Warmhearted-Artificer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$573

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$41.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$577

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-30 05:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Other

77% 74% +$542

Crypto

15% 100% +$8

Sports

5% 100% +$14

Tech

2% 100% +$6

Politics

1% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	4	$4.2K	2,173	2,173	+0	Yes	+$126	03-12 11:12
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	8	$2.7K	1,386	1,386	+0	No	+$18	06-15 16:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	2	$2.7K	1,365	1,365	+0	No	+$18	05-18 12:45
will crude oil cl hit low 50 by end of march 969 293 176 621 832 316 288 934 812 659 162	2	$2.6K	1,318	1,318	+0	No	+$2	03-28 06:37
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$2.6K	1,318	1,318	+0	No	+$24	03-26 08:42
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2.6K	1,319	1,319	+0	No	-$1	03-19 02:22
will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 13 323 755 644	7	$2.6K	1,294	1,294	+0	No	+$10	03-13 17:54
bitcoin above 60k on march 5	2	$2.5K	1,273	1,273	+0	Yes	+$3	03-04 17:12
bitcoin above 72k on march 3	4	$2.1K	1,270	859	+411	No	+$3	03-03 14:58
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$2.1K	1,046	1,046	+0	No	+$14	07-10 20:51
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	4	$2.1K	1,052	1,052	+0	No	+$10	07-01 14:43
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	3	$2.0K	1,021	1,021	+0	Yes	+$4	06-17 18:00
will bitcoin reach 73k on march 31	1	$1.3K	1,318	0	+1,318	No	+$1	04-01 01:12
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Switzerland?	2	$1.2K	632	632	+0	No	+$56	07-12 02:04
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	3	$999	876	876	+0	No	-$123	08-30 05:07
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$985	500	500	+0	No	+$5	08-10 11:40
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	1	$956	0	971	-971	No	-$15	05-06 00:12
will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$813	410	410	+0	No	+$6	02-26 21:41
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$741	0	743	-743	No	-$1	01-28 01:40
maduro out by january 31 2026 318	1	$465	0	1,408	-1,408	Yes	+$465	01-03 07:19
Trump out as President by April 30?	2	$411	207	207	+0	No	+$3	04-25 11:15
will gold gc settle over 3600 on the final trading day of february 2026	1	$410	410	0	+410	Yes	+$0	02-27 07:40
ethereum above 3300 on february 4	1	$403	403	0	+403	No	+$1	02-02 14:51
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$403	0	403	-403	Yes	-$1	01-28 17:58
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in April?	1	$385	387	0	+387	No	+$2	04-26 12:26
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$283	142	142	+0	No	+$1	07-29 18:00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$283	142	142	+0	No	+$0	07-23 07:11
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$278	140	140	+0	No	+$1	06-10 06:48
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$219	236	236	+0	Yes	-$59	08-10 11:39
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$100	51	51	+0	Yes	+$1	04-25 13:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-30 05:07:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	876	50¢	$438	0x8879d4…
08-10 11:41:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	757	64¢	$484	0xaa569b…
08-10 11:40:45	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	500	99¢	$495	0xa61e9c…
08-10 11:40:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	119	64¢	$76	0xa3dbc2…
08-10 11:39:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	236	34¢	$80	0xb62712…
08-02 09:29:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	236	59¢	$139	0x6859a0…
07-29 18:00:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	142	100¢	$142	0xb1392c…
07-23 07:11:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	142	99¢	$141	0x3c307b…
07-23 07:11:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	142	100¢	$141	0x393e8e…
07-12 02:06:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	142	100¢	$141	0x91bf87…
07-12 02:06:17	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0xc7a988…
07-12 02:04:53	Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Switzerland?	No	SELL	632	100¢	$632	0xf4e07a…
07-11 00:04:32	Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Switzerland?	No	BUY	632	91¢	$575	0x73bac9…
07-10 20:51:26	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1,046	100¢	$1,044	0x9a68fe…
07-02 04:24:56	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1,046	98¢	$1,030	0xca7fec…
07-01 14:43:29	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	789	98¢	$773	0xda625d…
07-01 14:43:29	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	132	98¢	$129	0xc9e98f…
07-01 08:02:56	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	132	98¢	$129	0xf7cec5…
06-26 02:32:49	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,052	97¢	$1,020	0xe46f31…
06-17 18:00:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,021	100¢	$1,020	0x35b261…
06-16 23:05:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	919	100¢	$916	0x0b2f39…
06-15 16:44:01	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	676	100¢	$674	0xc43454…
06-12 06:42:58	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0x467816…
06-12 04:12:27	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xe9da83…
06-12 03:35:57	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	56	99¢	$55	0xd1a351…
06-10 06:48:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	140	100¢	$140	0x57aa9b…
06-09 04:27:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0x37d263…
06-07 04:25:15	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	102	99¢	$101	0x7b8439…
06-04 09:20:45	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	365	99¢	$360	0xd258d9…
06-02 12:37:26	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	140	99¢	$139	0x2d85ff…
05-30 20:08:00	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	141	99¢	$140	0x10dd8b…
05-18 14:30:34	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	BUY	1,386	98¢	$1,358	0x8e94b3…
05-18 12:45:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	1,365	100¢	$1,360	0x9aa15b…
05-06 00:15:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	1,365	98¢	$1,342	0xff3e1e…
05-06 00:12:40	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	971	98¢	$956	0x869bc3…
04-26 12:26:48	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	387	100¢	$385	0xbed2a6…
04-25 13:59:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	51	100¢	$50	0xe32b58…
04-25 11:15:54	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	207	100¢	$207	0x4780d1…
04-14 08:18:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xa5eaa1…
04-11 06:37:01	will bitcoin dip to 58k april 6 12	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa7fed0…
04-08 10:57:59	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	207	98¢	$204	0x3eec7b…
04-01 01:12:05	will bitcoin reach 73k on march 31	No	BUY	1,318	100¢	$1,317	0x82f88a…
03-28 06:37:19	will crude oil cl hit low 50 by end of march 969 293 176 621 832 316 288 934 812 659 162	No	SELL	1,318	100¢	$1,316	0x898dc5…
03-27 00:31:53	will crude oil cl hit low 50 by end of march 969 293 176 621 832 316 288 934 812 659 162	No	BUY	1,318	100¢	$1,315	0x8f2770…
03-26 08:42:09	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	1,318	100¢	$1,315	0xf8478b…
03-19 02:24:31	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	1,318	98¢	$1,291	0x9b7e0d…
03-19 02:22:17	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1,319	98¢	$1,291	0xf4ed50…
03-14 07:50:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,319	98¢	$1,292	0x9db6ca…
03-13 17:54:15	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 13 323 755 644	No	SELL	258	100¢	$257	0x0c984a…
03-13 17:50:27	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 13 323 755 644	No	SELL	153	100¢	$153	0x07c822…
03-13 16:10:27	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 13 323 755 644	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9075dd…
03-13 15:08:03	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 13 323 755 644	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb627d9…
03-13 15:07:41	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 13 323 755 644	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x0cf947…
03-13 14:50:33	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 13 323 755 644	No	SELL	862	100¢	$861	0x18799c…
03-12 11:14:39	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 13 323 755 644	No	BUY	1,294	99¢	$1,282	0xf68709…
03-12 11:12:43	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	1,291	99¢	$1,282	0xed68f3…
03-07 01:50:31	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,291	98¢	$1,272	0xaa5435…
03-04 17:12:27	bitcoin above 60k on march 5	Yes	SELL	1,273	100¢	$1,272	0xabd896…
03-04 15:42:25	bitcoin above 60k on march 5	Yes	BUY	1,273	100¢	$1,269	0xe88d9b…
03-03 14:58:13	bitcoin above 72k on march 3	No	SELL	587	100¢	$587	0x7ea594…
03-03 14:57:59	bitcoin above 72k on march 3	No	SELL	272	100¢	$272	0xa291e3…
03-03 13:38:45	bitcoin above 72k on march 3	No	BUY	859	100¢	$857	0xde2bb0…
03-03 13:38:37	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	882	97¢	$857	0xee29bd…
03-03 13:38:13	bitcoin above 72k on march 3	No	BUY	411	100¢	$410	0xe295d1…
02-27 07:40:35	will gold gc settle over 3600 on the final trading day of february 2026	Yes	BUY	410	100¢	$410	0x155282…
02-26 21:41:38	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	SELL	410	100¢	$410	0xca620f…
02-05 14:24:43	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	410	98¢	$403	0x708ec6…
02-02 14:51:00	ethereum above 3300 on february 4	No	BUY	403	100¢	$403	0x20f714…
01-28 17:58:08	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	403	100¢	$403	0x80f127…
01-28 12:07:17	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	882	84¢	$741	0xdf5a59…
01-28 01:40:53	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	743	100¢	$741	0x351178…
01-03 07:19:21	maduro out by january 31 2026 318	No	SELL	1,408	33¢	$465	0x1d2668…