Stimulating-Carabao — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.6%

Resolved

Trades

223

lifetime

Volume

$218

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 05-09 12:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

55% — —

Crypto

45% 38% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 165 189	3	$9	60	57	+3	open	—	04-13 05:38
highest temperature in london on april 14 2026 17c	2	$9	9	8	+0	open	—	04-14 15:51
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 420 439	3	$5	510	485	+25	open	—	04-13 05:58
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 140 164	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	04-13 05:38
highest temperature in toronto on april 15 2026 22c	2	$4	30	29	+1	open	—	04-14 15:52
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 380 399	2	$4	20	19	+1	open	—	04-13 05:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	2	$3	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 23:31
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 215 239	4	$3	887	125	+762	open	—	04-13 07:10
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 400 419	7	$3	150	17	+133	open	—	04-13 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 20:05
btc updown 5m 1776966900	2	$3	4	3	+0	open	—	04-23 17:58
highest temperature in munich on april 15 2026 13c	2	$3	22	21	+1	open	—	04-14 15:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-04 15:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-03 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	2	$3	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 23:49
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 190 214	2	$3	146	138	+7	open	—	04-13 05:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	3	$3	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-08 23:24
eth updown 15m 1776967200	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-23 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	17	$2	2	1	+1	open	—	05-03 19:14
den nor agf 2026 04 23 agf	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-23 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-03 20:36
eth updown 15m 1776966300	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-23 17:55
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 26?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-26 16:01
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 26?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-26 15:57
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 27?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-27 14:52
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be -1°C on April 28?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-27 21:04
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on April 25?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-25 09:21
highest temperature in chicago on april 15 2026 70 71f	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-16 03:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-03 19:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 12:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0x684117…
05-09 12:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x772db8…
05-09 08:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$1	0xf16d5d…
05-09 08:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x056b40…
05-09 08:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xb29d43…
05-09 08:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x8afbbc…
05-08 23:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x137b2f…
05-08 23:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe167e4…
05-08 23:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb3f7bf…
05-08 23:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x15e067…
05-08 23:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xa1a248…
05-08 23:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x66fb3e…
05-08 23:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x24cb0b…
05-08 23:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	50¢	$1	0x185f03…
05-08 23:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x155027…
05-08 20:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x3c8e27…
05-08 20:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xf432c3…
05-08 20:26:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x209ee2…
05-08 20:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x2e1447…
05-08 20:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xacdddc…
05-08 20:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xceb2bf…
05-08 20:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x925b3c…
05-08 20:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x41d620…
05-08 20:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7454f2…
05-08 19:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x6817ba…
05-07 19:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x845cc5…
05-07 19:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x746a1e…
05-07 14:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xca30be…
05-07 14:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x7b8543…
05-07 14:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2ff4c6…
05-07 14:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xa72afe…
05-04 15:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x8dca85…
05-04 15:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x439eba…
05-04 15:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x57affb…
05-04 15:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x679fc5…
05-04 15:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xeb44fd…
05-04 15:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x6746d6…
05-04 15:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x026ee1…
05-04 15:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x6848ea…
05-03 20:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0c34dc…
05-03 20:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x47925f…
05-03 20:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1aaf7a…
05-03 20:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xffb69d…
05-03 20:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x79bcef…
05-03 20:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xf660f6…
05-03 20:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xc3e9c8…
05-03 20:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x693a9e…
05-03 20:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xf0a07b…
05-03 20:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x6ac701…
05-03 20:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x0705d1…
05-03 20:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x575973…
05-03 20:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x3487eb…
05-03 20:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xb814fa…
05-03 20:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x0c781b…
05-03 20:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xd15d4c…
05-03 20:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x651c82…
05-03 20:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x367b98…
05-03 20:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xc27bab…
05-03 20:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xba5c77…
05-03 20:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xe344ae…
05-03 20:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xc6dbe6…
05-03 20:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xb9e4ea…
05-03 20:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xa89118…
05-03 20:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xe03976…
05-03 20:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0xb2d2ab…
05-03 20:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x115ffd…
05-03 20:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x41bc05…
05-03 20:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xebc095…
05-03 20:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xdd1928…
05-03 20:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x6bcc62…
05-03 20:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x89b034…
05-03 20:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x525be1…
05-03 20:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xa69bcb…
05-03 19:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x9dcb3e…
05-03 19:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x0d223c…
05-03 19:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xf61260…
05-03 19:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x43ffa4…
05-03 19:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x513f9d…
05-03 19:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x1e4bc6…
05-03 19:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xf8b701…
05-03 19:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0xb18ae1…
05-03 19:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x90c2c4…
05-03 19:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xf79b75…
05-03 19:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x6b5011…
05-03 19:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x560c81…
05-03 19:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x429432…
05-03 19:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x319e3e…
05-03 19:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x4fb22f…
05-03 19:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x175444…
05-03 19:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x8e9687…
05-03 19:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xfec49d…
05-03 19:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x8a8f95…
05-03 19:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x9c5894…
05-03 19:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x11aeec…
05-03 19:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xe46cec…
05-03 19:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x3984a8…
05-03 19:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x955528…
05-03 19:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x185894…
05-03 19:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xa3f1eb…
05-03 19:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x819cee…