Majestic-Diagram — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$96

Unrealized P&L

+$22

Hit rate

67.9%

Resolved

Trades

284

lifetime

Volume

$1.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$38

1 position

First seen

2026-05-01

last 10-27 06:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Other

69% 53% -$100

Crypto

21% 41% -$24

Politics

11% 100% +$28

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes		+42	$15	90¢	$38	+$22	05-18 06:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$84	50	50	+0	No	+$12	05-30 10:18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$77	60	55	+5	Yes	+$11	06-01 14:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	10	$61	654	20	+635	Up	-$29	05-23 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	14	$55	544	44	+500	Up	+$15	05-23 17:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	8	$54	229	30	+199	Down	-$6	05-23 17:44
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 8?	6	$47	59	59	+0	Yes	+$4	05-07 14:38
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or below on May 14?	9	$45	58	52	+6	Yes	+$12	05-13 07:57
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 11?	4	$43	55	55	+0	Yes	+$4	05-10 11:53
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 13?	6	$41	71	71	+0	Yes	+$10	05-13 17:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	4	$41	50	29	+21	Down	+$32	05-23 17:34
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on May 9?	10	$41	99	99	+0	No	+$7	05-07 20:04
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on May 12?	4	$39	67	67	+0	No	+$5	05-11 12:33
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or below on May 15?	5	$38	28	28	+0	Yes	+$11	05-14 15:28
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 2?	3	$37	60	60	+0	No	+$5	06-01 14:17
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 7?	6	$34	48	47	+0	No	+$5	05-06 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	6	$33	73	11	+62	Down	-$17	05-24 03:33
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 16?	8	$31	52	52	+0	Yes	+$5	05-16 04:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	6	$30	73	0	+73	Up	-$19	05-23 17:49
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 9?	10	$29	55	55	+0	No	+$4	05-08 02:45
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or below on May 31?	2	$27	32	32	+0	No	+$5	05-31 05:49
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on May 17?	5	$26	39	34	+5	Yes	+$7	05-16 19:39
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on May 7?	8	$26	30	30	+0	Yes	+$5	05-07 13:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$26	30	0	+30	No	+$4	05-09 05:43
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 5?	2	$25	30	30	+0	Yes	+$2	05-05 06:42
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on May 3?	4	$25	32	32	+0	No	+$5	05-02 16:32
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 29?	4	$23	31	31	+0	No	+$3	05-29 06:00
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 15?	3	$22	30	0	+30	Yes	-$22	10-14 04:34
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 5?	3	$21	35	35	+0	No	+$2	05-04 15:02
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on May 3?	5	$21	33	33	+0	Yes	+$1	05-03 06:26
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 12?	3	$20	26	26	+0	Yes	+$3	05-12 05:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 06:08:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x67c130…
10-23 08:45:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xde466d…
10-22 10:39:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 24?	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x7b8d11…
10-22 10:39:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x944cf9…
10-22 10:38:05	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8a6b45…
10-22 10:36:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x67afc5…
10-22 10:36:26	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x1aec89…
10-22 10:35:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 24?	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x90f5fc…
10-22 10:35:47	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 24?	No	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x1ac5a1…
10-19 11:46:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 21?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x281ec4…
10-19 11:45:35	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 20?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xeab101…
10-18 04:55:11	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xd85285…
10-18 04:54:38	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 19?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x951cb0…
10-16 03:34:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 17?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x2852c9…
10-15 09:14:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 17?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x731f35…
10-15 09:12:53	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 17?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x887a72…
10-15 09:11:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 16?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xe7ed8a…
10-14 04:34:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 15?	No	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0x850095…
10-14 04:34:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 15?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xba74f8…
10-14 04:34:26	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 15?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x59c8ac…
10-14 04:33:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xd574c0…
10-13 04:08:47	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 14?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x136a73…
10-13 04:08:35	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 14?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x48776e…
10-13 01:56:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 13?	No	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0x17bf48…
10-12 04:25:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 13?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x06dfc5…
10-12 04:25:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 13?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x33bef7…
10-11 03:55:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x273ed6…
10-11 00:03:46	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	17	32¢	$5	0x9f00c4…
10-10 20:02:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on October 11?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x3d9750…
10-10 16:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on October 11?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x13732f…
10-10 10:42:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xcb6890…
10-10 10:42:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x7da818…
10-10 09:41:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x7042d0…
10-10 09:26:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x6a16c8…
10-10 09:21:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 12?	No	BUY	9	82¢	$8	0x28d37e…
10-10 07:59:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 12?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x716377…
10-10 07:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xf40726…
10-10 07:00:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xa1e900…
10-10 07:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 12?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x0a59ff…
10-09 23:31:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	23	38¢	$9	0xc9c158…
10-09 16:40:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x840aad…
10-09 10:42:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xfdf11a…
06-01 14:55:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	55	80¢	$44	0x23e7b8…
06-01 14:17:50	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 2?	Yes	SELL	60	35¢	$21	0x8b85ec…
05-31 19:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x89d48f…
05-31 19:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	8	70¢	$6	0x5973e7…
05-31 19:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0xb6b449…
05-31 19:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xefda62…
05-31 19:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xfaf0fe…
05-31 19:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x55a64d…
05-31 13:53:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	35	27¢	$9	0x942577…
05-31 13:53:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	25	26¢	$7	0xb53737…
05-31 13:52:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x29f205…
05-31 05:49:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or below on May 31?	Yes	SELL	32	50¢	$16	0x687609…
05-30 10:18:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x9b5e62…
05-29 08:08:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or below on May 31?	Yes	BUY	32	35¢	$11	0x30efe9…
05-29 06:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 29?	Yes	SELL	26	43¢	$11	0x41bb1e…
05-29 05:46:47	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 29?	Yes	SELL	1	43¢	$1	0x7fecd0…
05-29 04:12:50	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 29?	Yes	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0xf21ee6…
05-27 16:43:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or below on May 29?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x63b50c…
05-27 16:43:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	31	33¢	$10	0xb69db9…
05-27 16:42:53	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or below on May 29?	Yes	BUY	24	7¢	$2	0x6d845d…
05-26 06:31:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 26?	Yes	SELL	22	40¢	$9	0x0c203e…
05-26 06:30:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 26?	Yes	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0xfcf5d2…
05-26 05:16:18	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 26?	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x7fba1a…
05-26 02:37:13	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 26?	Yes	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x7fbfb7…
05-24 19:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xc162bf…
05-24 16:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xabf9ff…
05-24 16:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xdc64e9…
05-24 15:54:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on May 25?	Yes	SELL	18	40¢	$7	0x7caf6b…
05-24 09:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x3d4ffe…
05-24 09:43:38	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	18	35¢	$6	0x2834b3…
05-24 09:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x9ec008…
05-24 09:40:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x71173c…
05-24 09:38:14	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x9c95e3…
05-24 09:38:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	19	22¢	$4	0x5ec0b5…
05-24 09:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xf60e17…
05-24 09:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xa99049…
05-24 03:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	SELL	11	70¢	$8	0x20f349…
05-24 03:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x92417d…
05-24 03:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x751cb3…
05-24 03:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xd399ef…
05-24 03:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x6432bc…
05-24 03:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x556084…
05-23 17:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x6bd73c…
05-23 17:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xcfe69e…
05-23 17:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x63b51c…
05-23 17:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xc971ab…
05-23 17:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x0044c1…
05-23 17:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xc0a015…
05-23 17:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x627cb5…
05-23 17:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x9b7320…
05-23 17:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xe9e9d0…
05-23 17:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x772e6a…
05-23 17:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x23d78d…
05-23 17:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xf8b6e9…
05-23 17:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xbbf72b…
05-23 17:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xd86309…
05-23 17:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x85417b…
05-23 17:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xfe5905…