Realized P&L
+$407
Unrealized P&L
+$74
Hit rate
74.6%
Resolved
476
Trades
777
lifetime
Volume
$16.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$670
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-03 20:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 187 days
Categories
Other
57% 68% +$500
Politics
29% 62% -$61
Crypto
5% 53% -$46
Sports
5% 44% +$167
Tech
3% 67% -$149
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? Yes +305 $95 48¢ $148 +$53 10-15 02:15
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $70 78¢ $79 +$9 11-03 20:58
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +97 $70 64¢ $63 -$7 10-27 21:12
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +63 $50 84¢ $53 +$3 10-08 07:07
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +61 $30 86¢ $52 +$22 09-14 16:55
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? Yes +259 $46 20¢ $51 +$5 10-14 16:50
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? Yes +303 $61 15¢ $45 -$16 10-14 16:49
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +55 $40 74¢ $41 +$1 10-27 21:11
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +54 $40 74¢ $40 $0 11-03 12:45
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +48 $30 82¢ $39 +$9 11-01 20:47
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +41 $30 76¢ $31 +$1 11-03 12:46
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +35 $20 62¢ $22 +$2 11-02 19:25
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +15 $5 48¢ $7 +$2 11-03 12:44
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? Yes +23 $10 1¢ $0 -$10 09-14 17:01