Present-Licensing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$95

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$23.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$377

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 08-16 12:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

56% 93% +$50

Crypto

23% 100% +$26

Politics

15% 100% +$19

Tech

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump out as president by march 31	4	$3.2K	1,597	1,597	+0	No	+$17	03-28 06:38
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	8	$2.3K	1,165	1,165	+0	No	+$18	06-11 15:04
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	2	$1.9K	943	943	+0	No	+$3	06-27 09:05
bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	5	$1.6K	793	793	+0	No	+$15	03-24 00:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	2	$1.4K	709	708	+0	No	+$5	04-27 23:38
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	2	$1.4K	703	703	+0	No	+$3	04-20 16:35
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$1.4K	710	710	+0	Yes	+$10	06-10 16:46
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$1.2K	0	1,234	-1,234	No	-$5	01-19 02:19
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	2	$1.2K	800	800	+0	open	—	08-16 12:23
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$985	497	497	+0	No	+$3	03-04 13:26
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$907	909	0	+909	Yes	+$2	04-29 00:08
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$898	899	0	+899	No	+$1	03-29 14:31
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$608	305	305	+0	No	+$1	03-25 01:05
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$470	236	236	+0	No	+$1	07-29 18:00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$470	236	236	+0	No	+$0	07-24 00:36
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	2	$462	236	236	+0	No	+$4	06-03 06:39
Trump out as President by April 30?	2	$400	202	202	+0	No	+$2	04-25 11:15
will xrp reach 3pt2 in march 2026	2	$396	199	199	+0	No	+$1	03-25 01:05
will xrp reach 2pt2 february 16 22	2	$370	185	185	+0	No	+$0	02-21 02:27
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$236	242	0	+242	No	+$6	07-30 02:32
will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	2	$227	116	116	+0	No	+$4	02-22 14:23
will bitcoin reach 125k in january 2026	2	$203	102	102	+0	No	+$0	01-28 14:02
will bitcoin reach 100k january 19 25	2	$203	102	102	+0	No	+$0	01-24 10:22
no change in bank of japans interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$201	101	101	+0	Yes	+$1	01-22 19:44
bitcoin above 68k on march 4	1	$196	197	0	+197	Yes	+$2	03-04 14:38
will bitcoin reach 84k february 9 15	1	$184	185	0	+185	No	+$0	02-12 14:59
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$99	50	50	+0	No	+$0	02-07 03:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-16 12:23:06	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	800	57¢	$454	0x33329c…
07-30 02:32:45	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	242	97¢	$236	0x4fc130…
07-29 18:00:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	236	100¢	$236	0xb48587…
07-24 00:36:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	236	99¢	$235	0x74f503…
07-24 00:36:19	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	236	100¢	$235	0xef3d5e…
07-06 02:03:49	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	236	100¢	$235	0xcdb2cb…
07-06 02:03:28	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	800	88¢	$704	0xc03691…
06-27 09:05:23	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	943	100¢	$942	0x364553…
06-20 01:10:37	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	943	100¢	$939	0x0b4cd7…
06-11 15:04:58	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	230	100¢	$230	0x7db8ab…
06-10 16:46:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	710	99¢	$705	0xd30593…
06-03 06:40:02	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	230	99¢	$228	0xbb8232…
06-03 06:39:43	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	236	99¢	$233	0xff91a4…
05-19 07:25:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	710	98¢	$695	0xeedac4…
05-19 07:24:48	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	468	99¢	$463	0xd56ea4…
05-16 15:24:47	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	234	99¢	$233	0xef243c…
05-16 03:32:11	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	BUY	236	97¢	$229	0x565d78…
05-13 12:05:02	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	110	99¢	$109	0xc3fb7f…
05-13 11:06:35	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x6aaf7d…
05-08 12:54:41	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	117	98¢	$114	0x409b67…
05-08 01:26:56	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	935	97¢	$908	0x4b05b6…
04-29 00:08:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	909	100¢	$907	0x516d09…
04-27 23:38:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	SELL	708	100¢	$707	0x9f50bf…
04-25 11:15:54	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	202	100¢	$201	0x4780d1…
04-25 02:21:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	709	99¢	$702	0x75de98…
04-20 16:35:24	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	703	100¢	$702	0x4b95d5…
04-07 12:59:19	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	202	99¢	$199	0xf95dc7…
04-07 12:58:39	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	703	100¢	$699	0x7b1c4a…
03-29 14:31:32	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	899	100¢	$898	0x433910…
03-28 06:38:43	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	899	100¢	$898	0xf424fb…
03-25 01:06:29	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	899	100¢	$895	0x1e6ca4…
03-25 01:05:09	will xrp reach 3pt2 in march 2026	No	SELL	199	100¢	$198	0x28737a…
03-25 01:05:01	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	305	100¢	$304	0x03ed88…
03-24 00:06:17	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	No	SELL	393	100¢	$392	0xba07c2…
03-17 05:12:55	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	305	100¢	$304	0x20ba5c…
03-17 05:12:29	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	No	BUY	393	99¢	$391	0x0eecc2…
03-15 22:37:49	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	698	100¢	$695	0x4d7c37…
03-07 03:32:59	will xrp reach 3pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	199	99¢	$198	0xa8e9ee…
03-04 14:38:57	bitcoin above 68k on march 4	Yes	BUY	197	99¢	$196	0xbe0406…
03-04 13:26:27	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	197	100¢	$196	0x000b3b…
02-22 14:38:38	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	197	99¢	$195	0x5dfa87…
02-22 14:38:12	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	698	98¢	$681	0xc9f4bd…
02-22 14:23:28	will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	No	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0x97bc4d…
02-21 02:27:04	will xrp reach 2pt2 february 16 22	No	SELL	185	100¢	$185	0xcc512c…
02-20 03:26:32	will xrp reach 2pt2 february 16 22	No	BUY	185	100¢	$185	0xaa01d9…
02-12 14:59:17	will bitcoin reach 84k february 9 15	No	BUY	185	100¢	$184	0x98936b…
02-12 10:03:21	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	No	SELL	400	100¢	$399	0x92ab38…
02-11 17:03:41	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	300	99¢	$298	0xa17719…
02-07 03:05:59	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xec57f7…
02-06 09:20:25	will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	No	BUY	116	96¢	$112	0xfebca0…
02-06 09:19:31	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xdd22b2…
02-06 09:19:23	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	300	99¢	$296	0x1d6894…
01-31 08:11:08	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	No	BUY	304	96¢	$293	0x32e66e…
01-31 08:10:56	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	No	BUY	96	96¢	$92	0xd6fd13…
01-28 14:02:41	will bitcoin reach 125k in january 2026	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x714c11…
01-26 01:43:36	will bitcoin reach 125k in january 2026	No	BUY	102	100¢	$101	0x924bf1…
01-24 10:22:36	will bitcoin reach 100k january 19 25	No	SELL	102	100¢	$101	0x7bf353…
01-24 07:52:32	will bitcoin reach 100k january 19 25	No	BUY	102	100¢	$101	0xfb3e7b…
01-22 19:44:32	no change in bank of japans interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x74cdea…
01-19 02:19:38	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	1,234	100¢	$1,229	0xe00708…
01-04 13:47:17	no change in bank of japans interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x931e61…