Prestigious-Goggles — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.61K

Unrealized P&L

+$24

Hit rate

68.5%

Resolved

117

Trades

2,613

lifetime

Volume

$127.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$49

Open exposure

$658

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 10-27 06:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 57 days

Categories

Politics

47% 69% +$1,263

Other

46% 66% -$4,750

Tech

7% 83% -$125

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+857	$634	77¢	$657	+$22	10-27 06:26
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	-20	-$2	4¢	$-1	+$2	09-29 06:06
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+1	$0	32¢	$0	+$0	09-29 11:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
netanyahu out by march 31 854	369	$21.7K	11,468	11,366	+101	No	+$14	03-29 17:22
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	22	$6.0K	4,977	1,160	+3,817	Yes	+$145	03-13 05:45
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	55	$5.7K	3,533	3,533	-0	No	+$76	03-28 03:57
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	272	$4.8K	3,296	3,276	+20	No	-$414	06-19 23:08
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	22	$4.3K	13,715	13,715	-0	No	-$2,103	07-03 16:26
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	30	$4.0K	4,482	0	+4,482	No	+$464	06-20 22:43
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	78	$3.9K	3,666	2,800	+866	Yes	+$122	04-05 05:20
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	50	$3.8K	3,238	748	+2,490	Yes	+$126	04-19 15:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	84	$3.5K	3,196	3,196	+0	Yes	-$456	06-15 01:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	19	$3.2K	1,997	1,997	+0	Yes	-$28	05-25 11:02
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	6	$3.2K	2,485	722	+1,763	No	+$21	06-12 22:19
will clavicular be the top ranked chad by march 31	134	$3.1K	3,229	3,442	-214	Yes	-$235	03-15 10:55
Chirayu Rana sued?	17	$2.9K	3,526	0	+3,526	Yes	+$652	05-06 18:43
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	80	$2.7K	4,030	4,030	-0	Yes	-$65	09-29 14:02
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	27	$2.6K	1,563	1,563	+0	Yes	-$63	10-05 09:12
iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	1	$2.3K	2,500	0	+2,500	No	+$200	08-17 05:08
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	25	$2.2K	1,727	582	+1,145	No	+$74	08-14 00:04
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	3	$2.2K	2,500	0	+2,500	No	+$275	04-10 14:26
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	25	$1.9K	1,006	1,006	-0	open	—	09-19 13:29
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	11	$1.8K	1,359	607	+752	No	+$47	10-26 01:22
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	21	$1.6K	2,546	2,546	-0	Yes	-$611	09-11 14:23
Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	30	$1.6K	1,856	0	+1,856	No	+$297	06-01 23:32
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	7	$1.5K	1,659	0	+1,659	Yes	+$164	07-06 14:11
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	24	$1.5K	1,294	256	+1,037	Yes	+$64	08-13 18:27
will reminders of him opening weekend box office be between 16m and 19m	10	$1.5K	1,594	0	+1,594	Yes	+$115	03-15 12:20
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	25	$1.3K	4,864	4,864	-0	No	-$195	03-23 06:33
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	14	$1.3K	1,662	0	+1,662	Yes	+$399	06-12 17:58
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	11	$1.3K	1,608	1,608	-0	No	-$652	09-11 13:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	36	$1.2K	17,565	17,565	+0	No	+$102	04-10 04:59
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	20	$1.2K	3,211	3,211	+0	No	-$1,128	07-07 02:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 06:26:48	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	25	74¢	$18	0x10b66e…
10-27 06:26:08	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0xd44cc5…
10-27 06:22:47	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	19	74¢	$14	0x9eda49…
10-27 06:21:08	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	19	74¢	$14	0x358c96…
10-27 06:12:47	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0x1da8cc…
10-27 06:12:27	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	19	74¢	$14	0x438cbd…
10-27 06:09:08	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	37	74¢	$27	0x07f135…
10-27 06:01:06	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0x9a9fd1…
10-27 05:59:47	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	175	74¢	$129	0x0372e9…
10-27 05:52:47	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0xe9e4a1…
10-27 05:51:26	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	69	74¢	$51	0xce07a3…
10-27 05:50:47	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0xbcd984…
10-27 05:49:06	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	222	74¢	$164	0x90d2b1…
10-27 05:45:27	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x337a45…
10-27 05:44:47	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0x0a3f75…
10-27 05:42:06	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xa42852…
10-27 05:40:47	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0x364912…
10-27 05:40:47	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	161	74¢	$119	0x1b346d…
10-26 01:26:03	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0xe6024c…
10-26 01:22:24	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	607	92¢	$559	0x6fdec3…
10-26 01:20:42	Blue wave in 2026?	Yes	SELL	85	83¢	$70	0x7f0d30…
10-24 21:51:45	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0x3bd36b…
10-05 18:45:17	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	156	93¢	$145	0x293294…
10-05 18:08:16	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x377e35…
10-05 17:37:35	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	61	93¢	$57	0xad6a0d…
10-05 15:29:13	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x7fc045…
10-05 14:57:52	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	145	93¢	$135	0x59b13e…
10-05 14:57:32	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	145	93¢	$135	0xb68234…
10-05 14:48:31	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x4e9407…
10-05 14:46:11	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x3a502e…
10-05 12:18:29	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	150	93¢	$140	0x0849ad…
10-05 10:00:08	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	496	93¢	$461	0xb594f7…
10-05 09:12:07	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	1,563	82¢	$1,282	0x983ac5…
10-04 21:42:53	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x5c44a4…
10-04 21:42:52	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x9d3f2f…
10-04 21:42:16	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	25	86¢	$22	0x7aafcf…
10-04 21:37:17	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0x1da021…
10-04 21:35:31	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x3b9c62…
10-04 21:35:26	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	138	86¢	$119	0x6e3f05…
10-04 21:35:13	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	16	86¢	$14	0x23a0a3…
10-04 21:35:04	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$6	0xd2789d…
10-04 21:34:52	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	114	86¢	$98	0x09aa0a…
10-04 21:34:17	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	382	86¢	$328	0x33a068…
10-04 21:34:16	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x2f3b5a…
10-04 21:33:11	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	13	86¢	$11	0xb5cde9…
10-04 21:33:08	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	21	86¢	$18	0x66af1f…
10-04 21:33:07	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	59	86¢	$51	0xe52524…
10-04 21:33:01	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x95030d…
10-04 21:32:58	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	4	86¢	$3	0xb79ec6…
10-04 21:32:50	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	43	86¢	$37	0x3d1c97…
10-04 21:32:46	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	71	86¢	$61	0x114ef1…
10-04 21:32:40	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0x2169ff…
10-04 21:32:32	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	143	86¢	$123	0x8b671a…
10-04 21:32:11	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	175	86¢	$151	0x904e7d…
10-04 21:31:52	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	13	86¢	$11	0xb82ec2…
10-04 21:31:52	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x4ce48a…
10-04 21:31:52	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	33	86¢	$28	0x3d0379…
10-04 21:31:52	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	150	86¢	$129	0x1c6a8d…
10-02 00:47:27	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0x9c15c7…
10-02 00:46:26	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0xec7b7d…
10-01 19:44:42	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xb9f059…
10-01 14:09:03	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xab66ea…
10-01 13:50:23	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xa176b5…
10-01 09:51:57	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x7840e2…
10-01 06:49:15	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	9	93¢	$8	0xb9325c…
09-29 14:02:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	457	33¢	$151	0x2d6825…
09-29 14:01:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	38	33¢	$13	0x8bc02e…
09-29 14:01:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	33¢	$0	0x4fc3d4…
09-29 14:01:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0x147e6d…
09-29 14:01:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	454	33¢	$150	0x262e92…
09-29 11:49:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x7e2b8d…
09-29 06:06:39	Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xe90a3b…
09-28 22:45:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	246	30¢	$74	0x759a88…
09-28 22:22:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0x017185…
09-28 22:00:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x915332…
09-28 21:32:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0xb4c29f…
09-28 21:32:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	68	30¢	$20	0x04bd0f…
09-28 21:23:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0xe89fda…
09-28 21:19:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0xbbadd9…
09-28 20:41:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x704f61…
09-28 19:53:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	30¢	$0	0x630e5f…
09-28 19:29:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	23	30¢	$7	0x9c4e57…
09-28 19:18:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x9eec67…
09-28 19:06:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0xe3e4f3…
09-28 19:02:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x178a58…
09-28 19:01:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x46377a…
09-28 18:14:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	24	30¢	$7	0xf258a2…
09-28 17:51:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xb57c1d…
09-28 17:49:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	512	30¢	$154	0x9d14c1…
09-28 17:49:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0x94b587…
09-28 17:49:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x562fff…
09-28 17:49:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	142	30¢	$43	0x828802…
09-28 17:41:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x7ebb60…
09-28 17:13:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	15	30¢	$5	0x24a4b8…
09-28 17:01:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0xc61eba…
09-28 16:56:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	91	30¢	$27	0x017e42…
09-28 16:46:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0xf60188…
09-28 16:39:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0xcc85a8…
09-28 16:29:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	844	30¢	$253	0xfb8455…
09-28 16:29:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x26a7d0…