Awful-Forestry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$265

Unrealized P&L

-$22

Hit rate

99.0%

Resolved

Trades

187

lifetime

Volume

$261.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.40K

Open exposure

$23.3K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-30

last 06-01 18:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

50% — —

Other

47% 88% +$265

Crypto

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No		+23,713	$23,368	98¢	$23.3K	$-22	06-01 18:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$35.3K	17,792	17,792	+0	open	—	05-18 18:59
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	2	$28.8K	14,999	14,999	+0	open	—	03-12 00:25
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$23.4K	23,713	0	+23,713	open	—	06-01 18:16
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	1	$22.1K	23,178	0	+23,178	open	—	05-20 19:00
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	1	$17.2K	18,802	0	+18,802	open	—	04-21 15:08
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	1	$16.9K	17,158	0	+17,158	open	—	04-20 18:38
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	1	$16.5K	16,916	0	+16,916	open	—	04-14 15:03
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$16.0K	21,760	0	+21,760	open	—	03-12 00:28
will trumps remarks not air 135 938 873 176 561 352 635	1	$15.8K	15,820	0	+15,820	open	—	04-01 21:24
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	2	$7.9K	9,115	0	+9,115	open	—	04-10 15:20
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	2	$7.0K	7,359	0	+7,359	open	—	04-09 00:13
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$5.0K	2,554	2,554	+0	open	—	04-03 00:59
wta pegula cocciar 2026 04 02 match total 22pt5	1	$4.0K	4,059	0	+4,059	open	—	04-02 18:44
will trump say crypto or bitcoin during address to the nation	1	$3.0K	3,071	0	+3,071	open	—	04-01 21:23
will open close between 4 and 5 week april 3 2026	1	$3.0K	3,008	0	+3,008	open	—	04-03 01:23
will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28 881	4	$2.4K	1,226	1,226	+0	open	—	02-03 00:24
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$2.3K	1,220	1,220	+0	open	—	01-31 19:31
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	4	$2.3K	1,860	1,860	+0	open	—	02-27 12:58
Will Palantir (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$2.0K	2,095	0	+2,095	open	—	05-03 21:01
will trump talk to mohammed bin salman in march 915	2	$2.0K	2,067	0	+2,067	open	—	04-02 19:26
will melanias remarks not air 951	1	$2.0K	2,031	0	+2,031	open	—	04-08 23:35
will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	2	$1.3K	653	653	+0	open	—	03-12 00:24
will trump say space force during ohio visit	2	$1.0K	555	555	+0	open	—	03-12 00:25
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	1	$1000	1,087	0	+1,087	open	—	04-02 20:12
will trump say april fool or april fools during address to the nation	1	$1000	1,050	0	+1,050	open	—	04-01 21:24
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Ben Shelton	1	$1000	1,075	0	+1,075	Nikoloz Basilashvili	+$75	05-09 17:39
will arirang bts be the billboard 200 1 album for the week of april 11	1	$1000	1,117	0	+1,117	open	—	04-03 01:06
Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1000	1,060	0	+1,060	No	+$60	05-03 21:29
will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	1	$1000	1,024	0	+1,024	open	—	04-02 19:46
Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1000	1,042	0	+1,042	Yes	+$42	05-03 21:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 18:16:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	23,713	99¢	$23,368	0x607694…
05-30 06:53:34	Roland Garros ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Zverev	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x03f5de…
05-30 06:53:28	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Casper Ruud	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x1f2ea3…
05-30 06:53:21	Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashima	Felix Auger-Aliassime	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x89d518…
05-29 21:24:19	Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Zverev	BUY	123	98¢	$120	0x77db10…
05-28 17:02:05	Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Roman Andres Burruchaga	Felix Auger-Aliassime	BUY	81	89¢	$72	0xd69794…
05-28 17:00:59	Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensik	Alex de Minaur	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0x66f8a9…
05-28 17:00:41	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul	Casper Ruud	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0xbd765b…
05-28 17:00:27	Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Zverev	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0xce0d7b…
05-28 16:59:33	Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Roman Andres Burruchaga	Felix Auger-Aliassime	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0xbdb112…
05-28 04:59:19	Roland Garros ATP: Facundo Acosta vs Learner Tien	Learner Tien	BUY	193	77¢	$149	0x306a61…
05-21 04:12:19	Geneva Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Casper Ruud	Casper Ruud	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x3aa4d3…
05-20 19:00:18	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	23,178	95¢	$22,130	0x3d9d98…
05-20 17:27:58	Geneva Open: Edas Butvilas vs Alexander Bublik	Alexander Bublik	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0xe1bc79…
05-18 18:59:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	17,792	100¢	$17,756	0x1463b2…
05-14 15:15:21	Bordeaux: Aleksandar Vukic vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	BUY	793	100¢	$790	0x43e087…
05-14 15:09:54	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina	Iga Swiatek	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x92f1cd…
05-14 15:09:38	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0x1be59b…
05-14 15:09:24	Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x00b7da…
05-14 15:08:28	Bordeaux: Aleksandar Vukic vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x7bb3ff…
05-14 06:18:22	Will Trump say "Confucius" or "Confucian" during Chinese State Banquet?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x7c7c30…
05-14 06:18:08	Will Trump's remarks not air?	No	BUY	112	90¢	$100	0x86f857…
05-13 17:16:35	Valencia: Matteo Berrettini vs Taro Daniel	Matteo Berrettini	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0xda8e13…
05-13 05:40:56	Will Cisco Systems (CSCO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	159	99¢	$157	0x340b63…
05-13 05:38:06	Cordoba: Ryan Dickerson vs Nicolas Kicker	Nicolas Kicker	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0xeda4eb…
05-13 05:37:52	Valencia: Matteo Berrettini vs Taro Daniel	Matteo Berrettini	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0x57b7c3…
05-13 05:37:43	Bordeaux: Martin Damm vs Grigor Dimitrov	Grigor Dimitrov	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0xa406ba…
05-13 05:37:22	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov	Casper Ruud	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0x5d3865…
05-13 05:37:03	Oeiras 4: Eero Vasa vs Jaime Faria	Jaime Faria	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0x651465…
05-13 05:36:53	Bordeaux: Raphael Collignon vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux	Raphael Collignon	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x7b4c59…
05-13 05:36:18	Valencia: Henri Squire vs Daniel Altmaier	Daniel Altmaier	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x972dba…
05-11 17:57:02	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Flavio Cobolli vs Thiago Agustin Tirante	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xf1ee43…
05-11 02:47:21	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Iva Jovic	Coco Gauff	BUY	156	77¢	$120	0x427dbb…
05-11 00:19:25	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Alexei Popyrin	Jannik Sinner	BUY	112	97¢	$109	0x0818f7…
05-10 19:19:41	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Alexei Popyrin	Jannik Sinner	BUY	61	97¢	$59	0x3eba23…
05-10 19:09:16	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Laura Siegemund vs Karolina Pliskova	Karolina Pliskova	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x7e1a94…
05-10 06:25:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	17,792	99¢	$17,564	0x9e75e1…
05-09 18:01:12	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Zverev	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0xa93b25…
05-09 18:00:48	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Jiri Lehecka	Casper Ruud	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xb7a67e…
05-09 17:39:49	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Ben Shelton	Nikoloz Basilashvili	BUY	1,075	93¢	$1,000	0x34e64e…
05-03 21:29:38	Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1,060	94¢	$1,000	0xf8caae…
05-03 21:12:32	Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1,042	96¢	$1,000	0x2c73f3…
05-03 21:01:44	Will Palantir (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2,095	95¢	$2,000	0x0fca1f…
04-21 15:08:36	Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	18,802	91¢	$17,158	0x420503…
04-20 18:38:42	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	No	BUY	17,158	99¢	$16,916	0x3f23ed…
04-14 15:03:49	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	BUY	16,916	97¢	$16,475	0x7dc57b…
04-10 15:20:27	JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2,131	95¢	$2,031	0x2f891c…
04-09 00:13:45	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	BUY	8	92¢	$8	0x3ce282…
04-09 00:08:05	JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	6,985	84¢	$5,900	0x9f50c9…
04-08 23:56:33	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	BUY	7,351	95¢	$7,000	0xd568cb…
04-08 23:35:05	will melanias remarks not air 951	No	BUY	2,031	98¢	$2,000	0xd11a33…
04-03 01:33:31	nba min det 2026 04 02 total 223pt5	Under	BUY	1,010	99¢	$1,000	0xb13d49…
04-03 01:23:27	will open close between 4 and 5 week april 3 2026	Yes	BUY	3,008	100¢	$3,000	0xefb21b…
04-03 01:06:45	will bully kanye west be the billboard 200 1 album for the week of april 11	No	BUY	1,100	91¢	$1,000	0x8d6959…
04-03 01:06:27	will arirang bts be the billboard 200 1 album for the week of april 11	Yes	BUY	1,117	90¢	$1,000	0x06f878…
04-03 01:04:25	will bully ye debut week album sales be between 225k and 250k	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xed778a…
04-03 01:04:19	will bully ye debut week album sales be between 200k and 225k	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x146ef8…
04-03 01:04:13	will bully ye debut week album sales be between 175k and 200k	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xb62dc0…
04-03 01:03:25	will bully ye debut week album sales be between 150k and 175k	No	BUY	281	89¢	$250	0xd9d173…
04-03 01:02:41	will bully ye debut week album sales be less than 150k	Yes	BUY	972	82¢	$800	0xbc70d3…
04-03 00:59:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	2,554	98¢	$2,510	0x11d1b2…
04-03 00:59:03	atp tien basavar 2026 04 01 first set winner Tien vs Basavareddy	Tien	SELL	210	100¢	$210	0xab5ac7…
04-03 00:58:49	atp tien basavar 2026 04 01	Learner Tien	SELL	224	100¢	$224	0x429704…
04-02 22:04:37	atp tien basavar 2026 04 01 first set winner Tien vs Basavareddy	Tien	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x61a381…
04-02 22:02:47	atp tien basavar 2026 04 01	Learner Tien	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xaabdaa…
04-02 22:02:35	atp tien basavar 2026 04 01	Learner Tien	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x895ef6…
04-02 22:02:21	atp tien basavar 2026 04 01 set totals 2pt5	Under 2.5	BUY	241	83¢	$200	0x5bdfe7…
04-02 22:01:43	atp tien basavar 2026 04 01 first set winner Tien vs Basavareddy	Tien	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x6699d1…
04-02 20:12:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	1,087	92¢	$1,000	0x0f6437…
04-02 20:05:33	wta osorio ortenzi 2026 04 01	Jazmin Ortenzi	BUY	142	70¢	$100	0xa80670…
04-02 19:54:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	2,554	98¢	$2,500	0x5248b9…
04-02 19:46:45	will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	No	BUY	1,024	98¢	$1,000	0xef57f9…
04-02 19:26:51	will trump talk to mohammed bin salman in march 915	Yes	BUY	1,030	97¢	$1,000	0x3861b8…
04-02 18:44:53	wta pegula cocciar 2026 04 02 match total 22pt5	Over	BUY	4,059	99¢	$4,000	0x23efe0…
04-02 18:43:01	will trump talk to mohammed bin salman in march 915	Yes	BUY	1,037	96¢	$1,000	0xeab1d7…
04-01 21:24:53	will trumps remarks not air 135 938 873 176 561 352 635	No	BUY	15,820	100¢	$15,760	0xdc5273…
04-01 21:24:45	will trump say april fool or april fools during address to the nation	No	BUY	1,050	95¢	$1,000	0x91a318…
04-01 21:23:13	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during address to the nation	No	BUY	3,071	98¢	$3,000	0xde81fb…
03-12 00:28:39	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	21,760	73¢	$15,970	0x271091…
03-12 00:25:59	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	14,999	97¢	$14,586	0x9ab8a6…
03-12 00:25:23	will timothe chalamet attend the oscars	Yes	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0xd12e1a…
03-12 00:25:03	will trump say space force during ohio visit	No	SELL	555	97¢	$539	0x40a2a6…
03-12 00:24:45	will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	653	100¢	$651	0x3d4ca9…
03-10 17:53:31	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	14,999	95¢	$14,249	0xa03120…
03-10 16:41:25	will trumps remarks not air 457 168 663	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x9f8622…
03-10 07:06:27	will trump say space force during ohio visit	No	BUY	555	88¢	$490	0xa3bbdf…
03-10 07:01:07	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xe81495…
03-10 06:33:49	will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	653	99¢	$648	0x46d19a…
03-10 04:48:57	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	No	SELL	109	95¢	$103	0xae1315…
03-05 19:14:33	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	BUY	107	91¢	$97	0x55feeb…
03-05 19:14:05	will michael b jordan attend the oscars	Yes	SELL	101	96¢	$97	0xa337f2…
03-05 19:10:53	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	BUY	115	91¢	$105	0x886279…
03-05 19:10:39	will leonardo dicaprio attend the oscars	Yes	SELL	108	97¢	$105	0x75fd2d…
03-05 19:09:45	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	BUY	319	91¢	$292	0xad22a2…
03-05 19:08:01	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	757	39¢	$292	0x3376eb…
03-04 00:52:23	will ipad be said during the nyc apple event on march 4	Yes	BUY	61	90¢	$55	0x4ef0f0…
03-03 16:28:09	will trump say nato during meetings with chancellor merz	Yes	BUY	55	87¢	$48	0x8686f8…
02-28 18:02:35	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1,371	3¢	$42	0xe1ea34…
02-28 09:30:49	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	406	35¢	$144	0x16125e…
02-28 09:29:47	iran strike on us military by february 28	Yes	SELL	102	97¢	$98	0x07ceff…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	63	$154.6K	1,093	06-08 16:09
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	47	$11.4M	14,134	06-04 02:32
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	47	$127.4K	10,497	05-03 17:32
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	47	$6.95K	1,710	05-26 07:31
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	45	$13.7K	2,814	05-06 12:27
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	44	$1.55M	6,210	05-31 22:26
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	43	$451.1K	6,488	06-10 01:34
Inferior-Ownership 0xa509…ae46	42	$40.7K	3,666	05-31 22:20