Realized P&L
-$43
Unrealized P&L
-$13
Hit rate
74.8%
Resolved
19
Trades
43
lifetime
Volume
$920
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$107
8 positions
First seen
2026-10-21
last 11-05 23:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
87% 47% -$58
Politics
13% 50% +$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump say "SpaceX" at Cape Canaveral? Yes +83 $30 57¢ $48 +$18 11-05 20:21
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +60 $26 45¢ $27 +$1 10-27 23:32
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +18 $10 66¢ $12 +$2 10-26 23:53
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +17 $7 46¢ $8 +$1 11-02 12:40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +44 $10 15¢ $6 -$4 10-21 14:52
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +16 $5 38¢ $6 +$1 10-24 11:37
Nuñez out as French Interior Minister by November 30, 2026? Yes +10 $2 6¢ $1 -$1 10-24 10:59
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 6? No +43 $30 0¢ $0 -$30 11-05 23:33