Realized P&L
+$667
Unrealized P&L
-$157
Hit rate
76.5%
Resolved
172
Trades
234
lifetime
Volume
$56.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$242
Open exposure
$3.39K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-19 14:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 89 days
Categories
Other
51% 79% +$2,723
Crypto
25% 69% -$1,500
Politics
14% 71% -$253
Tech
7% 78% +$62
Sports
3% 57% -$366
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +538 $500 97¢ $520 +$20 08-25 20:43
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +706 $300 65¢ $462 +$162 09-08 06:22
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +460 $400 98¢ $449 +$49 07-16 14:12
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +400 $300 88¢ $354 +$54 08-01 17:07
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes +364 $300 96¢ $349 +$49 06-25 17:58
Will Discord’s market cap be between $11B and $14B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +312 $250 99¢ $310 +$60 09-11 18:43
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +538 $400 48¢ $261 -$139 06-04 18:57
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +242 $200 94¢ $227 +$27 07-09 19:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +220 $200 98¢ $215 +$15 10-08 22:29
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027? Yes +235 $200 62¢ $145 -$55 10-06 12:36
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +729 $500 14¢ $102 -$398 06-12 08:50