Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$37

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

62.0%

Resolved

113

Trades

1,275

lifetime

Volume

$3.44K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$14

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-04 20:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Politics

52% 62% -$25

Other

45% 66% +$6

Pop-Culture

1% 60% -$7

Sports

1% 67% -$6

Crypto

0% 0% -$12

Tech

0% 100% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+20	$9	43¢	$9	$0	11-04 04:29
next white house press secretary announced by december 31 2026	Yes	+5	$4	68¢	$3	-$1	10-17 01:26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	+20	$3	12¢	$2	-$1	11-04 20:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	27	$216	310	270	+40	No	-$23	10-25 22:11
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	29	$177	590	590	+0	Yes	+$1	10-25 21:48
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	22	$155	147	147	+0	open	—	10-27 21:21
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	7	$128	320	320	+0	No	-$7	01-12 15:22
will joo cotrim figueiredo win the 2026 portugal presidential election 643	15	$111	356	218	+138	No	-$36	01-15 19:28
will the secret agent win best picture at the 98th academy awards 938	183	$97	12,726	11,282	+1,444	No	+$7	03-09 10:43
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	10	$95	235	235	+0	No	$0	01-30 11:37
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?	8	$94	160	160	+0	Yes	+$5	02-25 16:15
US strike on Mexico by January 31?	15	$76	600	600	+0	No	+$3	01-11 23:26
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	14	$75	731	731	+0	No	+$2	03-08 17:09
will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	133	$75	7,260	6,712	+548	No	+$7	03-10 03:48
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	25	$73	1,800	1,721	+79	No	+$3	03-27 14:20
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	8	$73	77	66	+11	No	+$2	01-15 01:29
will bugonia win best picture at the 98th academy awards	84	$67	12,250	11,400	+850	No	-$9	03-12 08:11
will the us invade iran by march 31	8	$62	306	306	+0	No	-$15	03-29 10:52
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	33	$59	7,536	7,000	+536	No	+$5	03-27 20:48
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	9	$53	60	60	+0	Yes	+$0	03-08 17:13
US strike on Cuba by January 31?	19	$51	1,220	706	+514	No	-$8	01-19 11:46
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$50	400	400	+0	No	-$18	04-01 01:52
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?	4	$47	100	100	+0	No	+$3	01-24 19:37
Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	10	$41	200	200	+0	open	—	10-19 00:58
will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 1	10	$41	72	72	+0	No	+$2	01-28 19:40
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	6	$41	245	176	+69	No	-$5	03-09 13:59
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	6	$39	600	900	-300	No	+$9	01-10 23:03
us strike on colombia by january 31	10	$38	1,150	1,150	+0	No	+$2	01-20 20:09
will ethan hawke win best actor at the 98th academy awards	11	$38	700	700	+0	No	+$5	03-13 13:28
will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	14	$35	400	400	+0	No	+$3	02-22 21:22
will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	12	$34	650	650	+0	No	+$2	03-04 06:36
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	8	$33	80	80	+0	No	-$2	02-05 16:20
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	4	$32	50	50	+0	Yes	+$1	01-29 23:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 20:10:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x5661c1…
11-04 18:34:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xa15e72…
11-04 08:37:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xe32691…
11-04 04:50:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xc4155b…
11-04 04:29:33	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x989c00…
11-04 00:21:09	Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x030966…
11-03 15:56:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x6a655b…
11-02 17:45:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	32	3¢	$1	0x57d3f2…
11-01 16:57:48	Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$3	0x0c960e…
11-01 10:52:37	Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	191	0¢	$0	0xeb22db…
11-01 10:51:36	Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	809	0¢	$2	0x7a56e3…
11-01 07:01:36	Nuñez out as French Interior Minister by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xbf9947…
10-31 16:57:36	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	317	1¢	$3	0x841ef4…
10-31 12:23:09	Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$2	0x2550d7…
10-31 10:49:36	Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x607c2f…
10-31 01:04:31	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	620	1¢	$5	0xd127e6…
10-31 00:51:03	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	550	1¢	$5	0x2951c6…
10-30 23:01:18	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe3cd2f…
10-30 20:45:55	Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x764275…
10-30 14:10:40	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	59	1¢	$0	0xbf32d2…
10-30 13:23:21	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x3eef6f…
10-30 10:32:00	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	340	1¢	$2	0x00de56…
10-30 10:29:09	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	37	1¢	$0	0x5054e4…
10-29 22:36:30	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x2184d1…
10-29 10:57:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	98	2¢	$2	0x08c59d…
10-29 10:29:01	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	43	1¢	$0	0xfdd9e5…
10-29 10:20:44	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	52	1¢	$0	0xb19625…
10-29 10:20:44	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	304	1¢	$2	0x46e9f4…
10-29 07:37:41	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x2390f6…
10-29 06:26:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	130	2¢	$3	0xa9a07d…
10-28 11:01:31	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	250	1¢	$2	0x789529…
10-28 10:59:59	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	231	1¢	$2	0x83a16d…
10-28 10:38:59	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0x240ef7…
10-28 03:00:32	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$3	0xf7535b…
10-27 21:21:15	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	37	41¢	$15	0x6fae5b…
10-27 20:41:20	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x206131…
10-27 20:19:02	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x8d2195…
10-27 20:09:39	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x6794bf…
10-27 20:06:29	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x9655f7…
10-27 20:00:59	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x67194a…
10-27 19:52:47	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xc4552f…
10-27 19:45:14	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	32	61¢	$19	0xc00bf6…
10-27 19:44:39	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x773606…
10-27 19:44:24	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	16	61¢	$10	0xfcfb8f…
10-27 19:41:24	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xb8a90d…
10-27 19:41:24	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0x73cecf…
10-27 12:47:26	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	40	24¢	$10	0xe693af…
10-27 12:15:12	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0x25570e…
10-27 12:15:05	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0xa35d18…
10-27 10:09:17	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x7efa42…
10-27 01:58:29	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0xa72e99…
10-27 01:58:29	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0xa0a86b…
10-27 01:58:29	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0x9e65a7…
10-27 01:58:27	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf8bd59…
10-27 01:58:26	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xe6cb1a…
10-27 01:58:21	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0xd777e0…
10-27 01:55:12	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	40	28¢	$11	0x047399…
10-26 16:04:45	Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x56bf9c…
10-26 10:48:08	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x88f1c4…
10-26 10:39:59	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x5c6967…
10-25 22:25:47	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	Yes	SELL	66	0¢	$0	0xf932bb…
10-25 22:17:21	Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xed87cd…
10-25 22:11:59	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x76c396…
10-25 22:08:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x964e09…
10-25 22:07:51	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	30	53¢	$16	0x09224b…
10-25 22:07:39	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0xbb19ee…
10-25 22:06:42	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x9d6105…
10-25 22:06:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x282955…
10-25 21:58:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x314e62…
10-25 21:57:38	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x465000…
10-25 21:48:48	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	4	36¢	$2	0x5086e8…
10-25 21:08:38	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x407aef…
10-25 20:58:41	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x008839…
10-25 20:57:05	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	Yes	SELL	134	1¢	$1	0x9050a4…
10-25 20:50:38	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x6e5994…
10-25 20:45:21	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	Yes	BUY	150	1¢	$1	0xee5435…
10-25 20:45:15	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xfb32eb…
10-25 20:29:38	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x60a6bc…
10-25 20:29:23	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x51ba04…
10-25 20:03:41	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x542aa8…
10-25 20:02:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x03640e…
10-25 19:59:06	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x6afb6f…
10-25 13:08:54	Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0xea8e57…
10-25 10:06:32	Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0x2cace6…
10-24 19:26:17	Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xb19a68…
10-23 19:18:05	Will The Invite win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	527	0¢	$2	0xdb925b…
10-23 19:18:05	Will The Invite win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	473	0¢	$2	0x622fee…
10-23 15:24:03	Will Project Hail Mary win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xbf4ce9…
10-23 15:24:03	Will Project Hail Mary win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	125	0¢	$1	0xa1f441…
10-23 15:21:11	Will Project Hail Mary win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x454ee3…
10-23 15:21:11	Will Project Hail Mary win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x04d4b6…
10-23 13:35:42	Will Project Hail Mary win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x7486bf…
10-23 09:45:57	Will Project Hail Mary win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	316	1¢	$2	0x264163…
10-23 06:04:56	Will The Invite win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x3af3eb…
10-23 04:00:54	Will The Invite win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x243075…
10-23 04:00:54	Will The Invite win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x0a0118…
10-23 03:39:11	Will The Invite win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	150	0¢	$1	0xb338b7…
10-23 03:39:11	Will The Invite win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	90	0¢	$0	0xaa7151…
10-23 03:39:11	Will The Invite win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0x7b23dd…
10-23 03:39:09	Will The Invite win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	73	0¢	$0	0xcdc894…