Hollow-Ceiling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.9%

Resolved

Trades

223

lifetime

Volume

$3.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 06-14 18:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

52% 100% +$15

Sports

32% 71% $-17

Crypto

8% — —

Tech

5% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	7	$395	233	233	+0	open	—	05-01 16:22
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 205.5	2	$196	101	101	+0	open	—	04-26 19:46
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 214.5	2	$195	100	100	+0	Under	+$5	05-09 01:49
por alv aro 2026 04 24 alv	2	$192	100	100	+0	open	—	04-24 21:16
Will Konyaspor win on 2026-04-27?	2	$182	105	105	+0	open	—	04-27 18:42
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	2	$146	80	80	+0	open	—	05-15 21:19
nba hou lal 2026 04 18 total 206pt5	8	$116	98	55	+43	open	—	04-19 03:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	3	$105	58	58	+0	open	—	06-01 06:48
Will Anthropic have closed its next funding round by June 30, 2026?	2	$81	106	106	+0	open	—	05-01 16:23
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	1	$66	0	100	-100	open	—	06-08 18:59
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar	1	$59	69	0	+69	open	—	04-29 12:32
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	2	$57	37	37	+0	open	—	04-27 19:50
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 215.5	3	$54	71	43	+28	open	—	04-25 22:27
will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	6	$52	96	96	+0	open	—	06-08 19:06
wta shnaide chwalin 2026 06 04	4	$52	92	26	+66	open	—	06-04 17:07
fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 1pt5	1	$50	0	51	-51	open	—	06-14 18:22
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 201.5	2	$50	33	33	+0	open	—	05-03 22:01
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5	7	$45	50	50	+0	Over	$-8	05-09 01:55
nba hou lal 2026 04 18 spread away 2pt5	2	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	04-19 03:26
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	2	$41	22	22	+0	open	—	04-20 19:06
Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Rays	1	$38	40	0	+40	open	—	04-22 00:13
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	4	$36	25	25	+0	open	—	05-29 17:29
Madrid Open: Andrey Rublev vs Vit Kopriva	2	$35	22	22	+0	open	—	04-24 19:53
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Marta Kostyuk vs Veronika Podrez	2	$32	17	17	+0	open	—	04-19 16:05
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elina Svitolina vs Elena Rybakina	3	$30	20	20	+0	Elina Svitolina	+$3	05-13 20:13
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5	6	$30	80	0	+80	Under	$-30	05-09 01:39
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	4	$28	30	30	+0	open	—	05-23 23:14
lal bet rea 2026 04 24 rea	1	$25	33	0	+33	open	—	04-24 20:18
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)	2	$22	35	0	+35	Spurs	+$13	05-09 01:56
nba hou lal 2026 04 18 total 208pt5	2	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	04-19 03:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 18:22:46	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 1pt5	Germany	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0xc34eea…
06-08 19:13:40	btc updown 5m 1780945800	Up	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x6192ee…
06-08 19:11:39	btc updown 5m 1780945800	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x12bf7c…
06-08 19:06:49	btc updown 5m 1780945500	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x839116…
06-08 19:06:12	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	71	22¢	$16	0x7b9f7e…
06-08 19:04:22	btc updown 5m 1780945200	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x8e0c58…
06-08 19:00:51	btc updown 5m 1780945200	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x163957…
06-08 18:59:04	Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	No	SELL	100	66¢	$66	0x095ac2…
06-06 13:28:25	wta chwalin andreev 2026 06 06	Maja Chwalinska	BUY	51	19¢	$10	0xca90a6…
06-06 13:27:52	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	25	41¢	$10	0x5f6618…
06-05 14:37:07	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xc97adf…
06-05 14:17:55	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xa0648b…
06-05 14:17:03	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	33	18¢	$6	0x4b87eb…
06-04 23:43:37	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x7921b0…
06-04 23:43:37	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	80	24¢	$19	0x441d97…
06-04 17:07:49	wta shnaide chwalin 2026 06 04	Diana Shnaider	BUY	22	29¢	$6	0x03476f…
06-04 16:46:37	wta shnaide chwalin 2026 06 04	Diana Shnaider	BUY	44	40¢	$18	0xd7552f…
06-04 16:30:16	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	33	8¢	$3	0x444961…
06-04 16:25:48	wta shnaide chwalin 2026 06 04	Maja Chwalinska	SELL	26	68¢	$18	0xadaa38…
06-04 14:28:25	wta shnaide chwalin 2026 06 04	Maja Chwalinska	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xa4a194…
06-04 14:24:49	wta kostyuk andreev 2026 06 04 match total 21pt5	Over	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x6c3a5c…
06-04 14:24:49	wta kostyuk andreev 2026 06 04 match total 21pt5	Over	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0x5ca4d5…
06-04 14:08:00	wta kostyuk andreev 2026 06 04	Marta Kostyuk	BUY	26	7¢	$2	0x541fa0…
06-04 14:08:00	wta kostyuk andreev 2026 06 04	Marta Kostyuk	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0x3033a2…
06-04 11:57:16	wta kostyuk andreev 2026 06 04 match total 23pt5	Over	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x88a2d2…
06-04 11:56:25	wta kostyuk andreev 2026 06 04 match total 21pt5	Over	BUY	26	55¢	$14	0x7185f1…
06-01 06:48:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0xdb991b…
05-31 18:44:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	No	BUY	36	86¢	$31	0x95cbd1…
05-29 20:46:50	Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x8eb439…
05-29 18:17:25	Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jong	Jesper de Jong	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0xc919d4…
05-29 18:02:25	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?	No	SELL	11	50¢	$6	0xe655fc…
05-29 18:02:08	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul	Tommy Paul	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x2f31bf…
05-29 17:58:24	Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jong	Jesper de Jong	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x688b45…
05-29 17:35:21	Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jong	Karen Khachanov	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0x646c94…
05-29 17:31:53	Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jong	Karen Khachanov	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x84aaf5…
05-29 17:29:42	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Joao Fonseca	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x536d2d…
05-29 17:26:59	Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jong	Karen Khachanov	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x29c22f…
05-29 17:21:16	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul	Tommy Paul	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xc9d32c…
05-29 17:20:27	Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jong	Karen Khachanov	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x971885…
05-29 17:16:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	No	BUY	22	74¢	$16	0x3158e5…
05-29 17:15:23	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0xb3443b…
05-29 17:14:41	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Joao Fonseca	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc8fa2a…
05-29 15:31:59	Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jong	Karen Khachanov	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0xbd3754…
05-29 15:30:45	Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jong	Karen Khachanov	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x957c32…
05-29 15:15:09	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x2834fa…
05-29 14:09:51	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x59a11e…
05-23 23:14:29	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x69102f…
05-23 23:05:35	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xba40d6…
05-23 23:02:02	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x24b872…
05-23 22:42:12	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x8c4f56…
05-23 16:13:05	Geneva Open: Mariano Navone vs Learner Tien	Learner Tien	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x85c0c8…
05-23 14:33:50	Geneva Open: Mariano Navone vs Learner Tien	Learner Tien	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0x8b3d73…
05-23 14:33:48	Geneva Open: Mariano Navone vs Learner Tien	Learner Tien	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x27087c…
05-21 14:05:48	Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Daniel Altmaier	Tommy Paul	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x6e777f…
05-16 23:45:05	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Sabres	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x80a197…
05-15 21:19:59	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	Jannik Sinner	SELL	80	91¢	$73	0xa9f258…
05-15 21:14:06	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	Jannik Sinner	BUY	80	91¢	$73	0x204fcb…
05-15 21:07:06	World Championships: Great Britain vs. Austria	Great Britain	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x5ec21c…
05-15 21:05:33	World Championships: Italy vs. Canada	Italy	BUY	104	1¢	$1	0x01c406…
05-15 02:41:07	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	542	0¢	$1	0x0aab6a…
05-15 02:36:54	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	120	0¢	$0	0x6ceede…
05-15 02:35:31	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x765dc4…
05-15 02:31:25	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xdbc244…
05-15 02:22:22	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x546474…
05-15 02:15:13	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	46	0¢	$0	0xc934cd…
05-15 02:13:11	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xed38c5…
05-15 02:12:13	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x7dcda7…
05-15 02:12:13	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x413ba3…
05-15 02:11:24	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x0b4ed2…
05-15 01:55:48	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	65	0¢	$0	0xb91165…
05-15 01:53:35	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xd9536a…
05-15 01:50:52	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x1e8981…
05-15 01:45:49	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	150	0¢	$0	0x250e65…
05-15 01:45:30	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xb07968…
05-15 01:42:09	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xc290d3…
05-15 01:40:34	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xab2e35…
05-14 05:09:51	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	1,100	0¢	$4	0xd3bb54…
05-14 05:08:13	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$4	0x9dbd91…
05-14 05:07:07	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	800	0¢	$3	0x5da9be…
05-14 05:06:51	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xf2cff8…
05-14 03:49:02	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9a8d0c…
05-14 03:42:21	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	377	1¢	$2	0x342fa4…
05-14 03:11:49	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$4	0xa01d19…
05-14 03:10:06	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x0185a6…
05-14 03:09:34	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xe89d6c…
05-14 03:09:20	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x36142b…
05-14 03:09:06	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xd00e95…
05-14 03:08:47	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x791fa6…
05-14 03:06:17	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x981477…
05-13 20:13:59	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elina Svitolina vs Elena Rybakina	Elina Svitolina	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x2d9697…
05-13 20:08:16	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elina Svitolina vs Elena Rybakina	Elina Svitolina	BUY	19	68¢	$13	0x567a72…
05-13 20:08:14	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elina Svitolina vs Elena Rybakina	Elina Svitolina	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x739d19…
05-10 17:29:50	Set Handicap: Bublik (-1.5) vs Tien (+1.5)	Tien	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x35dd5c…
05-10 15:54:57	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Francisco Cerundolo	Lorenzo Musetti	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x5d0807…
05-10 15:18:32	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Francisco Cerundolo	Lorenzo Musetti	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0xee35fb…
05-10 15:16:50	Set Handicap: Bublik (-1.5) vs Tien (+1.5)	Tien	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xa2c51c…
05-09 10:40:10	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Miomir Kecmanovic	Andrey Rublev	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd4591c…
05-09 09:44:33	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Miomir Kecmanovic	Andrey Rublev	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xcd86c6…
05-09 01:56:22	Spread: Spurs (-4.5)	Spurs	BUY	25	68¢	$17	0xfdf5f7…
05-09 01:55:14	Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5	Over	SELL	38	31¢	$12	0x561f9d…