Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$176

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

76.2%

Resolved

2,142

Trades

11,957

lifetime

Volume

$101.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-26 07:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 202 days

Categories

Other

83% 82% +$223

Politics

8% 81% -$21

Crypto

5% 71% -$27

Tech

4% 71% $0

Pop-Culture

1% 81% +$2

Sports

0% 44% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Venezuela become 51st state?	Yes	-97	-$2	3¢	$-3	$0	09-07 23:29
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	-110	-$2	2¢	$-2	$0	09-07 23:29
EU dissolves before 2027?	Yes	-94	-$1	2¢	$-2	-$1	09-07 23:29
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?	Yes	-149	-$1	1¢	$-1	-$1	09-07 23:29
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?	Yes	-109	-$9	1¢	$-1	+$8	05-19 14:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
maduro out by january 31 2026 318	24	$3.4K	1,827	2,623	-796	Yes	+$198	01-03 09:32
will trn cm t be the next president of vietnam	96	$1.1K	313	810	-497	No	+$2	01-24 02:13
elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 0 39	52	$540	252	301	-49	No	+$2	04-05 20:05
will there be less than 4 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	59	$526	177	367	-190	No	-$3	01-24 20:45
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 40 64	44	$460	196	280	-84	No	+$1	02-03 20:07
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?	50	$395	204	204	+0	Yes	+$2	09-17 11:00
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?	47	$367	189	189	+0	No	+$2	09-17 11:00
will lng cng be the next president of vietnam	31	$340	104	238	-134	No	+$1	01-24 05:41
elon musk of tweets january 19 january 21 40 64	30	$328	107	225	-118	No	+$1	01-20 14:46
will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	26	$327	91	238	-147	No	+$1	01-23 06:58
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	24	$326	112	224	-112	No	-$1	04-29 10:29
elon musk of tweets january 19 january 21 65 89	30	$324	147	189	-42	No	+$1	01-21 12:15
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 140 164	26	$321	98	231	-133	No	-$2	04-18 04:18
elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 140 164	32	$317	112	210	-98	No	$0	04-05 16:45
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 0 39	29	$313	138	180	-42	No	+$1	03-16 07:23
will the bank of israel increase the bank of israel interest rate after the february decision	51	$303	109	198	-89	No	+$1	02-22 00:06
will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 15	32	$302	135	175	-40	No	+$1	02-14 06:51
will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 15	27	$301	89	216	-126	No	$0	03-13 03:27
elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 140 164	21	$296	91	210	-119	No	-$1	04-10 19:45
elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 0 39	32	$290	119	182	-63	No	-$1	02-15 00:38
will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 15	24	$290	98	196	-98	No	+$1	02-14 02:49
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 140 164	24	$289	104	189	-85	No	+$0	04-04 10:32
will wuthering heights opening weekend box office be between 43m and 47m	24	$280	82	203	-121	No	$0	02-16 10:57
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	25	$272	105	177	-72	Yes	-$1	01-24 06:56
Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	27	$271	119	161	-42	No	+$0	05-23 16:28
will anyone audibly fart during trumps wef 2026 speech	22	$271	104	178	-74	No	-$2	01-21 05:53
elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 0 39	27	$268	118	160	-42	No	$0	04-07 05:48
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	27	$267	140	133	+7	No	+$1	05-10 01:43
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 0 39	29	$263	119	147	-28	No	+$1	02-03 16:40
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	29	$260	105	161	-56	No	+$0	04-25 02:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 07:14:42	Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?	No	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x8bc20b…
10-22 16:00:32	Will MrBeast's next video get between 160 and 170 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x5d0a56…
10-22 07:51:06	Will "Klara and the Sun" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least $6M?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x49a7bf…
10-22 05:19:56	Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least $6M?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x4f393f…
10-22 00:27:50	Will "Klara and the Sun" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least $6M?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x4cbebf…
10-21 22:01:35	Marseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by October 24?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x592d48…
10-21 22:01:12	Marseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by October 24?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x0c87be…
10-21 21:23:33	Marseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by October 24?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x2fbe69…
10-21 20:19:38	Marseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by October 24?	Yes	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x5ccc97…
10-21 19:42:50	Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least $6M?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x9b483b…
10-21 18:48:27	Will Z.ai have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x700c92…
10-21 18:48:27	Will Qwen have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x3b5aec…
10-21 18:47:23	Will Qwen have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xa3e858…
10-21 18:46:59	Will Z.ai have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xecb605…
10-21 18:31:38	Marseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by October 24?	Yes	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x279ba2…
10-21 16:50:36	Marseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by October 24?	Yes	BUY	4	95¢	$3	0xfb4e4a…
10-21 16:50:36	Marseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by October 24?	Yes	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xa12c2f…
10-21 15:55:26	Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than $8M?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x41ae79…
10-21 15:53:30	Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than $8M?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x50aedd…
10-21 15:50:33	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $3M and $5M?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x9f2df8…
10-21 07:52:33	Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than $8M?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x8c26fe…
10-21 07:42:30	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $3M and $5M?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x6d99eb…
10-21 07:41:41	Lyon curfew effectively lifted by October 21?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x924064…
10-20 21:59:59	Lyon curfew effectively lifted by October 21?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x874f06…
10-20 21:45:53	France declares state of emergency by October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x1a0efc…
10-20 06:55:04	France declares state of emergency by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x71fd62…
10-20 06:39:40	Will MrBeast's next video get between 160 and 170 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x6cf9be…
10-20 06:13:25	France declares state of emergency by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xee1a8a…
10-20 05:23:15	France declares state of emergency by October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x18b331…
10-20 04:49:05	France declares state of emergency by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xca47bc…
10-20 04:45:42	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	28	96¢	$27	0x8db089…
10-19 15:04:38	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xdcd9e0…
10-19 14:43:14	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xc8bcf6…
10-19 14:31:21	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x51fb92…
10-19 10:35:53	Paris curfew by October 21?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xd340f3…
10-19 10:35:23	Paris curfew by October 21?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x98fe16…
10-19 10:35:18	Paris curfew by October 21?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x3b23f6…
10-09 09:01:37	Will Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x048287…
10-09 07:51:33	Will World Central Kitchen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x3ed42d…
10-09 07:28:19	Will Chow Hang-tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x737135…
10-09 07:21:52	Will Hussam Abu Safiya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x6e40b7…
10-09 07:03:22	Will Sara Al-Saqqa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x8377d0…
10-08 23:28:36	Will Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xeff3d3…
10-08 23:28:24	Will World Central Kitchen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xb10c5f…
10-08 17:42:45	Will Mark Carney win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x5ffee1…
10-08 16:36:17	Will Chow Hang-tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xdfb571…
10-07 20:55:53	Will Tyler Johnson finish third in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x10d99a…
10-07 20:43:11	Will Tyler Johnson finish third in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0eeee6…
10-07 19:47:07	Will Tyler Johnson finish third in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xe6c9c1…
10-07 18:20:52	Will Sara Al-Saqqa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x469553…
10-07 10:30:32	Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x2d2875…
10-07 08:40:57	Will Stephen Lippard win the Nobel Prize in Chemistry in 2026?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x6fbe8d…
10-07 04:32:20	Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the October meeting?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x620458…
10-07 04:24:30	Will Stephen Lippard win the Nobel Prize in Chemistry in 2026?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x898b83…
10-06 20:37:05	Will John Kasianowicz win the Nobel Prize in Chemistry in 2026?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0xe8a3af…
10-06 10:44:46	Will John Kasianowicz win the Nobel Prize in Chemistry in 2026?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x92bc45…
10-06 08:15:09	Will the CAQ win 15-19 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x803cca…
10-06 07:17:10	Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xf58ddb…
10-06 06:59:22	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 6?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xea131c…
10-06 03:29:55	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 6?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xd2f751…
10-05 23:02:58	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 6?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xd56cc9…
10-05 17:29:25	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xbbd0ed…
10-05 17:29:16	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5a50cd…
10-05 17:29:05	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x95130d…
10-05 15:13:04	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 6?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x75cae1…
10-05 13:04:31	Will Mark Carney win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x8d64f4…
10-05 12:32:10	Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?	No	SELL	13	97¢	$13	0xfe1afb…
10-05 11:05:29	Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x95785d…
10-05 08:34:38	Will Mark Carney win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xcb092a…
10-05 07:54:16	Will Hussam Abu Safiya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x10bacb…
10-05 06:44:46	Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xdfb87a…
10-05 04:44:17	Will the CAQ win 10-14 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x4637bc…
10-05 04:28:10	Will the CAQ win 10-14 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xae80d5…
10-05 04:23:47	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0xabee7d…
10-05 02:59:38	Will the CAQ win 15-19 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xd5496c…
10-05 02:59:29	Will the CAQ win 10-14 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x7b6319…
10-05 02:05:25	Will MrBeast's next video get between 92 and 96 million views on day 2?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$20	0x7efb46…
10-05 01:59:29	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xd73902…
10-05 01:50:01	Will MrBeast's next video get between 92 and 96 million views on day 2?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x87f040…
10-05 01:47:37	Will MrBeast's next video get between 92 and 96 million views on day 2?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x1101c2…
10-05 01:23:28	Will MrBeast's next video get between 92 and 96 million views on day 2?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x92e304…
10-05 00:04:22	Will MrBeast's next video get between 92 and 96 million views on day 2?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xffc007…
10-04 22:01:50	will trumps midterm rally in nebraska not air	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xf92311…
10-04 21:01:13	Will MrBeast's next video get between 84 and 88 million views on day 2?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xbe0bad…
10-04 20:02:17	will trumps midterm rally in nebraska not air	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x7a9df9…
10-04 18:03:16	Will MrBeast's next video get between 84 and 88 million views on day 2?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x4b7a02…
10-04 14:47:31	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x781e07…
10-04 10:57:55	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xdb0efe…
10-04 10:34:47	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x263ed3…
10-04 10:31:20	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xcb6693…
10-04 10:18:16	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x3bc9e8…
10-04 09:11:25	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x65ad6e…
10-04 08:46:23	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x5f05c9…
10-04 08:29:10	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x9eda4f…
10-04 08:20:02	Will Augusto Cury win less than 1% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xe23ca8…
10-04 08:20:01	Will Augusto Cury win less than 1% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x743a20…
10-04 08:01:55	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x622b50…
10-04 02:59:20	Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 50% and 53% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xc798f2…
10-04 02:30:22	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 48% and 51% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x3aa1b1…
10-04 01:45:26	Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0xca0af3…