Stimulating-Carabao — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$29

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.0%

Resolved

135

Trades

281

lifetime

Volume

$279

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 07-05 19:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

63% 34% -$26

Crypto

37% 30% -$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-05).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 165 189	3	$9	60	57	+3	No	+$3	04-13 05:38
highest temperature in london on april 14 2026 17c	2	$9	9	8	+0	Yes	+$7	04-14 15:51
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 420 439	3	$5	510	485	+25	No	+$1	04-13 05:58
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 140 164	2	$5	5	5	+0	No	+$1	04-13 05:38
highest temperature in toronto on april 15 2026 22c	2	$4	30	29	+1	No	+$1	04-14 15:52
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 380 399	2	$4	20	19	+1	No	$0	04-13 05:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	2	$3	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 23:31
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 215 239	4	$3	887	125	+762	No	-$3	04-13 07:10
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 400 419	7	$3	150	17	+133	No	-$3	04-13 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 20:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 17:55 UTC	2	$3	4	3	+0	Up	+$1	04-23 17:58
highest temperature in munich on april 15 2026 13c	2	$3	22	21	+1	Yes	+$2	04-14 15:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-04 15:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-03 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	2	$3	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 23:49
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 190 214	2	$3	146	138	+7	No	+$1	04-13 05:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	3	$3	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-08 23:24
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 18:00 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	04-23 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	17	$2	2	1	+1	Down	+$1	05-03 19:14
den nor agf 2026 04 23 agf	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	04-23 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-03 20:36
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 17:45 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	04-23 17:55
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 26?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-26 16:01
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 26?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	04-26 15:57
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	04-29 12:04
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 8?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	05-08 13:42
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 27?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	04-27 14:52
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be -1°C on April 28?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	04-27 21:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 19:23:29	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on July 5?	No	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0x0a1ca1…
07-05 19:23:26	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on July 5?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x111e24…
07-02 17:07:32	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 2?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xed618a…
07-02 17:07:31	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 2?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x03b179…
07-02 16:03:23	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 2?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa648a9…
07-02 16:02:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 2?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x78100f…
07-02 13:44:34	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 2?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9f76f5…
07-02 13:43:31	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 2?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcd9c59…
06-30 15:21:29	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2d7e8b…
06-30 15:20:22	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9dc97e…
06-30 13:58:29	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfe13a1…
06-30 13:57:23	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf1cec2…
06-30 13:20:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5dc191…
06-30 13:19:53	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf5b527…
06-21 19:16:35	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 21?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x9631d2…
06-21 19:16:32	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 21?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x516a3a…
06-21 18:55:35	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 21?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x31cd23…
06-21 18:54:31	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 21?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb4ad0e…
05-15 11:26:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0x665ff0…
05-15 11:26:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x93a558…
05-14 16:56:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 14?	Yes	SELL	12	7¢	$1	0x4fba9b…
05-14 16:56:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xbd88c0…
05-13 14:10:51	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	22	4¢	$1	0xec4875…
05-13 14:10:46	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x421f34…
05-12 13:56:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 12?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x35cbb6…
05-12 13:56:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf15f4f…
05-09 12:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0x684117…
05-09 12:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x772db8…
05-09 11:25:05	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 9?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x553705…
05-09 11:25:00	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 9?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x387511…
05-09 08:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$1	0xf16d5d…
05-09 08:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x056b40…
05-09 08:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xb29d43…
05-09 08:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x8afbbc…
05-08 23:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x137b2f…
05-08 23:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe167e4…
05-08 23:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb3f7bf…
05-08 23:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x15e067…
05-08 23:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xa1a248…
05-08 23:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x66fb3e…
05-08 23:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x24cb0b…
05-08 23:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	50¢	$1	0x185f03…
05-08 23:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x155027…
05-08 20:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x3c8e27…
05-08 20:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xf432c3…
05-08 20:26:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x209ee2…
05-08 20:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x2e1447…
05-08 20:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xacdddc…
05-08 20:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xceb2bf…
05-08 20:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x925b3c…
05-08 20:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xf924a1…
05-08 20:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa3a7ae…
05-08 20:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xfd61be…
05-08 20:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x2f002d…
05-08 20:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x41d620…
05-08 20:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7454f2…
05-08 19:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x6817ba…
05-08 13:42:39	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 8?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x704fe3…
05-08 13:42:29	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 8?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3c9f60…
05-07 19:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x845cc5…
05-07 19:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x746a1e…
05-07 14:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xca30be…
05-07 14:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x7b8543…
05-07 14:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2ff4c6…
05-07 14:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xa72afe…
05-06 17:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on May 6?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf57980…
05-06 17:00:02	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on May 6?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x64ea6a…
05-06 11:53:50	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 6?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xdeaa37…
05-06 11:53:50	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 6?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa38dec…
05-06 11:53:44	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 6?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb3fa0c…
05-06 11:53:44	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 6?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6a9f51…
05-04 15:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x8dca85…
05-04 15:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x439eba…
05-04 15:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x57affb…
05-04 15:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x679fc5…
05-04 15:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xeb44fd…
05-04 15:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x6746d6…
05-04 15:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x026ee1…
05-04 15:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x6848ea…
05-03 20:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0c34dc…
05-03 20:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x47925f…
05-03 20:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1aaf7a…
05-03 20:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xffb69d…
05-03 20:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x79bcef…
05-03 20:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xf660f6…
05-03 20:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xc3e9c8…
05-03 20:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x693a9e…
05-03 20:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xf0a07b…
05-03 20:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x6ac701…
05-03 20:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x0705d1…
05-03 20:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x575973…
05-03 20:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x3487eb…
05-03 20:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xb814fa…
05-03 20:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x0c781b…
05-03 20:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xd15d4c…
05-03 20:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x651c82…
05-03 20:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x367b98…
05-03 20:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xc27bab…
05-03 20:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xba5c77…
05-03 20:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xe344ae…