Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$63

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

24.9%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

43 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$87

$920 lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

$58

6 positions

First seen

2026-10-21

last 11-05 23:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

87% 44% -$88

Politics

13% 33% -$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+60	$26	46¢	$28	+$1	10-27 23:32
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+18	$10	63¢	$11	+$1	10-26 23:53
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+17	$7	56¢	$9	+$2	11-02 12:40
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+16	$5	31¢	$5	$0	10-24 11:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+44	$10	11¢	$5	-$5	10-21 14:52
Nuñez out as French Interior Minister by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+10	$2	4¢	$0	-$2	10-24 10:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 28?	2	$202	106	106	+0	Yes	+$8	10-28 17:18
Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?	5	$192	118	118	+0	Yes	+$32	10-27 20:39
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on October 29?	1	$116	131	0	+131	Yes	-$116	10-28 22:31
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on November 4?	1	$62	83	0	+83	No	+$21	11-03 22:57
Villarreal CF vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score in First Half	1	$40	65	0	+65	No	+$25	11-03 20:16
Will Trump say "SpaceX" at Cape Canaveral?	1	$30	83	0	+83	No	-$30	11-05 20:21
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 6?	1	$30	43	0	+43	Yes	-$30	11-05 23:33
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 1?	2	$30	20	20	+0	Yes	+$10	11-01 16:41
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$26	60	0	+60	open	—	10-27 23:32
Will Trump say "Tariff" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	2	$23	15	15	+0	Yes	-$1	11-01 23:03
Will USD be between 2.7M and 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	2	$22	13	13	+0	Yes	+$2	11-01 10:07
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 5?	2	$22	15	15	+0	Yes	+$2	11-05 14:21
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C on November 2?	2	$21	22	22	+0	Yes	-$17	11-02 06:12
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 26?	2	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$5	10-26 23:15
Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	1	$11	26	0	+26	Yes	+$15	11-01 23:20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	44	0	+44	open	—	10-21 14:52
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	10-26 23:53
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C on October 29?	1	$10	100	0	+100	No	-$10	10-28 17:22
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C on November 3?	2	$10	45	45	+0	No	$0	11-03 12:54
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$7	17	0	+17	open	—	11-02 12:40
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$5	16	0	+16	open	—	10-24 11:37
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 4?	1	$5	20	0	+20	No	-$5	11-04 13:08
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 5?	1	$5	18	0	+18	No	-$5	11-05 12:06
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 3°C on November 4?	1	$4	21	0	+21	No	-$4	11-03 22:55
Macron out by December 31, 2026?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	11-01 16:41
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 3?	1	$4	21	0	+21	No	-$4	11-03 12:51
Nuñez out as French Interior Minister by November 30, 2026?	1	$2	10	0	+10	open	—	10-24 10:59
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 2?	1	$2	22	0	+22	Yes	-$2	11-02 12:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 23:33:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 6?	No	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0x0a930c…
11-05 20:21:34	Will Trump say "SpaceX" at Cape Canaveral?	Yes	BUY	83	36¢	$30	0xb042e9…
11-05 14:21:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	15	78¢	$12	0x187393…
11-05 13:51:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xefb0fd…
11-05 12:06:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x6b1a08…
11-04 13:08:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x5b5232…
11-03 22:57:16	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on November 4?	No	BUY	83	75¢	$62	0xe932d9…
11-03 22:55:27	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 3°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	21	20¢	$4	0x8d1677…
11-03 20:16:07	Villarreal CF vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score in First Half	No	BUY	65	61¢	$40	0xd2c2e5…
11-03 12:54:51	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	45	10¢	$5	0x36b3fb…
11-03 12:51:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0xb0b5a8…
11-02 22:49:45	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xc875dd…
11-02 12:41:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 2?	No	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xea96c6…
11-02 12:40:03	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0x7ea434…
11-02 06:12:57	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C on November 2?	No	SELL	22	10¢	$2	0xee5762…
11-01 23:20:06	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	BUY	26	42¢	$11	0xf4f350…
11-01 23:03:46	Will Trump say "Tariff" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0xc36ce4…
11-01 17:50:33	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C on November 2?	No	BUY	22	88¢	$19	0x8211e3…
11-01 16:41:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x9e02c4…
11-01 16:41:00	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xd310a0…
11-01 13:29:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x3452c9…
11-01 12:30:39	Will Trump say "Tariff" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0xe9864d…
11-01 10:07:30	Will USD be between 2.7M and 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	SELL	13	94¢	$12	0x827985…
10-31 22:43:57	Will USD be between 2.7M and 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x5444ef…
10-28 22:31:08	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on October 29?	No	BUY	131	89¢	$116	0x546784…
10-28 17:22:49	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x8b0375…
10-28 17:18:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	106	99¢	$105	0x3f0534…
10-28 13:35:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	106	91¢	$97	0x472cf6…
10-27 23:32:33	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	46	43¢	$20	0x2a56dd…
10-27 20:39:38	Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?	Yes	SELL	118	95¢	$112	0x5ac6bd…
10-26 23:53:05	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xb9f73e…
10-26 23:15:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe11853…
10-26 13:27:45	Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xcecb6f…
10-26 13:25:26	Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?	Yes	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x479309…
10-25 23:09:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf6f0eb…
10-25 22:58:30	Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?	Yes	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0x03382b…
10-25 22:42:42	Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?	Yes	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0xbae556…
10-24 11:45:29	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	14	46¢	$6	0xea6353…
10-24 11:37:59	Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xd61409…
10-24 10:59:51	Nuñez out as French Interior Minister by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xaedb7c…
10-21 14:52:23	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xe61bba…
10-21 14:38:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x10333a…
10-21 14:03:38	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x3b18de…