Strong-Exhaustion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$70

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.8%

Resolved

Trades

741

lifetime

Volume

$10.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-05

last 07-13 19:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

48% 55% $-70

Crypto

48% — —

Politics

4% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
amzn up or down on june 12 2026	4	$148	79	79	+0	open	—	06-12 20:01
will spy dip to 735 by june 1 2026	2	$136	69	69	+0	open	—	06-05 20:00
rbrk quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 04 2026 neg0pt03	2	$133	69	69	+0	open	—	06-04 13:57
xauusd up or down on june 4 2026	2	$132	67	67	+0	open	—	06-04 21:07
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	2	$131	67	67	+0	open	—	05-20 17:12
wti up or down on june 4 2026	2	$129	67	67	+0	open	—	06-04 15:36
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilo	2	$107	57	57	+0	open	—	06-01 17:19
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	2	$106	56	56	+0	GamerLegion	+$6	05-13 19:49
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs	2	$104	54	54	+0	open	—	05-17 21:48
wti up or down on july 7 2026	2	$103	53	53	+0	open	—	07-07 21:04
will abnb reach 148 by june 22 2026	2	$102	52	52	+0	open	—	06-26 20:12
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	2	$102	52	52	+0	open	—	05-17 10:08
spx up or down on july 13 2026	2	$101	52	52	+0	open	—	07-13 19:56
spy up or down on july 9 2026	2	$101	52	52	+0	open	—	07-09 19:39
wti closes above 70 on july 6 2026	2	$101	51	51	+0	open	—	07-06 21:09
iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348	2	$101	51	51	+0	open	—	07-13 08:37
wti closes above 70 on july 2 2026	2	$101	51	51	+0	open	—	07-02 22:18
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Vexa (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage	2	$101	51	51	+0	open	—	05-17 18:55
meta up or down on july 2 2026	2	$101	51	51	+0	open	—	07-02 17:37
xauusd up or down on june 29 2026	2	$101	51	51	+0	open	—	06-29 19:16
Counter-Strike: ex-KRÜ Esports vs Blitzkrieg (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage	2	$100	51	50	+0	open	—	05-14 14:09
Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	2	$99	50	50	+0	open	—	05-16 14:41
spx up or down on july 8 2026	2	$94	52	52	+0	open	—	07-08 17:23
will trump publicly praise mojtaba khamenei by friday 20260615235202828	3	$92	50	50	+0	open	—	06-19 15:38
aapl up or down on june 16 2026	2	$91	46	46	+0	open	—	06-16 20:07
pltr up or down on june 18 2026	2	$91	46	46	+0	open	—	06-18 20:16
will right be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of june 15 20260611144822150	2	$83	42	42	+0	open	—	06-16 07:52
will mark juncosa be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212484	2	$77	39	39	+0	open	—	06-13 17:41
wti up or down on june 12 2026	2	$74	38	38	+0	open	—	06-12 20:05
spy closes above 730 on june 12 2026	2	$73	37	37	+0	open	—	06-12 18:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-13 19:56:26	spx up or down on july 13 2026	Down	SELL	52	100¢	$51	0x59a69a…
07-13 15:56:25	spx up or down on july 13 2026	Down	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xcbed3c…
07-13 08:37:19	iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x1b4e0b…
07-13 08:32:34	wti closes above 78 on july 13 2026	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x8f07c8…
07-12 08:49:07	iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348	No	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0x9dca2b…
07-10 08:31:04	will xauusd dip to 4000 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x80d114…
07-10 08:30:52	will tsla dip to 375 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xd07c7d…
07-09 19:39:56	spy up or down on july 9 2026	Up	SELL	52	100¢	$51	0x17eb37…
07-09 16:04:44	spy up or down on july 9 2026	Up	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x70123f…
07-09 16:04:01	abnb up or down on july 9 2026	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xce77e0…
07-08 17:24:17	xauusd up or down on july 8 2026	Down	BUY	46	96¢	$44	0xcd973f…
07-08 17:23:29	spx up or down on july 8 2026	Down	SELL	52	84¢	$44	0x85f5ae…
07-08 16:54:22	meta up or down on july 8 2026	Down	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0x1ff1a2…
07-08 16:53:59	nvda up or down on july 8 2026	Up	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x7983fe…
07-08 16:07:28	spx up or down on july 8 2026	Down	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x74c028…
07-08 11:12:23	spy up or down on july 8 2026	Down	SELL	31	87¢	$27	0x37b14e…
07-08 11:10:58	spy up or down on july 8 2026	Down	BUY	31	88¢	$27	0xa181a8…
07-07 21:04:55	wti up or down on july 7 2026	Up	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0xb7fbb4…
07-07 20:00:52	spy closes above 740 on july 7 2026	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xad3bbd…
07-07 14:25:38	wti up or down on july 7 2026	Up	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x94177b…
07-07 08:06:43	spy closes above 740 on july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x21d864…
07-06 21:09:55	wti closes above 70 on july 6 2026	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x566c19…
07-06 14:51:26	wti closes above 70 on july 6 2026	No	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0x5ab0f3…
07-05 16:09:49	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 4 20260626160825418	No	SELL	21	80¢	$17	0xed0d32…
07-05 14:50:05	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 4 20260626160825418	No	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0x046ae1…
07-02 22:18:16	wti closes above 70 on july 2 2026	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x27229b…
07-02 17:37:05	meta up or down on july 2 2026	Down	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x45b079…
07-02 16:55:16	nvda up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x7c2c4b…
07-02 14:58:35	meta up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x021a64…
07-02 09:55:59	wti closes above 70 on july 2 2026	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xc2b8f4…
07-01 08:37:10	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xaa8f1b…
06-30 20:46:37	will trump say no no no donald in june	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xfc3ab8…
06-29 19:17:22	wti closes above 72 on june 29 2026	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x5e474a…
06-29 19:16:59	xauusd up or down on june 29 2026	Down	SELL	51	99¢	$51	0x667c2c…
06-29 17:57:59	xauusd up or down on june 29 2026	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xb99fa3…
06-27 18:49:32	will mrbeast say chandler during his next youtube video 20260616145800200	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xe95394…
06-27 11:10:10	will mrbeast say chandler during his next youtube video 20260616145800200	No	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0xd04534…
06-26 20:12:38	will abnb reach 148 by june 22 2026	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x45f300…
06-26 15:43:52	will abnb reach 148 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x702643…
06-23 15:53:43	xauusd up or down on june 23 2026	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x91a825…
06-22 09:00:43	wti closes above 71 on june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xe48321…
06-21 13:03:23	will trump say swamp the vote this week 20260612151047658	No	BUY	49	97¢	$47	0xa5bc5e…
06-19 15:38:11	will trump publicly praise mojtaba khamenei by friday 20260615235202828	No	SELL	36	82¢	$30	0x7db071…
06-19 15:37:13	will trump publicly praise mojtaba khamenei by friday 20260615235202828	No	SELL	14	92¢	$13	0x1fe47d…
06-19 15:03:17	will trump publicly praise mojtaba khamenei by friday 20260615235202828	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x0c6914…
06-18 20:16:58	pltr up or down on june 18 2026	Down	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x24d2f3…
06-18 18:27:31	pltr up or down on june 18 2026	Down	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0x3b7f35…
06-17 07:27:28	kmx quarterly earnings gaap eps 06 17 2026 0pt94	Yes	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0x6e3a9a…
06-16 20:07:59	aapl up or down on june 16 2026	Up	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x0c6fd4…
06-16 17:21:07	aapl up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	46	97¢	$45	0x7b83ad…
06-16 07:52:43	will right be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of june 15 20260611144822150	Yes	SELL	42	97¢	$41	0x87e366…
06-15 20:48:15	will right be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of june 15 20260611144822150	Yes	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0xfa8173…
06-15 15:29:30	tsla close above 420 on june 15 2026	No	BUY	42	97¢	$40	0x1cb73c…
06-15 15:29:00	pltr up or down on june 15 2026	Up	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x391ae1…
06-14 13:07:22	will anyone say morty 10 times during rick and morty e4 s9 20260609185832865	Yes	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x5f7f5a…
06-13 17:41:21	will mark juncosa be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212484	No	SELL	39	98¢	$39	0x7de85c…
06-12 20:20:34	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 team total home 2pt5	Under	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x238649…
06-12 20:06:07	will mark juncosa be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212484	No	BUY	39	97¢	$38	0xcc39de…
06-12 20:05:04	wti up or down on june 12 2026	Down	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0xa34efa…
06-12 20:01:12	amzn up or down on june 12 2026	Down	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0xb02557…
06-12 18:13:22	wti up or down on june 12 2026	Down	BUY	38	96¢	$36	0xe40687…
06-12 18:12:06	spy closes above 730 on june 12 2026	Yes	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0xc45de0…
06-12 17:07:34	amzn up or down on june 12 2026	Down	BUY	39	97¢	$37	0x0eac70…
06-12 15:57:28	spy closes above 730 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	37	97¢	$36	0x04218d…
06-12 15:56:24	amzn up or down on june 12 2026	Down	SELL	40	91¢	$37	0x6f8672…
06-12 15:02:31	amzn up or down on june 12 2026	Down	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0x096d96…
06-05 20:00:27	will spy dip to 735 by june 1 2026	No	SELL	69	100¢	$69	0x046182…
06-05 08:00:24	will spy dip to 735 by june 1 2026	No	BUY	69	97¢	$67	0x8943ed…
06-04 21:07:25	xauusd up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x85dd25…
06-04 15:37:09	xauusd up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	67	96¢	$65	0x802e65…
06-04 15:36:15	wti up or down on june 4 2026	Down	SELL	67	98¢	$65	0xb46ac6…
06-04 14:00:28	wti up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	67	96¢	$64	0x0e101f…
06-04 13:57:21	rbrk quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 04 2026 neg0pt03	Yes	SELL	69	94¢	$65	0xd9ddcb…
06-04 13:23:21	rbrk quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 04 2026 neg0pt03	Yes	BUY	69	98¢	$68	0xb339d7…
06-01 17:19:48	Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilo	Felix Auger-Aliassime	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0xc30e03…
06-01 16:49:04	Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilo	Felix Auger-Aliassime	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0xa3beaa…
05-20 17:15:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	71	95¢	$67	0x727a72…
05-20 17:12:14	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x309eca…
05-18 21:24:44	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	67	96¢	$64	0x7a75ae…
05-18 09:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x4b9f6d…
05-18 09:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x795b8c…
05-17 21:48:26	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs	Natus Vincere	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0x67b8a4…
05-17 19:00:47	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs	Natus Vincere	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x33a340…
05-17 18:55:30	Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Vexa (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage	Isurus	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x1e8b65…
05-17 18:14:07	Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Vexa (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage	Isurus	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xbf3087…
05-17 10:08:38	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	MOUZ	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x1768d8…
05-17 09:13:44	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	MOUZ	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x7903eb…
05-16 19:07:47	cs2 msc agreat 2026 05 16	MASONIC	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x01c0a2…
05-16 14:41:56	Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Team Falcons	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x202578…
05-16 14:17:38	Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x504270…
05-16 11:53:11	Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER - Map 1 Winner	Lynn Vision	BUY	33	94¢	$31	0x6b116b…
05-16 10:38:41	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner	Spirit	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xf37fc8…
05-16 10:26:52	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner	Spirit	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x6e393e…
05-15 20:15:07	Counter-Strike: paiN vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs	paiN	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x5a5995…
05-15 19:37:23	Counter-Strike: Vexa vs BESTIA Academy - Map 1 Winner	BESTIA Academy	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x34bcee…
05-15 19:34:05	Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Atreides - Map 1 Winner	Donstu Esports	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x1c47bb…
05-15 19:02:56	Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Atreides - Map 1 Winner	Donstu Esports	BUY	32	88¢	$28	0x932c94…
05-14 19:28:33	Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs	Donstu Esports	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x55e905…
05-14 14:09:37	Counter-Strike: ex-KRÜ Esports vs Blitzkrieg (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage	ex-KRÜ Esports	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x357c1a…
05-14 13:58:25	Counter-Strike: ex-KRÜ Esports vs Blitzkrieg (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage	ex-KRÜ Esports	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x751787…