Aggravating-Acquisition — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$308

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

34.5%

Resolved

373

Trades

615

lifetime

Volume

$2.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-08

last 09-20 16:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 103 days

Categories

Other

61% 18% -$173

Crypto

28% 29% -$133

Politics

9% 31% +$23

Sports

2% 0% -$25

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will November be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes		+49	$10	2¢	$1	-$9	06-25 01:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$72	51	51	+0	No	+$9	03-22 10:58
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	3	$63	100	94	+6	Yes	+$53	06-21 11:58
will mrbeast hit 125 billion views by march 31 882 196 242 539 666	4	$58	896	896	+0	No	-$49	02-19 02:55
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	4	$57	49	49	+0	No	+$13	05-22 02:58
will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 432	2	$53	9,841	0	+9,841	No	-$53	03-22 14:32
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	2	$52	62	59	+3	Yes	+$45	04-24 14:18
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 8 million	3	$47	62	109	-47	Yes	+$7	02-10 10:40
will mrbeast hit 108 billion views by january 31	2	$40	1,178	0	+1,178	Yes	-$40	01-13 13:19
cs2 fal2 prv 2026 03 27	1	$40	95	0	+95	PARIVISION	-$40	03-27 17:13
will mrbeast hit 116 billion views by march 31	2	$36	45	45	+0	Yes	-$4	03-22 14:31
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	2	$36	31	31	+0	9z	+$26	05-10 15:53
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$33	62	25	+37	Yes	+$30	03-23 17:51
will trump meet with emmanuel macron in january 2026	2	$33	28	28	+0	No	+$23	01-31 12:31
will mrbeasts next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1 387	1	$30	2,544	0	+2,544	No	-$30	01-11 06:53
Iran leadership change by March 13?	2	$30	10,000	10,000	+0	No	-$10	03-16 18:12
cs2 ts7 fal2 2026 04 14	2	$29	19	19	+0	Team Falcons	+$9	04-14 18:28
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	2	$27	414	414	+0	Yes	+$7	01-31 13:31
cs2 tyloo fal2 2026 03 22	2	$26	71	46	+26	Team Falcons	+$6	03-22 12:30
will mrbeast hit 109 billion views by january 31	1	$25	240	0	+240	Yes	-$25	01-13 13:19
will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 264	1	$25	416	0	+416	Yes	+$391	01-08 05:36
Will Vitality win BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?	1	$24	33	0	+33	Yes	+$9	04-29 07:48
will mrbeast hit 120 billion views by march 31 767 279 366 974	2	$22	92	92	+0	No	-$18	02-19 02:55
cs2 vit navi 2026 03 29	2	$21	127	0	+127	Vitality	-$21	03-29 11:26
will vitality win iem rio 2026	2	$21	15	15	+0	Yes	+$2	04-19 11:52
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 363	2	$21	119	0	+119	Yes	+$98	03-13 06:38
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	1	$20	0	27	-27	Yes	-$7	08-13 17:06
cs2 navi aur1 2026 03 15 game1 odd even total rounds	2	$20	40	0	+40	Even	-$20	03-15 13:55
will tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in q1 2026	1	$20	125	0	+125	No	-$20	01-11 07:33
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$20	667	0	+667	No	-$20	03-17 08:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 12:30 UTC	4	$20	64	0	+64	Up	-$17	03-07 12:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-20 16:46:15	cs2 aur1 vit 2026 09 20	Aurora Gaming	BUY	71	27¢	$19	0x67393f…
09-05 14:21:52	cs2 ts7 fal2 2026 09 05	Team Falcons	BUY	101	19¢	$19	0x5766d7…
08-23 13:44:01	Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs	FUT Esports	BUY	35	40¢	$14	0x396dba…
08-23 13:43:16	Will FUT Esports Win the CS2 EWC 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x974aaf…
08-21 13:58:21	cs2 lgc fal2 2026 08 21	Legacy	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xf861e0…
08-13 17:07:33	cs2 fal2 ast10 2026 08 13	Astralis	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xe6828d…
08-13 17:07:04	Will Team Falcons Win the CS2 EWC 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x42dd4c…
08-13 17:06:31	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	27	74¢	$20	0x32a29c…
08-01 17:21:11	cs2 ence bcg 2026 08 01	ENCE	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x778d0f…
08-01 12:12:11	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xa4070d…
08-01 12:12:03	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x87273d…
08-01 12:11:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x359b1b…
08-01 12:11:47	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x3d96d9…
07-30 08:55:18	cs2 tl1 ts7 2026 07 31	Liquid	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x0265f9…
07-13 16:03:23	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x7e5988…
07-12 03:25:16	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x4f9620…
07-11 16:19:10	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x3ae895…
07-11 16:19:07	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xd3997b…
06-28 08:13:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 08:10 UTC	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x09af99…
06-25 02:00:29	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xaa8e88…
06-25 01:57:47	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x707ff3…
06-25 01:55:43	Will November be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	20¢	$10	0xa9136c…
06-25 01:54:34	bitcoin above 62k on july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x25619e…
06-21 12:02:07	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	77	4¢	$3	0x0a8875…
06-21 11:58:37	Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	59¢	$11	0xaf5a0d…
06-21 11:58:14	Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	SELL	76	59¢	$45	0xc5a1ad…
06-07 13:29:21	Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x9b12e3…
06-07 13:29:00	Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	9¢	$8	0x35f3c1…
06-07 13:28:03	Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x005a62…
05-31 11:40:10	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xa2789c…
05-24 02:54:38	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x995d55…
05-24 02:54:33	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	Legacy	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x5dffd5…
05-24 02:53:51	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xed9ab0…
05-23 13:34:25	Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	Legacy	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x951fdf…
05-23 03:01:42	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xc6fb51…
05-23 03:01:21	Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	Legacy	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x736223…
05-22 03:02:53	Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	B8	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8dbda4…
05-22 03:01:57	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A	Legacy	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xaaffb1…
05-22 02:59:16	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A	Legacy	BUY	22	32¢	$7	0x635a64…
05-22 02:58:39	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	31	90¢	$28	0xe6f9f4…
05-21 03:57:52	Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A	BC.Game Esports	BUY	21	38¢	$8	0xf6c8b5…
05-20 03:11:36	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BC.Game Esports (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A	BC.Game Esports	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x9bb99a…
05-20 03:09:54	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	16	74¢	$12	0xc2d9fb…
05-17 04:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x8510fe…
05-17 04:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x56f0cb…
05-17 04:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x899176…
05-17 04:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x07bd21…
05-17 04:47:36	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs	GamerLegion	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x699b74…
05-16 07:21:17	Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	magic	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x79506a…
05-15 08:15:38	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x586de4…
05-15 08:15:17	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	G2	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xb73fd0…
05-15 08:14:49	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	13	67¢	$9	0x718500…
05-14 01:38:59	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xc66b98…
05-13 05:16:38	Counter-Strike: Monte vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	G2	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xd9e890…
05-13 05:16:24	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	TheMongolz	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xa2d8b0…
05-13 05:15:56	Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Gentle Mates	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x55aa52…
05-12 13:46:27	Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	BC.Game Esports	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xf26dd1…
05-12 04:21:23	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Aurora Gaming	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xacce6a…
05-12 04:20:35	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	PARIVISION	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xbe6d3f…
05-12 04:20:14	Counter-Strike: Monte vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	The Huns Esports	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x5fd7c4…
05-12 04:19:25	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	TheMongolz	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xae2ca4…
05-12 02:16:34	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x247cd8…
05-11 18:04:30	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 Winner	BC.Game Esports	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x65fb98…
05-11 18:04:14	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	BC.Game Esports	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x9790fe…
05-11 13:50:24	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	FURIA	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x68a079…
05-11 08:10:21	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Monte	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x4e3438…
05-10 15:53:28	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	9z	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xe770c1…
05-10 09:20:48	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	The Huns Esports	BUY	69	3¢	$2	0x52e341…
05-10 04:36:52	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	9z	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x869824…
05-10 03:05:38	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	42¢	$8	0xc3ef23…
05-09 04:43:28	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x7a4d72…
05-07 09:23:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x727be9…
05-07 09:20:56	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x26adf6…
05-07 09:17:09	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	K27	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xceebd6…
05-07 09:16:37	Will Falcons win PGL Astana 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x2bcf47…
05-07 07:49:11	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xd0159e…
04-30 08:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x5231a4…
04-29 17:09:08	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A	FUT Esports	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0xfbe91a…
04-29 17:06:58	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	13	42¢	$6	0xbeeb5f…
04-29 07:48:56	Will Vitality win BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	73¢	$24	0xfe4bc4…
04-24 14:18:34	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xc09ab1…
04-24 14:18:08	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	59	80¢	$47	0xbfb8d9…
04-21 03:48:28	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x8eb8fd…
04-19 16:59:26	cs2 ts7 vit 2026 04 19	Vitality	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x9fd35c…
04-19 16:59:22	cs2 ts7 vit 2026 04 19	Spirit	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x90ebc5…
04-19 16:54:10	will team spirit win iem rio 2026	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x59c2ab…
04-19 16:53:32	cs2 fal2 furia 2026 04 19	Team Falcons	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x45f02a…
04-19 13:31:38	cs2 fal2 furia 2026 04 19	Team Falcons	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x7b852c…
04-19 11:54:24	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x952419…
04-19 11:53:52	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	510	0¢	$2	0x003e79…
04-19 11:52:48	will vitality win iem rio 2026	Yes	SELL	15	76¢	$12	0x8b8b27…
04-18 16:50:14	will vitality win iem rio 2026	Yes	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0x41689b…
04-18 16:17:54	cs2 fal2 ts7 2026 04 18	Team Falcons	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x94e4b5…
04-18 15:33:56	cs2 fal2 ts7 2026 04 18 game1	Team Falcons	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x946649…
04-18 15:26:44	cs2 fal2 ts7 2026 04 18 game1	Team Falcons	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x7f0c60…
04-18 15:06:22	cs2 fal2 ts7 2026 04 18 game1	Team Falcons	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0xeee136…
04-18 15:03:38	cs2 fal2 ts7 2026 04 18	Team Falcons	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x320885…
04-18 14:50:38	cs2 fal2 ts7 2026 04 18 game1	Team Falcons	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x33f9d2…
04-18 14:50:18	cs2 fal2 ts7 2026 04 18	Team Falcons	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x6552cf…
04-18 09:24:26	cs2 furia vit 2026 04 18 game1	FURIA	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xe7d556…