	LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x7c35ce…
05-27 17:18:30	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xb173ce…
05-27 16:56:49	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xc373b5…
05-27 16:56:46	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0x81ebfb…
05-27 15:40:12	Will Trump say "Iran" 10+ times during Cabinet meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xd7a153…
05-27 15:16:12	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Cabinet meeting?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x565a15…
05-27 13:37:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x0acf1f…
05-27 11:22:59	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Cabinet meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xa5262d…
05-24 09:20:27	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	72	44¢	$31	0x25bb71…
05-24 09:19:03	LoL: HANJIN BRION vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0xe2cd73…
05-22 19:36:58	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events in Rockland County?	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x455f88…
05-22 13:16:08	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	No	BUY	60	88¢	$53	0x69f4ee…
05-22 10:13:46	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x334b74…
05-22 10:00:19	Will Trump say "Recession" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	No	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0x846c9a…
05-22 09:59:51	Will Trump say "Recession" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	No	BUY	37	85¢	$31	0x7ee733…
05-22 09:29:08	Will Trump say "Recession" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	No	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0xf13867…
05-21 09:19:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0xa778e2…
05-20 15:58:18	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	11	60¢	$7	0xc00131…
05-20 15:56:47	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x39a4d6…
05-20 15:54:01	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	1	60¢	$1	0x9cb0cd…
05-20 15:54:01	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x6bb398…
05-20 12:32:11	Will Trump say "Winner" or "Loser" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	25	70¢	$18	0xb6829a…
05-20 10:52:45	Will Starmer say "Epstein" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x45992e…
05-20 08:56:17	LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	KT Rolster	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x5d35e3…
05-19 23:36:16	Will Trump or Melania say "Ballroom" during the Congressional Picnic?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xed2714…
05-18 13:47:43	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xead557…
05-18 13:47:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0xd4a50a…
05-18 08:34:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	91	88¢	$80	0x37d030…
05-17 14:33:47	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs	Natus Vincere	BUY	49	81¢	$40	0x8b1539…
05-17 09:08:43	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Spirit	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x38e9c0…
05-16 11:27:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0xae7288…
05-16 08:34:12	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Spirit	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x2a453f…
05-15 08:52:37	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Spirit	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x99806f…
05-14 07:54:20	LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	KT Rolster	BUY	38	78¢	$30	0x86df7e…
05-13 22:00:47	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	70¢	$50	0x39881c…
05-13 14:27:39	Will King Charles say "Starmer" during State Opening?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x13b568…
05-13 14:00:49	Will Starmer say "Shadow Secretary" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	BUY	21	85¢	$18	0x9c9335…
05-13 12:31:41	Will King Charles say "Recession" during State Opening?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x0c47ac…
05-13 10:30:35	Will King Charles say "Trump" during State Opening?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xe729e3…
05-13 10:22:58	Will King Charles say "Trump" during State Opening?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x0662ab…
05-13 08:40:57	Will Starmer say "Epstein" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	BUY	26	85¢	$22	0xce23bf…
05-13 04:54:12	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xff8b0c…
05-13 04:31:20	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x4399b6…
05-12 21:56:03	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x1c6e73…
05-12 21:51:02	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	SELL	78	90¢	$70	0xaa5860…
05-12 10:12:15	Will Starmer say "Anti-Semitism" or "Anti-Semitic" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0xbcfb75…
05-12 10:11:26	Will Starmer say "Jewish" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	SELL	25	65¢	$16	0x993b7f…