Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$23

Unrealized P&L

+$103

Hit rate

71.6%

Resolved

203

Trades

487

lifetime

Volume

$1.73K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$1.20K

17 positions

First seen

2026-07-04

last 10-31 08:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Other

59% 40% -$5

Crypto

23% 51% +$28

Politics

17% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions (17) Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	No	+232	$202	92¢	$212	+$10	10-12 14:07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	+155	$130	86¢	$134	+$4	10-12 14:27
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No	+155	$101	82¢	$127	+$26	10-12 14:06
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	+112	$101	96¢	$107	+$6	10-12 14:06
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	+122	$101	88¢	$106	+$5	10-12 14:09
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	+109	$101	94¢	$103	+$2	10-12 14:07
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+65	$50	88¢	$57	+$7	10-12 14:17
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?	Yes	+84	$31	66¢	$55	+$24	10-12 14:11
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?	No	+56	$51	94¢	$53	+$2	10-12 14:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	No	+55	$50	96¢	$52	+$2	10-12 14:19
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?	No	+39	$31	94¢	$37	+$6	10-12 14:13
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?	Yes	+47	$31	72¢	$34	+$3	10-12 14:10
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+39	$31	81¢	$31	+$0	10-12 14:11
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?	No	+37	$30	83¢	$31	+$1	10-12 14:16
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?	No	+32	$30	96¢	$30	+$0	10-12 14:16
Will Russia enter Khatnie by December 31, 2026?	No	+15	$11	83¢	$12	+$1	10-12 14:11
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by December 31, 2026?	No	+11	$10	98¢	$11	+$1	10-12 14:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 08:19:36	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	69	10¢	$7	0x2ca4a2…
10-12 14:27:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0xba0348…
10-12 14:19:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x4d9de0…
10-12 14:19:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x36d873…
10-12 14:17:53	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x559c82…
10-12 14:16:53	Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?	No	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0x66ca12…
10-12 14:16:32	Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0xdef1d6…
10-12 14:14:32	Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x5944dd…
10-12 14:14:15	Will Russia capture Stavky by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x9a3d4d…
10-12 14:13:36	Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x6eed7b…
10-12 14:13:17	Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?	No	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0x8aae2e…
10-12 14:12:53	Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x504fe2…
10-12 14:11:57	Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?	Yes	BUY	81	37¢	$30	0xca60b9…
10-12 14:11:36	Will Russia enter Khatnie by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x66db16…
10-12 14:11:15	Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0xf7b765…
10-12 14:10:30	Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x685695…
10-12 14:10:09	Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?	Yes	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0x639fa9…
10-12 14:09:15	Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0xd71771…
10-12 14:07:54	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	230	87¢	$200	0xe36a2b…
10-12 14:07:00	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xc258e0…
10-12 14:06:33	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x9a8339…
10-12 14:06:14	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0xb5b476…
10-12 14:05:42	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x666812…
10-12 12:57:48	LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	JD Gaming	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x5f1258…
10-12 11:10:33	Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xe73147…
10-12 11:10:02	Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x4d73bb…
10-12 11:09:09	Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe62f5c…
10-12 11:08:44	Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x0a9b4d…
10-12 11:08:23	Will Russia enter Khatnie by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x1ec0a9…
10-12 11:07:53	Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x19351a…
10-12 11:07:03	Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x11043a…
10-12 11:06:35	Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xe0f112…
10-12 11:05:53	Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xff29d0…
10-12 11:05:14	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x55d34d…
10-12 11:03:11	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x1bd7d9…
10-12 11:02:33	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xafc5ad…
10-12 11:02:14	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x48c88c…
10-12 11:02:03	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xc2905e…
10-12 11:00:12	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xa711c7…
10-12 05:50:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0x7853db…
10-12 05:49:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x9a1a06…
10-12 04:34:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x68ffa5…
10-12 04:31:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe769b8…
10-12 04:30:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x500e89…
10-11 09:09:33	Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	NRG	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x13eba9…
10-10 22:06:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xe4932a…
10-10 22:04:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x1db289…
10-10 22:03:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$2	0x0ede81…
10-10 22:02:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x28849a…
10-10 21:41:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	18	54¢	$10	0x1a347f…
10-10 21:40:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0xd543ac…
10-10 18:38:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	18¢	$1	0xb1ae89…
10-10 18:37:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa03bad…
10-10 18:35:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0x59ac3f…
10-10 18:34:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xb50978…
10-10 18:33:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	51¢	$2	0x7fe8b9…
10-10 18:31:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4e0435…
10-10 18:28:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0xac69f8…
10-10 18:27:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0x47c44e…
10-10 18:27:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xf752e0…
10-10 18:26:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x567673…
10-10 18:26:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x789c25…
10-10 18:26:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0x2d79bd…
10-10 18:23:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0x0ca5cd…
10-10 18:19:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xeeb96f…
10-10 18:18:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x94fa93…
10-10 18:17:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	50¢	$1	0x35c7bc…
10-10 18:15:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb6b919…
10-10 18:10:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x3b58e9…
10-07 17:06:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x91ec6d…
10-07 17:06:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x45d26a…
10-07 17:03:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x673404…
10-07 17:02:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf902b9…
10-07 16:58:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x862091…
10-07 16:54:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x138020…
10-07 16:53:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe5b673…
10-07 16:52:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0xd427fd…
10-07 16:51:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x329f66…
10-07 16:48:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x26d6c7…
10-07 16:48:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x674213…
10-07 16:39:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x17ebf9…
10-07 16:33:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xdc39ff…
10-07 13:24:44	Valorant: Paper Rex vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	Paper Rex	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcb3689…
10-07 12:36:25	Valorant: Paper Rex vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	Paper Rex	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x9c965d…
10-06 21:20:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x19c026…
10-06 21:07:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x0e4834…
10-06 21:03:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0x073373…
10-06 21:02:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x813466…
10-06 21:01:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x5dcdf4…
10-06 21:00:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xc9bebc…
10-06 21:00:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd04959…
10-06 21:00:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x41eb01…
10-06 20:52:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x4a2817…
10-06 20:51:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x2bdd6a…
10-06 20:51:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x847117…
10-06 20:49:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x59ac6e…
10-06 20:45:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x542939…
10-06 20:45:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7396c5…
10-06 16:11:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x834676…
10-06 16:03:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x5c3b00…