Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$12.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$143

Open exposure

$53

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 06-30 02:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

67% — —

Other

33% 100% +$7

Crypto

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	+21	$20	92¢	$19	$-1	06-30 02:30
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	+15	$14	91¢	$14	$-0	06-30 02:30
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	+14	$10	73¢	$10	+$0	06-30 02:24
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	No	+10	$10	95¢	$10	$-0	06-30 02:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	6	$5.0K	3,500	3,500	+0	open	—	03-06 07:56
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	25	$3.8K	2,184	2,184	+0	open	—	03-06 05:53
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	32	$3.1K	2,695	3,052	-357	open	—	03-06 08:23
will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	2	$47	51	0	+51	open	—	03-06 10:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	05-09 15:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	05-09 10:38
GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	06-30 02:30
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Miomir Kecmanovic	1	$20	21	0	+21	Andrey Rublev	+$1	05-09 10:16
nvda close above 175 on march 6 2026	1	$19	21	0	+21	open	—	03-06 14:10
Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$19	21	0	+21	No	+$2	03-06 09:56
LoL: G2 Esports vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	1	$18	22	0	+22	G2 Esports	+$4	05-09 10:16
will ethereum reach 4200 in january 2026	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	01-13 08:32
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	06-30 02:30
us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	2	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	01-13 08:38
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-06 04:39
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	06-30 02:24
will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 31 2026 20260624195228149 733 235 667 821	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	06-30 02:28
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-30 02:28
will nvda reach 208 by june 29 2026	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	06-30 02:20
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	01-13 08:33
nba por gsw 2026 01 13	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	01-13 08:38
nba chi hou 2026 01 13	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	01-13 08:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 02:30:19	Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0xec3d77…
06-30 02:30:01	GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xc3fcbd…
06-30 02:28:47	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xc9c04c…
06-30 02:28:29	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 31 2026 20260624195228149 733 235 667 821	Yes	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x26d5df…
06-30 02:24:28	Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xf65511…
06-30 02:20:22	will nvda reach 208 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xb136d7…
05-09 15:55:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xc17fa5…
05-09 10:38:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xcd272d…
05-09 10:16:19	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Miomir Kecmanovic	Andrey Rublev	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xe11566…
05-09 10:16:17	LoL: G2 Esports vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	G2 Esports	BUY	22	84¢	$18	0x030a09…
03-06 14:10:47	nvda close above 175 on march 6 2026	Yes	BUY	21	92¢	$19	0x9f4663…
03-06 10:02:17	will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0xaf9f96…
03-06 09:56:45	Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	21	89¢	$19	0xe6bf7c…
03-06 09:50:19	will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	BUY	36	93¢	$33	0xa819b2…
03-06 08:23:47	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	51	54¢	$27	0x843d51…
03-06 08:22:55	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	2,989	53¢	$1,576	0x1ba67c…
03-06 08:21:27	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	51	54¢	$27	0xfca7df…
03-06 08:20:33	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	300	54¢	$161	0xa53e8c…
03-06 08:15:05	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0xa3d961…
03-06 08:14:35	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	300	53¢	$160	0xeb6bb6…
03-06 08:14:31	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	1	53¢	$0	0x532e0d…
03-06 08:14:29	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	23	53¢	$13	0x3b0300…
03-06 08:14:19	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x729afa…
03-06 08:14:07	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x4ef9aa…
03-06 08:13:53	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xbe1f2e…
03-06 08:13:47	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xb032e2…
03-06 08:13:31	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x49adee…
03-06 08:13:19	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xad5927…
03-06 08:13:17	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xa13436…
03-06 08:13:17	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	275	53¢	$147	0x859f01…
03-06 08:13:13	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x15b09b…
03-06 08:13:05	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xbabc34…
03-06 08:13:05	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x89e366…
03-06 08:11:41	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0x099cbb…
03-06 08:11:31	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	80	53¢	$43	0xc9e573…
03-06 08:11:15	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0x86112a…
03-06 08:11:13	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	46	53¢	$24	0x16c785…
03-06 08:08:09	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	190	53¢	$101	0x60ebe0…
03-06 08:07:15	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	110	53¢	$59	0x0ffcdc…
03-06 08:03:15	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x4b728d…
03-06 08:00:37	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	252	52¢	$132	0xf9f9aa…
03-06 07:56:27	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	3,443	71¢	$2,445	0x390476…
03-06 07:54:43	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	28	71¢	$20	0x7bc45b…
03-06 07:51:39	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0xc16d4d…
03-06 07:43:43	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	300	58¢	$174	0x3e221e…
03-06 07:43:41	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	230	58¢	$133	0x784530…
03-06 07:43:37	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	400	58¢	$232	0xe02c49…
03-06 07:42:21	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0xce320f…
03-06 07:42:03	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0xf5d6ef…
03-06 07:39:55	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	3,500	71¢	$2,485	0xb1d0c9…
03-06 05:53:05	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	363	87¢	$318	0x47f454…
03-06 05:52:29	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0xcebbd6…
03-06 05:51:29	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x196540…
03-06 05:50:43	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	12	88¢	$10	0xb3dd2a…
03-06 05:50:19	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	3	88¢	$3	0x460497…
03-06 05:50:05	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	474	88¢	$415	0x2169e1…
03-06 05:49:05	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	30	88¢	$26	0x4e0f44…
03-06 05:48:07	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xca3b85…
03-06 05:46:27	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	240	88¢	$210	0xdd6ef9…
03-06 05:45:43	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xf3b13a…
03-06 05:43:37	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	500	88¢	$438	0x9854bb…
03-06 05:42:47	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xdc21a6…
03-06 05:42:01	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	90	87¢	$78	0xb8e13a…
03-06 05:41:53	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	120	88¢	$105	0xd3386e…
03-06 05:41:17	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xe6e273…
03-06 05:37:49	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xa1f7cd…
03-06 05:26:41	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0x806a32…
03-06 05:26:41	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0x5a740a…
03-06 05:24:21	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	1,142	87¢	$997	0x3be6d6…
03-06 05:24:13	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	23	87¢	$20	0xb164c5…
03-06 05:22:33	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0x71bffc…
03-06 05:22:29	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	32	87¢	$28	0x9ac633…
03-06 05:21:19	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	1,169	87¢	$1,021	0x981233…
03-06 05:21:03	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	26	87¢	$23	0xb58f79…
03-06 05:19:39	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x6bf2a7…
03-06 05:09:29	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	13	62¢	$8	0xd8438a…
03-06 05:07:55	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x76f115…
03-06 04:39:01	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe20923…
01-13 08:38:49	us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8f1c5d…
01-13 08:38:19	nba por gsw 2026 01 13	Warriors	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x1e2670…
01-13 08:38:09	nba chi hou 2026 01 13	Rockets	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x0c2f8c…
01-13 08:33:57	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb3b88d…
01-13 08:33:35	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x9872c3…
01-13 08:33:15	us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x73ed80…
01-13 08:32:57	will ethereum reach 4200 in january 2026	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xcd293c…