Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$95

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-08

last 10-18 01:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Other

83% 44% -$20

Politics

15% 90% +$13

Tech

2% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	09-19 16:20
will msft reach 502 50 by september 21 2026 from september 23	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$0	09-23 19:39
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $193 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$2	09-23 11:17
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-12 20:28
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	09-20 22:22
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $115 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$1	09-22 06:47
will open reach 3 75 by august 10 2026	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	08-10 08:03
will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	09-15 23:48
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$0	08-23 05:34
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-08 06:36
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-17 04:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	+$3	09-15 13:56
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$0	08-08 06:57
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 22?	1	$1	3	+3	Up	-$1	09-22 14:51
will warsh say gas during september press conference 20260909	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$1	09-16 07:48
next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	09-01 03:29
will spy dip to 765 by august 17 2026	1	$1	7	+7	Yes	-$1	08-19 02:17
spx up or down on august 18 2026	1	$1	7	+7	Down	-$1	08-18 07:52
spx opens up or down on august 19 2026	1	$1	4	+4	Up	-$1	08-19 11:28
Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?	1	$1	7	+7	Yes	-$1	09-01 11:38
will spy reach 790 in august 2026	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	08-17 13:07
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	08-17 04:14
will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	1	$1	7	+7	No	-$1	08-11 01:11
will trump say barack hussein obama during remarks in new york 20260811183234695	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	08-12 09:56
will xauusd dip to 4200 by august 10 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$0	08-10 00:02
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	08-08 23:42
will trump say radical left during tele rally 20260809153916672	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	08-10 16:43
will trump say barack hussein obama during his rally with darline graham	1	$1	4	+4	No	+$3	08-21 19:58
spy closes above 770 on august 11 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$0	08-11 09:31
plby quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 10 2026 0	1	$1	5	+5	No	-$1	08-09 08:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 01:04:06	Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xbc8459…
10-17 16:08:15	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xea82c9…
10-15 10:48:06	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 15?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xee0118…
10-15 02:31:16	spy up or down on october 15 2026	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x38d62d…
10-14 06:29:05	will msft dip to 540 by october 12 2026 from october 13	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x6cc69e…
10-13 22:17:45	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $162 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1c5625…
10-10 11:48:46	Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x3f1f38…
10-08 19:12:18	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x03b086…
10-08 06:22:32	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xda4ea8…
10-07 10:20:21	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x23d170…
10-07 02:19:14	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf5d472…
10-06 18:18:51	will coin dip to 185 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x7e819c…
10-06 09:49:31	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xbf6960…
10-06 01:49:05	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $367.50 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x4aa024…
10-05 16:13:35	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xfea586…
10-05 00:16:25	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x355810…
10-02 08:05:35	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 2?	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x21c07a…
10-01 12:43:24	will the next claude haiku 4pt6 model be released by october 7 2026	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x782d3d…
10-01 03:56:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1?	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x38af9e…
09-30 18:49:57	Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x70d437…
09-30 09:45:03	spy up or down on september 30 2026	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xad02d0…
09-30 00:26:20	will xagusd reach 63 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb68730…
09-29 16:25:26	Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x7f83af…
09-29 08:24:53	will ewy reach 190 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x8f2d0e…
09-28 22:32:23	will spy dip to 755 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x7219e8…
09-28 14:18:39	will abnb dip to 154 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xdbd8e6…
09-28 05:37:11	will rklb reach 74 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc541d2…
09-27 21:36:53	will xagusd dip to 62 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xd79e53…
09-27 13:31:21	will the 5 year treasury yield hit 5pt10 in september	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb497bc…
09-27 02:45:23	will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xd177d3…
09-26 08:11:15	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe1fd00…
09-26 00:01:08	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xf90dca…
09-25 15:50:41	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xcdb7e4…
09-23 19:39:41	will msft reach 502 50 by september 21 2026 from september 23	Yes	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x1c9f44…
09-23 11:17:29	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $193 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x4f936b…
09-22 14:51:43	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 22?	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xaac230…
09-22 06:47:49	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $115 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x438b6d…
09-20 22:22:10	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xe18f1b…
09-19 16:20:21	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	No	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x3bf1e3…
09-17 18:36:16	will xagusd dip to 65 by september 14 2026	Yes	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x26b8ea…
09-17 04:41:31	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xcdf667…
09-16 07:48:42	will warsh say gas during september press conference 20260909	No	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x9c1530…
09-15 23:48:10	will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x739dd9…
09-15 13:56:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0xc87398…
09-12 20:28:18	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xa46d11…
09-08 06:36:57	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe04bf3…
09-07 16:20:27	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0x493f22…
09-02 18:38:34	spy closes above 765 on september 2 2026	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$1	0xdcd455…
09-01 19:54:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of August 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$1	0xa34215…
09-01 11:38:51	Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?	No	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0xbcb1b6…
09-01 03:29:10	next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	No	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0xff7876…
08-23 05:34:15	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0xa0561c…
08-22 16:56:01	will warsh say challenge during jackson hole speech on august 28	No	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0xcbc574…
08-21 19:58:22	will trump say barack hussein obama during his rally with darline graham	No	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0x920e5c…
08-19 11:28:45	spx opens up or down on august 19 2026	Down	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0x5ec5b6…
08-19 02:17:49	will spy dip to 765 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0x38c981…
08-18 16:44:31	will nvda reach 240 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0xf99639…
08-18 07:52:49	spx up or down on august 18 2026	Up	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0x9ef09f…
08-17 23:50:15	will pltr reach 180 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x9a05e3…
08-17 15:46:09	will aapl dip to 296 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x3029ba…
08-17 13:07:40	will spy reach 790 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xbdf12a…
08-17 04:14:19	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x473c6b…
08-12 09:56:21	will trump say barack hussein obama during remarks in new york 20260811183234695	Yes	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xc9841b…
08-12 01:55:40	will trump say maga or make america great again during remarks in new york 20260811183234692	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x4c0673…
08-11 17:32:54	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0xe47547…
08-11 09:31:52	spy closes above 770 on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x989b1e…
08-11 01:11:12	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0x176dd7…
08-10 16:43:21	will trump say radical left during tele rally 20260809153916672	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x24e87b…
08-10 08:03:49	will open reach 3 75 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xb943cc…
08-10 08:02:52	will amzn reach 288 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$1	0x9196f3…
08-10 00:02:03	will xauusd dip to 4200 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x0b7c1c…
08-09 08:04:13	plby quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 10 2026 0	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$1	0xc98374…
08-08 23:42:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x73e3f9…
08-08 15:40:48	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	No	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x970337…
08-08 06:57:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0xea83fe…