Modest-Dagger — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.8%

Resolved

Trades

409

lifetime

Volume

$5.02K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-23

last 06-11 00:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 86% $-4

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
eth updown 15m 1780589700	2	$50	30	30	+0	open	—	06-04 16:26
eth updown 15m 1780602300	2	$50	30	30	+0	open	—	06-04 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	04-29 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	2	$37	20	20	+0	Down	$-0	05-07 18:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$35	20	20	+0	open	—	05-04 18:58
btc updown 15m 1780988400	2	$34	20	20	+0	open	—	06-09 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	2	$34	20	20	+0	open	—	04-29 23:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	3	$34	20	20	+0	open	—	05-14 09:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	2	$34	20	20	+0	open	—	05-31 21:13
btc updown 15m 1781137800	2	$33	20	20	+0	open	—	06-11 00:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	2	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	05-15 09:29
eth updown 15m 1780808400	2	$32	30	30	+0	open	—	06-07 05:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	2	$31	20	20	+0	Down	$-4	05-09 17:58
btc updown 15m 1780808400	2	$31	20	20	+0	open	—	06-07 05:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	2	$31	20	20	+0	open	—	04-27 16:57
eth updown 15m 1780709400	1	$29	30	0	+30	open	—	06-06 01:40
eth updown 15m 1780773300	1	$29	30	0	+30	open	—	06-06 19:27
eth updown 15m 1780641000	1	$29	30	0	+30	open	—	06-05 06:41
eth updown 15m 1780711200	1	$29	30	0	+30	open	—	06-06 02:12
eth updown 15m 1780646400	1	$29	30	0	+30	open	—	06-05 08:10
eth updown 15m 1780779600	1	$27	30	0	+30	open	—	06-06 21:10
btc updown 15m 1773566100	3	$26	20	10	+10	open	—	03-15 09:29
will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	3	$26	20	20	+0	open	—	06-08 12:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	2	$24	20	20	+0	Down	$-15	05-06 07:15
eth updown 15m 1780558200	2	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	06-04 07:41
eth updown 15m 1780521300	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	06-03 21:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-30 02:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-28 01:26
btc updown 15m 1773531000	2	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-14 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	1	$20	20	0	+20	Down	+$0	05-12 13:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 00:42:04	btc updown 15m 1781137800	Down	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0x6ba900…
06-11 00:41:40	btc updown 15m 1781137800	Down	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x242e6b…
06-10 02:40:42	eth updown 15m 1781058600	Down	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xba0901…
06-10 02:40:40	eth updown 15m 1781058600	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x98c3a1…
06-09 18:57:57	eth updown 15m 1781030700	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xa88925…
06-09 09:57:37	eth updown 15m 1780998300	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x34d8a3…
06-09 07:40:39	eth updown 15m 1780990200	Up	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x79cef8…
06-09 07:40:27	btc updown 15m 1780990200	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x6f215a…
06-09 07:14:30	btc updown 15m 1780988400	Up	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0x453340…
06-09 07:11:03	btc updown 15m 1780988400	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x3f3e3e…
06-09 04:26:27	eth updown 15m 1780978500	Down	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xa6f489…
06-09 03:55:46	eth updown 15m 1780976700	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x97be9b…
06-09 02:55:39	btc updown 15m 1780973100	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xae263a…
06-08 21:55:39	btc updown 15m 1780955100	Down	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x773f38…
06-08 17:25:27	eth updown 15m 1780938900	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x575d81…
06-08 16:55:37	btc updown 15m 1780937100	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x6eccf9…
06-08 16:28:15	eth updown 15m 1780935300	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x4eb50f…
06-08 15:11:57	eth updown 15m 1780930800	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x086071…
06-08 15:11:13	eth updown 15m 1780930800	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd17d3a…
06-08 12:25:25	eth updown 15m 1780920900	Up	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xb9bf19…
06-08 12:13:42	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	No	SELL	7	68¢	$5	0x0649c1…
06-08 12:13:31	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	No	SELL	13	68¢	$9	0x33eb91…
06-08 12:08:57	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x8a1826…
06-08 08:55:46	eth updown 15m 1780908300	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xb91ac3…
06-08 05:55:25	eth updown 15m 1780897500	Up	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xb36e99…
06-08 01:26:06	eth updown 15m 1780881300	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x1c2aea…
06-07 05:13:51	btc updown 15m 1780808400	Down	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x88768f…
06-07 05:13:51	eth updown 15m 1780808400	Down	SELL	30	8¢	$2	0x1b088b…
06-07 05:11:54	eth updown 15m 1780808400	Down	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xfa406c…
06-07 05:11:06	btc updown 15m 1780808400	Down	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xefdcf0…
06-07 04:10:46	btc updown 15m 1780804800	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x4e63ed…
06-06 23:27:43	eth updown 15m 1780787700	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xf8e0b2…
06-06 21:10:43	eth updown 15m 1780779600	Up	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x9ff289…
06-06 19:27:04	eth updown 15m 1780773300	Down	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x8250d0…
06-06 19:25:46	btc updown 15m 1780773300	Down	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x1181a8…
06-06 09:41:03	btc updown 15m 1780738200	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x400a9e…
06-06 02:12:54	eth updown 15m 1780711200	Down	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x8f71c7…
06-06 01:40:43	eth updown 15m 1780709400	Down	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x612ea1…
06-05 08:10:52	eth updown 15m 1780646400	Down	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x1cb1d2…
06-05 06:41:22	eth updown 15m 1780641000	Up	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xee1e96…
06-04 19:59:12	eth updown 15m 1780602300	Down	SELL	30	74¢	$22	0x62b84a…
06-04 19:55:42	eth updown 15m 1780602300	Down	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x352aff…
06-04 16:26:31	eth updown 15m 1780589700	Up	SELL	30	72¢	$22	0x5bffed…
06-04 16:25:42	eth updown 15m 1780589700	Up	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x1eb458…
06-04 09:26:21	eth updown 15m 1780564500	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xbe5b01…
06-04 07:56:01	eth updown 15m 1780559100	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x9619e6…
06-04 07:41:04	eth updown 15m 1780558200	Up	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x323087…
06-04 07:41:01	eth updown 15m 1780558200	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x0875c4…
06-03 21:27:37	eth updown 15m 1780521300	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xa69168…
06-03 19:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x85c10e…
06-03 18:56:12	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x3108d7…
06-03 14:26:13	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xeac307…
06-03 14:26:13	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x1637db…
06-03 11:42:14	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x02c6dc…
06-03 11:27:11	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x747140…
06-02 22:11:29	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xa3bccf…
06-02 22:11:24	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x40dd36…
06-02 19:26:33	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x5b99bc…
06-02 18:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x101c13…
06-02 01:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x49d02f…
06-02 00:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xf397da…
06-01 20:56:50	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xc1a869…
06-01 20:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x3c8de5…
06-01 19:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x39ba32…
06-01 19:55:30	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x7650a8…
06-01 16:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x99a34d…
06-01 16:55:30	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xa2d17d…
06-01 10:26:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xdf3325…
06-01 09:10:55	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x4e3b88…
06-01 09:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x4d3063…
06-01 08:56:42	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x72d086…
06-01 08:56:34	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf97f09…
06-01 08:56:32	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x73fadd…
06-01 08:56:32	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x0cc7d9…
06-01 06:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x3a72f3…
06-01 04:40:39	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x8ed70d…
05-31 21:13:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0x9897fc…
05-31 21:10:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x94fdf4…
05-31 20:55:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x648ace…
05-31 19:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x097fa5…
05-31 17:26:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xc77f90…
05-31 02:10:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x11ed21…
05-30 22:55:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x192513…
05-30 22:40:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xcda50c…
05-30 22:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xe714c0…
05-30 21:10:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xbf0399…
05-30 19:55:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x9747ec…
05-30 19:10:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xd4b330…
05-30 18:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x81b5d9…
05-30 17:11:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x6b1344…
05-30 16:25:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3c1941…
05-30 15:56:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x49c6c8…
05-30 15:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xe4655f…
05-30 13:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8676e4…
05-30 13:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x521889…
05-30 13:10:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xbdbd93…
05-30 11:10:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x05d418…
05-30 10:55:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x643779…
05-30 10:42:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x07689b…
05-30 08:12:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9d7bab…