Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.26K

Unrealized P&L

-$978

Hit rate

77.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$24.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$267

Open exposure

$534

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-13

last 11-11 19:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

56% 55% -$175

Crypto

43% 60% +$3,539

Sports

0% 0% -$100

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes		+862	$500	55¢	$470	-$30	10-25 20:58
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+1,169	$1,012	6¢	$64	-$948	05-11 12:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	10	$3.6K	6,717	776	+5,941	Yes	+$3,477	02-17 00:37
bitboy convicted	21	$3.2K	1,862	1,862	+0	No	+$148	03-31 19:46
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?	6	$3.0K	1,730	1,730	+0	open	—	11-11 19:39
will solstice launch a token by march 31 2026	15	$2.7K	3,545	1,027	+2,518	No	+$57	03-23 07:39
laptop fdv above 100m one day after launch	1	$2.7K	3,591	0	+3,591	Yes	+$934	09-09 09:19
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	3	$1.1K	1,088	557	+531	Yes	-$89	10-26 09:40
robinhood launches prediction market through miaxdx by march 31	5	$1.0K	1,106	0	+1,106	No	+$89	03-18 05:14
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	2	$1.0K	1,169	0	+1,169	open	—	05-11 12:23
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?	3	$1000	1,576	0	+1,576	Yes	-$1,000	11-06 23:52
will wintermute be accused of insider trading	2	$868	929	0	+929	No	+$61	02-24 21:55
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	3	$850	1,547	0	+1,547	Yes	-$850	11-06 23:54
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$500	862	0	+862	open	—	10-25 20:58
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$500	646	0	+646	Yes	-$500	10-18 15:21
laptop fdv above 500m one day after launch	1	$500	1,923	0	+1,923	Yes	+$1,423	09-09 09:07
laptop fdv above 1b one day after launch	3	$426	3,274	0	+3,274	No	-$426	09-09 12:17
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	2	$400	436	0	+436	No	+$36	11-05 19:28
robinhoodmiaxdx self certifies sports event contract by march 31	2	$283	303	0	+303	No	+$20	03-18 11:02
laptop fdv above 250m one day after launch	1	$250	500	0	+500	Yes	+$250	09-08 09:09
Over $2M committed to the Fluent public sale?	2	$218	400	0	+400	No	-$218	04-10 03:17
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	1	$150	484	0	+484	No	-$150	05-30 07:37
laptop airdrop by september 30	2	$145	3,308	3,308	+0	Yes	-$55	09-09 12:15
LAPTOP airdrop by September 9?	2	$132	1,996	1,996	+0	Yes	-$68	09-09 12:15
Will the AAVE TVL go below $10B in 2026?	1	$127	251	0	+251	open	—	07-08 14:50
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$100	294	0	+294	Yes	+$194	02-23 22:34
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$100	537	0	+537	No	-$100	07-18 22:18
Will MegaETH launch a token by March 31, 2026?	1	$100	132	0	+132	No	+$32	02-25 02:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 19:39:18	Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,612	94¢	$1,515	0x64e1d0…
11-06 23:54:06	Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	718	28¢	$200	0x67f06a…
11-06 23:52:51	Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	500	60¢	$300	0xebaa3c…
11-06 23:52:40	Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	833	60¢	$500	0x54106f…
11-05 19:28:57	Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	218	92¢	$200	0xf6e8b2…
11-05 19:28:50	Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	218	92¢	$200	0x2164e0…
11-05 19:27:08	Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	242	83¢	$200	0x060850…
10-26 09:40:02	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	No	BUY	531	16¢	$85	0x01f0dc…
10-25 20:58:41	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	862	58¢	$500	0x511559…
10-23 19:02:00	Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	194	77¢	$150	0x5e97ec…
10-20 14:28:05	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	Yes	SELL	557	89¢	$496	0x43f96c…
10-20 13:57:29	Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	852	88¢	$750	0x73f0c4…
10-20 13:57:00	Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	596	84¢	$500	0x875df4…
10-19 22:56:18	Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x666567…
10-19 22:50:15	Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	119	50¢	$59	0x361294…
10-18 16:24:00	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	Yes	BUY	557	90¢	$500	0xc90e05…
10-18 15:21:48	Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	634	79¢	$500	0x33c5dc…
10-18 15:21:36	Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	646	77¢	$500	0x39b427…
10-18 15:12:51	Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	119	59¢	$70	0xc31339…
09-09 12:17:57	laptop fdv above 1b one day after launch	Yes	BUY	216	35¢	$76	0xa77b20…
09-09 12:15:09	LAPTOP airdrop by September 9?	No	SELL	1,996	2¢	$32	0x8414ac…
09-09 12:15:06	laptop airdrop by september 30	No	SELL	3,308	1¢	$45	0x540978…
09-09 09:19:18	laptop fdv above 100m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	3,591	74¢	$2,657	0xc67d34…
09-09 09:10:55	laptop airdrop by september 9	No	BUY	1,996	5¢	$100	0x83f0ed…
09-09 09:10:52	laptop airdrop by september 30	No	BUY	3,308	3¢	$100	0x43448f…
09-09 09:07:16	laptop fdv above 500m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	1,923	26¢	$500	0x979de9…
09-09 09:06:37	laptop fdv above 1b one day after launch	Yes	BUY	1,947	13¢	$250	0xa8a1c9…
09-08 09:09:36	laptop fdv above 250m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	500	50¢	$250	0x5548d5…
09-08 09:09:16	laptop fdv above 1b one day after launch	Yes	BUY	1,111	9¢	$100	0x31ad9b…
07-18 22:18:28	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	537	19¢	$100	0xfd8f5d…
07-08 14:50:44	Will the AAVE TVL go below $10B in 2026?	No	BUY	251	51¢	$127	0x832baa…
05-30 07:37:33	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	484	31¢	$150	0xb98e63…
05-11 12:23:38	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	88¢	$12	0xb0241e…
05-11 02:08:09	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,155	87¢	$1,000	0x2b3110…
04-10 03:17:41	Over $2M committed to the Fluent public sale?	Yes	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0xb7d903…
04-09 01:07:11	Over $2M committed to the Fluent public sale?	Yes	BUY	200	44¢	$88	0xe399a5…
03-31 19:46:01	bitboy convicted	No	SELL	160	88¢	$141	0xaba76c…
03-31 19:45:07	bitboy convicted	No	SELL	29	88¢	$25	0x72ad60…
03-31 19:44:33	bitboy convicted	No	SELL	579	88¢	$509	0x9a0a26…
03-31 19:44:29	bitboy convicted	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x10ee19…
03-31 19:44:19	bitboy convicted	No	SELL	92	88¢	$81	0x8705ca…
03-31 19:43:03	bitboy convicted	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x59ad77…
03-31 19:42:57	bitboy convicted	No	SELL	977	91¢	$887	0x87f8ff…
03-24 22:01:47	bitboy convicted	No	BUY	239	91¢	$218	0x748a68…
03-23 07:39:45	will solstice launch a token by march 31 2026	No	BUY	274	81¢	$221	0xb3c425…
03-23 07:37:49	will solstice launch a token by march 31 2026	No	BUY	269	81¢	$217	0x1d0ac6…
03-23 07:36:15	will solstice launch a token by march 31 2026	No	BUY	40	81¢	$32	0x490822…
03-23 07:35:37	will solstice launch a token by march 31 2026	No	BUY	380	81¢	$307	0xe2b1f7…
03-23 07:22:31	will solstice launch a token by march 31 2026	No	BUY	186	81¢	$150	0x3af91a…
03-21 22:22:57	will solstice launch a token by march 31 2026	No	BUY	177	85¢	$150	0x6662ab…
03-21 22:22:27	bitboy convicted	No	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x0b6b3b…
03-21 02:30:21	will solstice launch a token by march 31 2026	No	BUY	319	85¢	$270	0x523d42…
03-19 22:25:27	will solstice launch a token by march 31 2026	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xa4a3ea…
03-19 11:13:33	bitboy convicted	No	BUY	392	82¢	$320	0x647756…
03-19 05:40:53	will solstice launch a token by march 31 2026	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x42dec7…
03-19 05:40:07	will solstice launch a token by march 31 2026	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x97b312…
03-18 22:39:59	bitboy convicted	No	BUY	172	87¢	$150	0x115663…
03-18 22:38:57	will solstice launch a token by march 31 2026	No	BUY	319	91¢	$290	0xbcc46f…
03-18 22:38:23	will solstice launch a token by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1,027	10¢	$105	0xd4999f…
03-18 11:02:31	robinhoodmiaxdx self certifies sports event contract by march 31	No	BUY	253	95¢	$240	0x1481b5…
03-18 10:59:57	bitboy convicted	No	BUY	190	79¢	$150	0xb28745…
03-18 05:18:33	will solstice launch a token by march 31 2026	No	BUY	189	70¢	$132	0x894457…
03-18 05:16:01	bitboy convicted	No	BUY	178	84¢	$150	0x2768a0…
03-18 05:14:39	robinhood launches prediction market through miaxdx by march 31	No	BUY	536	93¢	$500	0x41fbd8…
03-18 05:13:33	will solstice launch a token by march 31 2026	No	BUY	146	69¢	$100	0x785694…
03-17 22:53:03	robinhood launches prediction market through miaxdx by march 31	No	BUY	85	90¢	$77	0xc9f7cc…
03-17 22:53:01	robinhood launches prediction market through miaxdx by march 31	No	BUY	113	88¢	$100	0x2d070b…
03-17 22:41:09	will solstice launch a token by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,028	50¢	$510	0xd3a589…
03-15 22:39:55	robinhood launches prediction market through miaxdx by march 31	No	BUY	265	94¢	$250	0xaf21ba…
03-13 00:06:11	bitboy convicted	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x65f68a…
03-13 00:03:17	bitboy convicted	No	BUY	156	77¢	$120	0xf8120e…
03-11 22:10:07	bitboy convicted	No	BUY	77	76¢	$58	0x546e79…
03-11 22:09:39	bitboy convicted	Yes	SELL	14	28¢	$4	0x14f46a…
03-10 23:56:59	bitboy convicted	No	BUY	43	77¢	$33	0x397410…
03-10 05:54:37	bitboy convicted	No	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xedf464…
03-10 05:54:23	bitboy convicted	Yes	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x82ebb2…
03-05 01:13:47	bitboy convicted	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x040cef…
03-03 03:58:29	robinhoodmiaxdx self certifies sports event contract by march 31	No	BUY	51	85¢	$43	0xff851c…
03-03 03:55:17	robinhood launches prediction market through miaxdx by march 31	No	BUY	107	85¢	$91	0xc80255…
02-25 02:50:46	Will MegaETH launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0xdbc786…
02-24 21:55:24	will wintermute be accused of insider trading	No	BUY	394	93¢	$368	0x2e70ff…
02-24 21:54:24	will wintermute be accused of insider trading	No	BUY	535	93¢	$500	0xa650a5…
02-23 22:34:10	Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0xe31945…
02-17 00:37:31	Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xfd9d92…
02-17 00:33:35	Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	665	75¢	$499	0x959a3a…
02-16 23:57:33	Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	106	75¢	$79	0x39b66a…
02-14 23:34:19	Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	746	60¢	$445	0x8f352b…
02-14 23:31:53	Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	847	59¢	$500	0x50a83a…
02-14 07:41:17	Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	556	45¢	$250	0xe10f89…
02-14 07:39:07	Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	562	45¢	$250	0xaffda0…
02-13 22:03:51	Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0x73eabe…
02-13 22:02:27	Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0x2f6bc9…
02-13 01:59:11	Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	3,493	40¢	$1,400	0xae6b66…